Climate change: fact, fiction, or exaggeration?

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I'm no fan of Al Gore and I know that cap and trade or carbon offset programs will do nothing helpful. I understand the corruption involved with climategate as well. I know that the founder of the weather channel has sued Gore for fraud.

That being said, I am solely concerned with the scientific validity of global climate change, specifically the effects that humans have on global warming. I have a scientific background, but I simply have not had the time to research this subject properly.

So, what do you think?

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I think Arnold Schwartzenegger is the LEADER is GW

Arnold doesn't need Copenhagen to follow UN Agenda 21 and establish CA as the global leader with CalAdapt.. google it.. Google is a BIG part

WE ARE GOING TO WIN!
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It's Easy to Figure . . . . . .

This isn't so much about science as it is common sense. I've been arguing this stuff with EnVIronmentaLists for years. They always resort to dizzying "science" and excuse reality.

Use your gut instincts.

The first question you should ask yourself. "Who (what) is the source of information promoting gloBULL warming?"

Do you trust them or the ones telling you otherwise?

The second is, "have you seen any sea levels rising or weather really changing?"

Then ask yourself, "why is the media doing coverups on climategate, why won't Al Gore or any of the lead scientist publically debate the other side?" The offer to public T.V. debate has been made on MANY occassions and they ALWAYS turn em down.

Carbon credits? COMMON. AGENDA to hurt industry and make money that's all.

There's a lot of things to debunk this stuff, just observe.

But THAT can't happen here! * Because some animals are more equal than others -Animal Farm- * A patriot is someone who supports their country all the time and the government when it deserves it. -Mark Twain-

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6MTIwY3_-ks

Is not the burden of proof on the person who advances the

theory? And where is the evidence? Has anyone even done experiments to demonstrate that air with more co2 actually holds in heat as compared to air with less co2?

All I have seen is some correlation between earth temperature and co2 in the atmosphere which does not prove cause and effect. Maybe it is co2 increase in the atmosphere that is caused by higher temperatures, driven by long term variations in solar activity. And now we hear that even the data on temperature history is in question.

I think that politicians will latch on to anything they perceive as a problem as an excuse to further what politicians do, i;e., PLUNDER and CONTROL. The reality is that whatever the damage or benefit from future weather, the damage that politicians will do is far greater than the possible problem could possibly cause.

Did you notice the DRUDGE headline stories, "1,000 limos - 140 private planes, spew more co2 than 60 countries combined."

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/copenhagen-climate-change-c...

http://www.nypost.com/p/news/international/warm_and_fuzzy_fa...

What a bunch of con men are these fellows?

"The deepest sin against the human mind is to believe things without evidence." Thomas H. Huxley

Read this simple

one page link with the analysis
http://www.geocraft.com/WVFossils/greenhouse_data.html

And you'll have your answer.
It's water vapor that rules the greenhouse, and man-made CO2 is basically a non-factor.

computer models

When the computer models that climate change 'scientists' tout successfully predict LAST week's weather then I will give it some thought. If man is responsible for climate change, then where were the industries & suvs when dinosaurs roamed the earth during higher temps than today. Computers are great, but garbage in, garbage out. Follow the money!

hmmm

Yahoo has an article today exclaiming that this is the hottest decade in HISTORY! Unfortunately the history of recorded temperature isn't that long. It's been proven beyond a shadow of a doubt that there have been much warmer times in the past but yet those facts are ignored....simply because they can throw in "recorded history" and the dumb asses out there think there's a little weather man who's been recording temperatures, on his computer no less, for the past several thousand years.

The fact is that the North route has been wide open in the past and temperatures have been much warmer, but where was all that damned CO2 that must have been caused by humans? Either there's billions of tons of hidden machinery somewhere, or this is a loaded subject. There is global warming and cooling, and it isn't directed by the hands nor the ignorance of man.

Al Gore Sued For Fraud???

Really do you have a case number or court??? News to me and I'm following this pretty closely...
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http://www.ronpaulsingles.com/

Paper Ballots Hand Counted At The Precinct Or Bust
Support WTP Federal Supreme Court Case To Ban All Electronic Voting Or Forget 2010 or 2012
http://www.wethepeoplefoundation.org/UPDATE/Update2009-05-11...

lawsuit

this is where i got that from:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FfHW7KR33IQ

it is unclear whether the case is in court

Brad

CO2 = 0.54% (thats 1/2 of one per cent)

of ALL gasses in atmosphere.

oceans = biggest continuous emission of CO2

its a mutually satisfying relationship:

flora (plants, trees, etc) inhale-need and love CO2
flora then, exhales OXYGEN.

fauna (you, me, all living creatures) inhale OXYGEN
fauna then, exhales CO2.

