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This is what a Neocon thinks would happen with non-interventionism

I respected friend of mine is a neocon (yes, I've been trying to convert him!) and I asked him what he thought would happen if we just pulled out. I'd like your responses to his assertions. Please don't use profanity or degrading language. I'm imagining the best answer would sound as if Dr. Paul himself responded. Thanks.

Here it is:
Their world is in a precarious state. With globalization a fact of life, and ecomony of nations great and small intertwined and interdependent. Lets say we accept your premise and retreat to our own borders. Lets further conjecture that this gives the radical islamists the freedom to work on their stated goal of the islamification of the world. With no fear of intervention by the U.S., and Isreal only marginally a problem, they pursue their agenda, fomenting unrest in Europe, Russia, Africa, Canada, Central and South America, the Pacific and even China. If we look at the demographics (see America Alone by Mark Steyn), the islamic population is growing, while the non-islamic populations are either static or in decline (see Italy as an example). This fact enables the radicals, for most of the newborn islamic babies are uneducated sycophants of the imams, to continue to press for a Caliphate throughout Europe and the near east at the very least. They subjugate the indigenous populations by sheer numbers.

Oil is, as we speak, running out. With the global economies, not just ours, running on oil, the resource is becoming more and more important to life on planet earth than it ever has before, even as its availability dwindles. The emerging economic uplifting in India and China will consume more and more oil, with no way to ameliorate it. The islamofascists decide to use a nuclear weapon on the Saudi oil fields. No one is there, or has the political will, to stop them. The bomb or device renders one half of the world's oil supply unuseable for thousands of years. Oil is now in so short a supply that wars break out over it, which further escalate into a full blown world conflict, a depression that will make the 1929 crash look like a cake walk, pestilence, disease, famine run rampant. All because the one country with the ability, resources and manpower to have stopped the situation from beginning in the first place had decided that it did not need to 'police the world' and retreated to protect only its borders.




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For those interested...

There is a great documentary on this subject, as to how both factions came to be. I must say, I found it to be quite informative.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IAUDcmaJNWQ

My neocon friend

started watching it but turned away calling it 'lies, lies and damn lies'!

Sometimes historical fact and logic makes no sense to some people.

Thanks for the video link and good try.

BTW, here's his email to me from this morning:

Associated Press, December 12, 2008: Al-Qaida bombsU.N. in Algeria. Militiants called the U.N. offices "the headquarters of the international infidels den." Further quote from the article, "This is another successful conquest...carried out by the Knights of the Faith with their blood (suicide) in defense of the wounded nation of Islam." Further: "More than 100 Crusaders and apostates were killed." Bold emphasis is mine.

Al-Qaida has been urging attacks on the French and Spanish interest in North Africa. In September, Osama Bin Laden's chief deputy, Ayman al-Zawahri, called for jihad in North Africa to "cleanse it of the children of France and Spain."

Let me ask you, how does THIS square with your 'they only want to be left alone' stand? These people know exactly what they are doing and they know exactly how to achieve thier goal. To believe otherwise is foolhardy. They are not a country, but a movement, therefore your previous link is not relevant to this discussion.

It's time for common sense and logic

kind of as a side note...

I remember the good old days when the neo-cons did everything in their power to convince us that this is NOT a war for oil...this is about freedom, and happiness, and giving bunnies to every middle easterner! But now the surface arguments about democracy in the middle east and freeing people from dictatorship are gone.....And now it's really just one big debate about whether or not the military action HELPS us get oil, or HURTS our efforts to get oil....I guess it's nice to see some honesty for once.....

See the new Stossel interview with Dr. Paul on this subject

Here:

http://www.abcnews.go.com/2020/Stossel/story?id=3985423&page=1

First is on immigration, second interview is on war and islamic countries.

Is Neocon correct in his historical basis?

Neocon’s validation of pre-emptive war (below; please no personal attacks or bad language - he is a friend of mine!) says there are radical extremists who spend their entire lives plotting evil ways of killing infidels.
He says there are historical facts backing up his statement and that's why he says it's either us or them. Are these historical facts true? If so, what do we make of them and HOW will non-interventionism SOLVE this problem if it hasn't worked in the past? (Or has it worked in the past?)
I'm confident the answers to a peaceful coexistence are out there. Can we support our constitutional self interests with historical success at peaceful coexistence with radical Islamic extremists?

It's time for common sense and logic

WOW! Sharpest Neocon argument ever!

