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The Winnable RJ Harris Candidacy

Original Press Release http://rjharris2010.blogspot.com/2009/09/poll-shows-close-ra...

Our recent poll has received a lot of press. Most of the commentary has been positive, but there are still some concerns. In addition to the poll, we've seen a lot of nay-sayers in regards to the Harris campaign and other Liberty Candidate campaigns. I hope this post will change some minds.

RJ is at 31% in the poll but even with the undecided 15% he still can't win.

Something interesting is that the poll only included likely republican primary voters (i.e. party establishment folks for the most part). This didn't take into account the thousands of constituents around the district who never voted in a primary and are attending tea parties and 912 group meetings. We believe we'll attract another 10% from new primary voters alone.

This means we are at 31% old + 10% new + 15% undecided = 56%

Of course we have to convert the 15% undecided and this doesn't even take into account votes we can still take away from Cole. Hence, 50% should be looking even more plausible.

Harris funds are low.

We’ve raised almost $23,000. But let’s put things into perspective for a minute.

If we analyze all of Tom Cole’s past incumbency elections (2004, 2006 and 2008) we can see that RJ has almost reached the same fundraising levels as the top contender to Tom Cole in the General Election. In other words, in 2006 the Democrat raised just under $30,000; the most raised by his opponent in all three elections. Tom Cole spends almost all of his $1,000,000 that he normally raises. Why is this important?

- RJ will raise more than every one of Cole’s opponents for the past three elections if things continue at the pace they are going.

- Cole is facing a tougher Primary Race than his past three General Election races, and he hasn’t faced a primary since 2002.

- Cole has only faced progressives and big government republicans in every election. RJ is far more conservative than Cole. Cole voted for the TARP bailouts, and he has voted for some other incredibly surprising things that we will announce in the coming weeks . (HINT: look up his voting record on economic issues in 2007.)

- Cole wastes his money on various needless services. Let me clarify: Cole has raised $178,476 this cycle and has all ready spent over $80,000. His web presence hasn’t improved, and his advertising efforts have not increased. One must ask; what is he spending all that money on? Some possibilities are staff, consultation, paid “volunteers”, polling, expensive HQ’s luxuries, dinners for his big donors, and old time campaign methods that won't cut it in 2009.

- Our campaign is not wasting money on any of those things above. Our monthly-operating costs are less than $1,500. Every other dime we spend is on name recognition, travel and advertising.

- What does all this mean? If Tom Cole wants any funds left for a general election race—assuming he beats RJ – he’ll have to be more frugal. A reasonable assumption is that he’ll divide his likely $1,000,000 in half. So we are up against $500,000, right? No. Cole will most likely blow $300,000 on operating costs (staff, HQ’s costs, polling, consultation, paid “volunteers”, etc.). We are now down to $200,000. At least 25% of this will be wasted on ineffective “old campaigning” advertising techniques. We are down to $150,000. Suddenly the $23,000 RJ has in his war chest seems a lot higher. If we were able to accomplish what we have with $23,000, imagine what we can do with $250,000.

One Last tidbit:

The last Republican Primary for OK’s 4th district turned out 36,526 voters. Tom Cole received 21,789 votes to win the nomination. Adding in some population changes among other things, we can presume that this primary will turn out at least 50,000 voters. RJ needs to convince 30,000 voters to show up and vote for him in the primary.

Lately I’ve heard some speak that we don’t have a chance, or the Liberty Candidates don’t have a chance, I hope the above makes it overwhelmingly clear that our election is very winnable. This openness is the same openness you can expect from RJ when he is in office. If you haven't donated yet, I hope this will convince you that your Federal Reserve notes will be put to good use.

Tom Cole and the establishment have a storm coming their way!

Thank you for the support.

Jonathan Gibbons
Campaign Manager




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Jake Towne's picture

RJ IS THE MAN!!!

And Jonathan is one heck of a campaign manager :)

TowneForCongress.com

Jake Towne
2010 Candidate for US Congress, PA-15
Liberty, Sound Money, the Rule of Law, and Accountability
TowneForCongress.com

I know I was really

I know I was really impressed with his second appearance on The Judges show.

Tracy

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RJ is our man!

I want true grassroots candidates like RJ, not some neo-con globalist in patriots clothes.

bump for Victory

bump for Victory

Ventura 2012

No real need to defend the

No real need to defend the campaign Johnathon we support RJ and know this article and attacks always happen when you are a threat.

Keep up the good work.

www.retakecongress.com

www.RJHarrismoneybomb.com

There sure is need

We're all on board but I for one would like to see some appropriate piss and vinegar. Great post Jonathan, way to not lay down and let them marginalize the campaign.Good on you! I'm dropping another contribution just because of this post.

Donate = Freedom*))

RJ Harris will win - mark my words.
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reedr3v's picture

bump

.

I think he can win it..

His message is delivered very well. He is obviously a real conservative in a very conservative state.. They finally allow tattooing in OK!

His conservative credentials may woo some of the party faithful there. Dont forget though... Party faithful is what gave the GOP McCain for president.

The party for the most part votes what is told to them from the top. Ive seen it first hand and McCain should illustrate that. Even Goldwater was a party stalwart.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OO18F4aKGzQ

'Peace is a powerful message.' Ron Paul

$23000 is great for a

$23000 is great for a libertarian-minded candidate running a primary against the established incumbent.

In fact, its positively brilliant!

As for us, we've got a net balance of $129 right now... couldn't even answer requests to divert funds over to support some local races.

So let's not get down by talking about "the other guy's" millions. That's a given. Incumbents are millionaires.

Its the hard work and hard facts that will bring victory come primary day!

"Cowards & idiots can come along for the ride but they gotta sit in the back seat!"

Excellent Analysis

I hope we can get similar analysis like this from all those running to take the country back. This can stand as inspiration to all.

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