Semi-Official Tea Party $ guess estimate
Submitted by Bob W on Fri, 12/07/2007 - 00:41
Ok folks, time for a little more fun as directed by Doctor Paul.
Break out your crystal ball, your intuition, your analyzing ability, premonitions, prayer numbers, or whatever, and tell us your dollar amount for the Tea Party.
Prize will be a congrats from all here and zero dollars.....and bragging rights, of course!
Rules:
Total dollars collected from 12 to 12 (24 hrs) e.s.t.
Only funds from on-line donations count-not any funds from HQ's
No ranges-specific number to the penny
Going over is ok-just closest to actual dollars collected.
Do you feel lucky? Well, do ya, punk? Game on!
(My disadvantaged, 9 day advance guess: $8,417,214.11)
»
Slashdot
I submitted slashdot stories for this bomb and the last one in November. Neither seem to be going anywhere! I can't believe that no one thinks these are story worthy.
excellent!
20M total for Q4 is now within easy reach
Someone please SLASHDOT our success today!
Could a Slashdot veteran with a respected Slashdot reputation please create a post describing Ron Paul's internet savvy supporters and their phenomenal grassroots online campaign success?
Many intelligent, affluent, libertarian-oriented persons read http://www.Slashdot.com
Hope one of us with the necessary sophistication can pull this off.
Loveolution!
Ron Paul 'The Truth'
Ron Paul 'The Truth'
I'm going to say $7.2 million. That's still an outrageous amount.
Ron Paul 2012
Closest without going over?
I guessed $17,863,211.48 only off by $116,946
Enonesoch
Tentative Winner of Tea Party Prediction
This report is late because the touchscreen voting machines all went kaput simultaneously at 11:59, and we had to go to our backup paper reports full of hanging chads. Rest assured that this info represents a true and complete report of the results, but that's only because we decided to let them do so because we couldn't find any way to skew them in our favor.
Submitting my judgment to the Ronpaulican community, at 1 a.m. it looks like the publishable totals are $6.4 million raised, comprising $6.0 million online and $0.4 million offline. According to Dan Bachelder at http://www.ronpaulgraphs.com/week_over_week_dec.html the offline total, which this thread is about, was $6.024 million. (Everyone please thank Dan for donating $700 today.)
My judgment is that the winner is "Brad V in CA from CT", who was the first among several to guess $6 million exactly, on December 8th. No other guess came closer.
I am not able at this time to determine who came closest to the total including offline contributions, but it doesn't matter, because the prize is worth the same. That's what Bob W gets for denominating it in Federal Reserve notes.
But that man should play the tyrant over God, and find Him a better man than himself, is astonishing drama indeed!~~D. Sayers
There is no difference between an authoritarian government from the right or the left...F. A.Schaeffer
Actually, all of us guessed
Actually, all of us guessed $6 million. Congratulations!
Brad V in CA from CT
Crunchy
TheKingIsComing
FreeRonPaul-dot-com
jednp
..................
"The main thing that I learned about conspiracy theory is that conspiracy theorists actually believe in a conspiracy because that is more comforting. The truth of the world is that it is chaotic..." —Alan Moore
My apologies
Congrats to all of you. I didn't realize as it looked like you were all the same person on the chart. Hope you all had a good day off. Back to the campaign tomorrow.
Letters, phone calls, door knocking, sign waving, convincing anyone yhou come into contact with are what we all in order from now until election day.
Time is running out all. Campaign like never before during our stretch run. No excuses!
Bob W., Naples, FL
My Official estimate as of 3:51 AM...
...9.4 million dollars...
...but I hope for more!
My Guess
$8.6 mil
Please prove me wrong - WAY WRONG!!!!
$6,854,784.14
"Liberty tastes sweetest to those who fight for it, and most bitter to those who work to deny it!"
LearnRonPaul
My guess
At 3:43 AM EST, I project
$11,576,923.07
Hey everyone go and post on
Hey everyone go and post on this website that is run by fools...we cannot let thm have any influence.
TEA PARTY TODAY!
americansagainstronpaul dot blogspot.com
$8,851,095.92
$8,851,095.92
I'd say
7.2 million
My estimation is...
Id say 12,478,927.76
but thats just a rough estimate.lol
GO RON PAUL!!
Warmest Regards
Stephen Dupont
New Bedford, Massachusetts
New Prediction Based on Data for First 102 Minutes
As of 1:42 AM, EST, we had raised $587,719 which computes to $5,762/minute! If maintained for 24 hours, we would raise a grand total of $8,297,280.