Here's the real question:

Here's the real question:

How come folks don't talk about the Ozone layer anymore and hairspray? I mean, my poor Mom and Sister gave up on their aerosol hairspray years ago and all they got to show for it was many, many bad-hair days....

can't make any money off of it..

that's another non crisis. It seems there is a naturally occurring hole over the antarctic, I think it is, that opens and closes with then the seasons change according to the wind there. made sense when i read it at the time.

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the lesser of two evils is still evil

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the lesser of two evils is still evil

Re: can't make money . . . .

That's right.

They got busted on that one a few years back being bias and only showing computer models of the hole getting bigger.

But THAT can't happen here! * Because some animals are more equal than others -Animal Farm- * A patriot is someone who supports their country all the time and the government when it deserves it. -Mark Twain-

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6MTIwY3_-ks

I'm thinking exaggeration

First off let me assure you that the scientists who are actually concerned about the data and its implications are nothing like the hysterical leftists who you would usually associate with global warming advocacy. These people are generally just as, if not more, ignorant about the scientific aspects then the "polluters" they are so concerned about. They basically strike me as our generation's version of the stereotypical useless hippie.

The reason that I believe it is merely an exaggeration is that certain aspects of the data appear to me to have scientific merit. The experiments that specifically come to mind involve those where they have drilled the arctic cores and found that for at least the last 650,000 years, there has been a generally stable relationship between the carbon cycle and temperatures. This coupled with the idea that CO2 output has reached a never-before-seen-in-history level within our atmosphere leads me to the conclusion that it could be sensible to see some higher temperatures as our lives progress.

The main data which conflicts this hypothesis is the fact that global temperatures over the past 100 years have in fact not at all showed to follow a normal, upwards curve. There have been numerous years with random spikes in temperatures, and it appears that temperatures have been decreasing ever so slightly for the past decade or so. I thus have absolutely no reason to believe that any of the ridiculous claims about the ocean level rising 20 feet and drowning everybody and so on are anything other than fearmongering.

I believe that the phony environmental movement and the left in general found this to be useful issue because it allows them to share a big collective belly chuckle about the "deniers", who they see as being basically the stupidest, most selfish people in existence. This is an issue that allows them to feel an air of moral superiority and lets them bond over the mutual hatred for famous people such as GWB, who seemed to have absolutely no interest in pandering to the environmentalists. The greatest part about it is that they only had to memorize a few of their favorite slides from folk hero and notorious con-artist algore rather than look very deeply into understanding the issue. Because you have one side which is basically going to ignore the issue completely and will deny anything you say out of hand, they never really had to put that much work into looking for the truth.

The way that I see environmentalism as affecting my life in general is that i agree with the notion in general that there is no good reason to waste resources or to litter unnecessarily. As a result, i recycle a fair amount of my waste products and you do not see me going around making aerosol can jetpacks. However, that is as far as i take it because i really just don't believe humans are that big of a threat to the planet, which has much worse natural phenomena to deal with. This is simply another issue, like supporting the minimum wage or social security, that bleeding hearts use to help themselves go to sleep at night with an arrogant smile on their faces without really looking that deep into the scientific or social aspects of what they are saying.

My recommendation to the layperson is to ignore this one. If the global warming people exaggerations turn out to be correct, then it is probably too late for you personally to do anything anyway, so enjoy the view as you go down with the sinking ship. However, if they turn out not to be correct, as i presume will occur, then you won't have worked yourself into a frenzy over nothing anyway. If you take a total denier position, you can be seen as an "extremist", so if one of the global warming people comes up to you at a party, just be nice and tell them you are thrilled with their desire to help humanity, then walk away and go hang out with somebody more interesting.

p.s. you may immediately disregard anything that comes out of the IPCC, the intergovernmental panel on climate change. This is a government propaganda group which was created to advocate a conclusion which they pre-assume to be true. They are not involved in research and do not even come close to expressing the consensus of all scientists. You may look at them as a body created by the government which receives subsidies and nice salaries in order to meet the objective of finding new ways to justify giving regulatory power over all industries to the government.