My friend read a choice sampling of the comments from this forum and wrote his sharpest retort to date. I look forward to an equally intelligent response. Please limit remarks to courteous, educated, and complete facts in a humble and Ron Paul tenor. thank you. Here's his coup de grace:

So, all the islamists want is to be left alone? I think not! I find it particularly interesting that your fellows ascribe all sorts of rational arguments to the radical islamists. They make much of the fact that they wouldn't destroy the Saudi Oil fields, stating 'categorically' that something is untrue, when in fact it is very true and provable by a small amount of research. Notwithstanding all of the breastbeating about islam being a "religion of peace" and my demonizing an entire religious sect, not one of these folks seem to believe that the radicals are, proveably:

a-Wholly oblivious, if not contemptuous, of the ramifications of destroying or crippling the Saudi oil fields, or anyone else's for that matter. They don't look at P&L statements and decide who has the most to lose. They don't care about the economic impact to themselves.

b- Disrupting the oil flow to other nations, not the United States, will cause the most problems. In the U.S. it will cause only inconvenience, intially. Fact: The Saudi brand of Islam (Wahabbiism) is the most virulent form and they spread, it along with their money, all over the globe. Even in the United States, they fund mosques across the nation, from which they preach the destruction of the U.S.A. and Israel. The radical jihadists don't care about the Saudis or Wahabiism. It's likethe Sunnis and the Shiites. They'd as soon kill each other as anyone else. Allah Ahkbar my ass.

b- Have proved beyond a reasonable doubt that they don't care about human life...any human life, even their own (see homicide bombers) as long as they believe that by killing they advance their agenda or purge the infidels from the planet.

By ascribing rationality to the radical islamist jihad, your friends are doing themselves and everyone else a disservice. To apply the normal laws of civility, justice and statesmanship to the jihadists is like dressing up a pig in a tuxedo...its still a pig. How many beheadings, honor killings, suicide/homicide bombers, rocket attacks on Isreali farms and schools, sectarian murders, urging the death of a cartoonist and the flogging of a second grade school teacher for naming a teddy bear mohommed for God's sake, will it take to convince them that the radical islamists don't give a rats ass about peace, oil money, the Saudi government (or any government), peace or self determination. Everything that they have said and done so far recommends that they be exterminated. Because that is what they plan to do to anyone who does not capitulate to their demands.

There are many, many muslims out there who do not agree with the radicals. There were many Germans out there who did not agree with Hitler, either. Where is their voice?

I'm ignorant for saying that most of the newborn babies in the emerging and third world are uneducated? That they will hew to the teachings of the radical imams? Well, I guess this poor ol' cowboy needs to get some larnin' from yer eddycated pals, now don't he? If you are going to make a counter argument, make it based upon facts, not the way you THINK things are or ought to be. If you want to denigrate my opinion with snide and condescending remarks, ala the elitist liberals, I'll pass and leave you to your own world. What color is your sky, by the way? I have HISTORY on my side of the arguments, what besides wishful thinking do you have on yours?

You can't have it both ways. Either the jihadists are clever and resourceful, as in using $4.00 worth of box cutters to destroy billions of dollars worth of property and 3,000 lives, or they are dirt poor ingnoramuses who pose no threat. Which way do you want it? I can argue either side. Also, to deny, or worse to not see, the connection between the islamic birthrates in Europe and middle east is inviting disaster.

By the way, I misstated the oil supply comment, what I meant was one half of the worlds proven oil reserves(approximately). Saudi Arabia is second only to Mexico in the size of their proven oil reserves. It is not the U.S. that will be most hurt by a cut in arabian oil, as your friend insists. Look into the agricultural and engineering uses of oil (light sweet crude) before making such statements. Many oil fields, including the Mexican one are peaked or slightly past their peak, by the way.

I think it is beyond reason to argue that the current jihadist attacks against the west, worldwide, are in some way not connected to the muslim religion and that even though the jihadists are small in number within the muslim world, they weild inordinate power. Sayng that they think rationally about how many of their number would perish in a nuclear counter stike is beyond belief. The radicals WANT to die for Pete's sake. Why would they care if they are wiped out if they've made a huge strike at the infidels inthe name of Allah?

Just because something has not happened, doesn't mean that it will not or cannot happen. We can use logic to extrapolate the things we know, but we cannot know the unknowable. My premise, and my opinion, is that the radical jihadist, islamofascists or whatever name you want to give them, can and will foment large scale conflict across the globe if they are left to their own devices. If you think that by retreating to our borders we will escape involvement you are living in a fools paradise.

It's time for common sense and logic

Want Europe to save itself? Remove U.S. nanny

In the time that Europe has pursued high taxation for the delivery of cradle-to-grave benefits, we have seen the population trend as explained by Mark Steyn. There has been some radical Islamic activity against Europe, starting long before 9/11, and having been dealt with as a matter for the local police and national intelligence services there. The average European had accepted the everyday fact of a NATO alliance as protection from a Soviet invation in the 80s. They now rely on that alliance for threats both internal and external, e.g., Yugoslavia and Afghanistan. For all of this, American funding and military support has undergirded this 'umbrella' of protection for Europe.