Prior to midnight, 12/16, I made a psychomathematical prediction here of $8,426,784.95 which was greater than my mathematical estimate of $8,233,425. The latter estimate, however, is very close to the projection from actual data. And, because this figure will put us so close to $20 million for the quarter, there is no way that we will let it fall short of that goal, so I predict now that we will get a minimum of $8,447,438 for the day! That's in the ball park with my pre-bomb prediction. :-D
Yes compare how much we
Yes compare how much we raised today to Nov 5th. It took over 8 hours I think to raise a million on that day, and most of the donations didn't start kicking in till about that time.
Hey, some people are sleeping now, you know. The rate could
sustain some really high peaks in non-Draculoid hours.. =)
_______________________
*** God bless Ron Paul ***
* Ron Paul For President *
______________________
*** God bless Ron Paul ***
* Ron Paul For President *
Bombs away!
Nominations are closed and BOMB HATCHES ARE OPEN, it is now after 12:06 a.m. Dec. 16 EST. This list is (semiofficially) final. As a public service and because he's a glutton for it, my hubby has compiled all totals to date. (Note: Bob W and BobW are different accounts.)
OPEN SEASON! As of 12:00 a.m. my RP "start" counter reads: $11,552,561.57.
9000000000000.00 GeorgeWashington
110000000000.00 cablenewsjunkie
11294117647.00 Miguel Portela
3600000000.00 loki
1000000000.00 rustybuick
100000000.00 Memphis
70000000.00 Freedom Now
40000000.00 gee_blee
23000000.00 JimCunningham
22000000.00 Galileo
20500000.00 RainmanSC
20000001.00 haightashbury1969
20000000.00 hodag1 (dante, shoms_w)
19416274.83 coopkabob
17863211.48 Enonesoch
17762007.00 penguin
17760000.00 ibelieveinspecie
14579200.00 bondservent1958
14420420.50 JoeDanger
12900000.00 SyntheticSolutions
12500000.00 AmericanPatriot55
12490000.00 nimbo6
12376000.00 RP-Rocks
12345678.90 Dewder
12300000.00 nalicosh
12100000.00 George Johnson
12000000.00 Phat
11700000.00 Number19
11573283.57 dcarter9
11500000.00 firsttobecool
11376992.23 wils5742
10710250.00 marhlfld
10222800.00 senseido
10125000.00 witheyeswideopen
10115023.00 yakamoz
10100000.00 lamb990
10000006.66 Devils.Advocate
10000000.00 bozokong_dot_com (djskiefer, mainah, PgmrPaul, RP08isHOPE, Brian Bailey, jbb1976)
9999999.99 boomstick2004
9875242.45 denpratt
9847500.76 cwarren2000
9545654.00 Ishtahota
9505000.00 kdrake
9400000.00 antiwardoc
9324132.69 Jon Kirkpatrick
9259821.75 Thundercloud
9122501.50 blnpilot
9111776.00 jmeagan
9110000.00 hs
9000001.00 amirh
8976543.21 freedomforall
8788340.00 Moobi
8764658.41 Ruth
8675309.00 Outdoorsman-4-RP (Rob, Laddyboy13)
8626566.33 Libera_me's husband
8540000.00 oldmom
8500000.00 louisnatale
8482637.02 Lymeade-Lady
8483234.76 AntiHer0
8457332.76 5StarDem4RonPaul
8426966.21 Will the Third
8426784.95 Likkerish
8417214.11 Bob W
8345678.00 VicDeHaven
8300000.00 libertylady
8253281.03 Texan4RP
8250000.01 phoobaar
8177617.76 Francisco d Anconia
8117135.76 HolisticMD
8110000.00 everest
8078000.00 Libera_me
8035690.64 jabbott0
8008008.08 ejamiami
8000000.00 Skotoseme01 (DelafieldGuy, Cameron Davis, restoredhope)
7987911.07 80
7900573.76 Becky Blauvelt
7834568.00 SIERRAHPBT
7830000.00 dgingerich
7800000.00 birdmanx35
7790000.00 Malum Prohibitum
7777777.77 pegarizona
7777770.07 Kevin@HarperRealty
7700000.00 demolay
7654817.34 akak
7654321.00 TenoG
7634368.34 taylor4ronpaul
7560238.23 punjabimunda
7411492.00 Mainers4RP
7323899.54 Twiztedklown316
7300300.00 thefreeman
7214583.67 Texas Little El
7212480.76 ProspectorSam
7203967.00 Jilly
7200000.00 hocaltar
7111111.11 trading7
7100000.00 RockHoward (airborne373, stratton)
7097985.00 Zapparulez
7000000.00 ronpaul4pres (JJR, liberta, overcominghope)
6840000.00 DavidShankle
6813100.00 fram-rpfan
6800000.00 symtex411
6750000.00 sleuth51
6679939.00 Dirigo
6543210.00 WiseGuy