I call "exaggeration"

Come on. Some of the stuff we do HAS to be causing SOME damage...but its clear that this is being blown out of proportion in order to tax the FAWK out of the little people for their own gain. We cant stop recycling, car-pooling etc and just throw the baby out with the bathwater. We still need to eat from the oceans and streams- but these emails were a jackpot to help keep the whole "global warming" movement in check.

Man's influence on climate change.

I cant help but be reminded of a certain King Knute ( also from Sweden/Denmark in mediaeval times-) who tried( without any conference there, ) to hold back the tide by standing on the sea shore and commanding the sea not to wet his feet.
However, though I realize it is a given that the LINK between climate change and a global taxation system to fund the new wannabee masters and their Malthusian Governments is a fraudulent pretext, they ARE using a part -TRUTH to rationalize their programme. Its very clever.
There IS climate change- natural probably ,but nevertheless could have devastating consequences ( as well as beneficial ones) which DO need to be addressed- eg Bangladesh flooding. Resistance against the one is confused with the real need to deal with the other. The REAL deception is to make out they are one and the same- cause need and solution. We mustn't throw the baby out with the dirty bathwater.
The difficuly with the concocted link is that anyone who objects to the entire programme is made to feel morally inept- I guess that is the reason they are using this 'totally justifiable' pretext in the first place. Who would dare naysay the 'facts' of global pollution. EVERONE knows that..... I dare anyone to put a 'but' in.
Once you have agreed on the first assumption in an argument the logic flows from that. Here it is MAN is the villain/man can change it/man must pay- well some men. You and me but not 'they'. We do need to challenge the assumptions- the science and logic. Once accepted on their terms it is a very straight line to the conclusion you want- in science and in logic.

Claims about causation are just not believable

It is generally accepted that the earth's climate is not perfectly stable and that there have been both much warmer and much cooler periods in the past.

These obviously occurred without human intervention, and nobody claims to understand or even know all the variables involved in determining the climate or the cause of these past swings, which were much larger than any changes humans have actually recorded.

With this in mind it seems completely incredible that anyone can take a few decades of real actual temperature data, then splice, estimate and extrapolate "data" derived from other means for a few centuries, (a tiny blink of geologic time) and claim(or imply) that they can predict to fractions of a degree what the temperature of this planet will be decades from now, and what fraction of that fraction is due to one single variable. (CO2)

It is like claiming to know the reason for a variation that is within the margin of error of one's ability to measure. Or claiming to "solve" an equation without even knowing how many variables it has, let alone having accurate values for them.

At best this is weak uncertain "science". At worst Lysenkoism running wild.

I like your post

Rationality has little to do with the popular sentiments today regarding climate change. The fear, the sensationalism, and the political posturing are clear indications of irrationality.

The cry of global warming appeals to the same weakness in animal psychology that superstition appeals to...the same mechanisms that allow an animal trainer to get a pigeon to play a game of tic-tac-toe.

Cause and effect. You gotta be careful about how you link the two. Test your hypothesis, and test again after formulating a new hypothesis.

The truth of the matter

is that there are good scientists on both sides of the debate. For myself, I believe that the sun has the most bearing on atmospheric changes and AGW is vastly over-hyped.

First, watch this great film.

It answered all of my questions. Answer: exaggerated fiction.

http://www.dailypaul.com/node/117257

Of Course

the climate is changing, it has been since the dawn of time. CO2 has nothing to do with it and by the way, we are in a cooling trend. It's the sun, remember that big million degree ball of fire in the sky? It fluctuates along with our axis tilt, magnetic shifts, ocean currents etc. Big corrupt corporate entities that would like to control the entire planet have deceived the masses for their power and financial gain, end of story.

FICTION... its BS.. seeing

FICTION... its BS.. seeing the idiots who are behind it how can you believe it?

A prudent man foresees the difficulties ahead and prepares for them; the simpleton goes blindly on and suffers the consequences. Proverbs 22:3
Matthew 10:34 Think not that I am come to
send peace on earth: I came not to send peace,
but a sword.

A prudent man foresees the difficulties ahead and prepares for them; the simpleton goes blindly on and suffers the consequences. Proverbs 22:3
Matthew 10:34 Think not that I am come to
send peace on earth: I came not to send peace,
but a sword.