However, Europe is different now. The governments of most countries have had to scale back their welfare schemes in order to comply with the demands of participation in the European Union. The euro is the common currency for some 450 - 500 million people and a workforce that will soon dwarf the U.S. in terms of output. These countries have also had a great ability to produce their own advanced military technology. Witness France's nuclear arsenal, its air force and navy. Britain, though not in the Union yet, has demonstrated its military capabilities in Iraq and Afghanistan. Sweden, a neutral country, continues to develop fighter jets and has a standing army that is very large in proportion to its population. If they are able to do all of this and still provide for massive welfare programs, then why not remove American support and allow the European Union to adopt its form its own military alliance?

A rearrangement of NATO as a European millitary alliance would force the participating countries to spend more of their own budgets on weapons development and to create a single military entity with a unified response to a challenge. This would also have the effect of capping their welfare programs and bringing work ethics back to their national populations. The change in culture that this could bring about might also influence their peoples to go back to traditional lifestyles, e.g., families with children. When these people go back to working for their stakes, instead of having everything handed to them, then they will get busy defending them from competitors -- that is, a flood of immigrants who are not of the same culture. This would be what you expect from human nature. It's not where the group in question lives that makes them different, it's HOW they live.

In any event, your friend 'I'm not a neo-con, I just play one on AOL' has to explain what our military engagements do to get the Europeans to fend for themselves and return to favoring traditional social structures and a culture of productivity. If Europe is forced to step up to the plate, then its people will have a heightened interest in how to respond to Islamic radicals or whatever the problem. If their own perceptions were to move closer to your friends, then wouldn't he find an ally in them?

There are a few incorrect assumptions here...

Ok, there are a few flaws in your friends premises:

1 - "Lets further conjecture that this gives the radical islamists the freedom to work on their stated goal of the islamification of the world."

Where has it ever been stated that the goal of "Radical Islam" is to "Islamify" the world? I'd point to Micheal Scheuers books as proof on this point. They don't want to "Islamify" the world, they just don't want western values imposed upon them at the point of a gun.

2 - Your friend seems to be under the misguided assumption that all Muslims have tendencies toward radical behavior and that the proliferation of the Muslim religion is in some way a bad thing. In fact, Islam is a religion of peace, and all of the Muslims that I know are regular people, just like you or me. I have a number of business contacts in the middle east, and they are all regular people who just want to live their lives just like us.

3 - This is a particularly ignorant remark - "for most of the newborn islamic babies are uneducated sycophants of the imams". Categorically untrue, unless you believe what the MSM wants you to believe about the Muslim religion. Most average Muslims are just regular people like you or me, and are generally well educated and perfectly capable of intelligent thought. They are no more crazy than your average Christian here in the US - they believe what they believe, and that's it.

4 - "The islamofascists decide to use a nuclear weapon on the Saudi oil fields..."

First, who has the most to lose if this were to happen? The Saudi's own the oil fields, they reap the benefits of selling the oil, they should therefore be responsible for securing them. This whole line of reasoning is pretty wild speculation, IMO - you can justify ANY action if you play the "what if" game and allow that to be used for justification. You could point the flaw in his logic here by using an example like "I think my next-door neighbor is thinking about killing me. Is it ok for me to kill him first to prevent that?" It's exactly the same logic as that gets used for preemptive war.

That's all I've got time for now, but there are soooo many holes in your friends arguments it should be easy to pick them apart.

Playing neocon devil's advocate...

Rephrase your "what if" argument just a bit to reflect what Iran has been saying:
"My next door neighbor has been angrily saying to me and my friends that he wants to kill my family and I've seen him bring devastating bomb making material into his basement"...

It's time for common sense and logic

Actually still not accurate...

It should be something more like:

"The guy who own the Big Mansion on the other side of the lake has sent a gang of heavily armed people over and taken control of the neighboring houses on BOTH sides of my home. He's been publicly shouting that he wants to kill me and my entire family and take over MY house next. We think he's serious as well as batshit insane because he's been bringing more and more weapons and bombs into both of those houses (and there is always fighting going on there lately, we hear gunshots all the time). And he has a couple of really BIG boats (with guns & other nasty stuff on them) that are in the water right in front of my house right now..."

Can you finish that with...

with...and here's how non-interventionism makes us safer.....

It's time for common sense and logic

1st I apologize for some

1st I apologize for some name calling I made earlier, I thought you would be making this argument to your friend personally and of course filter out all that stuff, not showing him these posts.

"The population demographics are fully explained in Mark Steyn's book "America Alone""

Yes, but what isn't explained is how American bombing and occupation in Iraq, Iran, and Afghanistan will make the tiniest bit of difference in European population demographics.

Please ask your friend to tell me how invading Iraq will make muslims in Europe have less babies.

"because a disruption of half the world's supply of oil for even a year would produce catastrophic results in the world economy. In answer to one other comment, by the way, the oil fields are not near Mecca or Medina."

