The Swine Flu HoaxSubmitted by NCMarc on Mon, 08/31/2009 - 14:26
Updated with better statistics and less opnion....
The Swine Flu Hoax
An article recently appeared in Reuters news wire claiming that 10% of New Yorkers (800,000) may have contracted the Swine Flu. It was even featured on Drudge Report on Monday, Aug 31, 2009.
Just by analyzing this single article, you can see what a non-issue the Swine Flu really is. Let's go over it....
Note: In BOLD text is parts of the article and unbold is my analysis.
"In New York City where we had a lot of H1N1 this last spring the estimate is about 800,000 people, about 10 percent of New York City residents, got infected with the flu," Frieden said in an interview with C-SPAN television aired on Sunday.
I couldn't find out for New York specifically how many have died... but As of Aug 5th, 2009 only 1100 People have died GLOBALLY from this Flu. Based on 6.7 Billion People on Earth, so far you have a 0.000016% chance of dying from the Swine Flu. This doesn't even factor that the US has far superior medicine than third world countries.
Swine flu has infected well over 1 million people in the United States, and is now the CDC's No. 1 priority.
According to the US Census website, there is 307,326,245 people living in the US. This means that approximately 0.33% of the US Population has contracted the swine flu. (yes, one-third of 1% have contracted it, very few have died.).
"Every year, seasonal flu infects between 5 percent and 20 percent of a given population"
Taking the article's own statistics, the Swine Flu has been pretty in-effective in spreading vs. a typical flu. Even at the low-end, the Swine Flu is 15 to 60 times less infectious than a typical seasonal flu.
(Every year, the seasonal flu) kills between 250,000 and 500,000 people globally
If the normal flu kills typically 250,000 to 500,000 globally, and the swine flu has killed 1,100. That means that the Swine Flu is AT LEAST 200 TIMES LESS DEADLY than typical SEASONAL FLU. Even if 5 times that many will die by the end of the year, the number is much smaller than typical seasonal flu.
It also disproportionately affects younger people, unlike seasonal flu which mainly burdens the elderly, and as a result may cause more severe illness and deaths among young adults and children than seasonal flu.
This statement isn't backed up by any numbers or facts. It is very generalized. My best guess is to get people who don't normally don't get shots to get them. e.g. Sell more shots!
Chicago health authorities said last week that the pandemic H1N1 flu infected 14 times as many children as adults over 60 there, and also disproportionately affected blacks and Hispanics.
It is well-known that minorities have lower quality of care and are more likely to get sick. Children always contract flu at higher rates because they are in school interacting with other kids and their parents send them to school sick. The article fails to mention what the typical rate is for regular seasonal flu. Notice how the article says "pandemic" but how is this a pandemic when it is 200 times less deadly so far?
Some countries are reporting that as many as 15 percent of patients hospitalized with the new H1N1 pandemic virus have needed intensive care, further straining already overburdened healthcare systems, WHO said on Friday.
The article only says "Some countries" and doesn't list which ones. Are they 3rd world nations with limited health care? Plus the article fails to mention what the typical rate of those hospitalized need intensive care with typical flu. It could easily be higher or lower.
Based on the above analysis of the Swine Flu, it is a complete dud and most people shouldn't even worry about it. Wash your hands and go on with your day. There is little reason to panic over this flu. Based on the 1,100 people that have died with the Swine Flu, it seems much less likely you are gonna die from it than from the regular flu or from really anything else for that matter.
What is the motive of the fear? It was recently revealed that the a company already had a patent for the Swine Flu vaccine nearly 2 years ago. Are they spreading the panic to sell more vaccines? It sure would be a good way to increase your bottom line in a recession.
** Please forward this to your friends, local congressmen, governors and other officials. **