6500000.00 Ian Bowles
6499999.99 BobW
6437983.00 doctor011
6437239.11 bthomson
6429853.44 Scanner313
6376241.83 DarkLaw
6300000.00 kipload
6200000.00 StarMan2112
6143000.00 Average Joe
6125750.00 RPJunkie
6000000.00 Brad V in CA from CT (Crunchy, TheKingIsComing, FreeRonPaul-dot-com, jednp)
5967500.00 check
5891665.31 Ron Aldof
5600001.00 jaymac
5600000.00 gg
5500000.00 alyssafaith
5344000.00 Treg
5107916.00 ord33
5077625.00 Overhaul-with-Paul
5000000.00 lem
4975000.00 E. Oregon 4 Ron
4900000.00 Scotty T
4500000.00 soulmantim
4200000.00 DontTreadonMe
3700000.00 jcolt84
3333333.99 glad2bdad
3100000.00 saul4paul
3000000.00 latropa
But that man should play the tyrant over God, and find Him a better man than himself, is astonishing drama indeed!~~D. Sayers
There is no difference between an authoritarian government from the right or the left...F. A.Schaeffer
Semi-official winner of Tea Party guesstimate
Goes to Brad V from CA. He was within 28/29k of number based on rules set.
Honorable mention to "Check," for coming in second.
Honorable mention #2 to Scanner 313 for almost hitting the exact number for total donations shown for the day. (According to rules, money added by campaign would not be considered for this contest) But the number was so overall accurate, couldn't be left out.
Congrats to Brad V! You can take tomorrow off. Subject to final review, you may all congratulate Brad on his accurate crystal ball.
P.S. I hope it says 25 million by quarter's end. Wouldn't that be nice.
Bob W., Naples, FL
Sweet
I are almost teh winnar!
I ain't jinx'n it.
___________________________
There's no sheep here, there's wolves here, questioning our nation's government.
Former United States Marine
Patriot
For Ron Paul
___________________________
There's no sheep here, there's wolves here, questioning our nation's government.
Former United States Marine
Patriot
For Ron Paul
Revising upward
I'm going with the nicer-sounding $8,078,000.00. Hubby's new guess was going to be 33424 expected pledges 12/15 (from 32473 at 3pm and 33107 at 9pm) / 17700 pledges 11/4 x $4 million = $7,553,446.33. But then he decided to add the sophisticated wild assumptive guess that the blimp buys would return 4x their purchase value of $268,280, so his final guess is: $8,626,566.33.
But that man should play the tyrant over God, and find Him a better man than himself, is astonishing drama indeed!~~D. Sayers
There is no difference between an authoritarian government from the right or the left...F. A.Schaeffer
I've revised upward to $7
I've revised upward to $7 million. :)
..................
"The main thing that I learned about conspiracy theory is that conspiracy theorists actually believe in a conspiracy because that is more comforting. The truth of the world is that it is chaotic..." —Alan Moore
Fill it up
When the thermometer is full, bald eagles should fly out fro every donation made after. If they flew out in different patterns that would be awesome.
$7,654,817.34
$7,654,817.34
I can't wait til midnight... this this is going to TAKEOFF !!!
...Like a Saturn V Rocket! We're going to the moon BABY!!
Revising up again... $12.49 Mil for the day and $26 Mil for the Month.
Don't worry about this being the last...this is only the beginning!!!!
Mike
Who is Ron Paul? I am Ron Paul! We are Ron Paul!
"Fire Team for Freedom" on RonPaulRadio.com
Mondays and Wednesdays 10pm EST
or visit www.mikeandjake.com
Mike
"Fire Team for Freedom"
visit www.mikeandjake.com
Tea Party
I have been thinking about this all day.
$20.5 million for the tea party alone!
Mine is going in at 12 midnight
As I've said before...
Given the previous statistics from the November 5th surge (~$115 average donation, ~17,500 subscribers, ~39,000 total donors), I'd say we'll be in the $7 to $8 million range based on that alone. That said, I had dinner early tonight, so that I'll be prepared to eat my hat!