My bigger question was motive: destroying Saudi Arabia's oil would make no sense. Why not just sell it to china instead of great satan USA? Destroying Saudi oil would make any islamic caliphate impossible. First of all Saudi Arabia has no income other than oil. So any regime there would have a totally destitute population of 30million with no money to buy weapons to wage global jihad. More importantly Saudi and Kuwaiti Water comes from desalinization powered by oil. No oil means no water and most of arab population on Saudi penisula dies. So there is absolutely no motive for any caliphate to destroy oil because that means Saudi ARabia no longer exists as a nation.

Also consider this:

1st: Saudi Arabia doesn't control 50% of the worlds oil, its exports amount to less than 10% of world consumption. As you will see in the following chart Saudi Arabia accounts for but a fraction of US oil imports. In fact few of our oil imports come from the middle east at all.

Total crude oil imports in the USA averaged 10.315 million barrels per day in September

The top sources of US crude oil imports for September were
Canada (1.960 million barrels per day),
Saudi Arabia (1.441 million barrels per day),
Mexico (1.293 million barrels per day),
Venezuela (1.146 million barrels per day)
Nigeria (1.137 million barrels per day).
Iraq (0.603 million barrels per day),
Angola (0.578 million barrels per day),
Algeria (0.503 million barrels per day),
Ecuador (0.234 million barrels per day)
Brazil (0.213 million barrels per day)

2nd: Several times the oil supply from the middle east has been disrupted.
There have been 2 causes for this:
War (1973 Arab Israeli war and 1980 Iran/Iraq war 1991 Iraq/Kuwait war)
and the inflation caused by war (US inflation of the dollar in the seventies due to Vietnam spending)

Right now Iraqi oil production has plummeted from pre war levels, and 10 years of sanction have left the oil industry in that country totally decrepit.

War does not insure the flow of oil. War disrupts and destroys the flow of oil. To suggest we need to intervene, which ultimately means invasion, to insure steady flow of oil has not one example of working. The only solution to dependence on oil is to use less. Invading Iran or Saudi Arabia will only wreck the oil industry in those countries, if you need an example refer back to Iraq. A global caliphate will need money, they have only one resource to sell and no industry. No matter who is charge they will sell oil. Otherwise they all die from starvation and dehydration, plus the populace is used to mass welfare and subsidies They have rioting in Iran and burnt down gas stations for increasing the price of fuel. If Government welfare stopped in Arab countries and fuel prices exploded they would hang all jihadists from the streetlamps. Arabs love welfare more than Americans or even Europeans.

Secondly you do not need Jihad to cut off US supply of Oil. Right now US has account deficit of 800 billion. Meaning we spend as a country 800 billion more than we produce. 2/3 of our oil is imported. The US has no money to pay for this oil and we must borrow money to do so, hence the deficit. If the world stops lending money to the USA we can no longer buy oil. Intervention has cost about 1 trillion dollars so far. More intervention will cost trillions more, and as outlined above oil will become more expensive making the trade deficit worse.

The only way we can continue to import oil is if we reduce our deficits so the world will have enough confidence to continue to lend money to us. Ron Paul's plan is the only one to reduce spending, and thus debt.

Part II will follow shortly

"The difference is that now

"The difference is that now the islamists have, or soon will have, weapons of mass destruction, global mobility and the will to use them."

This is not a factual claim. You cannot launch worldwide war and expend trillions of dollars on such vague claims with not one specific fact to back them up.

1st: Who has the weapons? (who as in specific people or a named group)
2nd: Where are they? (ie: the people and the weapons)
3rd: Where are the weapons coming from? (what country)
4th: What weapons? (ie: nukes, antrhax, etc.)

We know the weapons aren't coming from Iran, Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, or Pakistan because all except Iran are US Allies (we actually sell all of them weapons)
and the CIA has just said Iran is not making weapons. So where are the weapons coming from?

Besides:
Someone had anthrax back in 2001.
5 people died from it.

Some cult in Japan had sarin nerve gas and released it on a subway, many were sickened and 12 died.

by contrast 30,000 Americans commit suicide in an average year.

Chemical and biological weapons are not weapons of mass destruction. This is propaganda.

Only the very most sophisticated research and refining processes combined with sophisticated release methods can produce good results with chem or bio weapons.

No one except western powers possess this technology.

The only threatening weapon is nuclear weapons.
Every nuclear weapon can be traced after it use back to the plant where it was made by tracing the type of uranium used.

No country could therefore launch an anonymous nuclear attack, and thus no country ever would launch a nuclear attack because it would be annihilated by American counter attack.

I must comment on the scenario that islamists are nuking their own oil fields and then handing out nukes to terrorists. Nukes are very expensive and time consuming to make. How could they destroy their own economy with nukes, nuke other countries prompting war, and then finally launch a global caliphate?

Nuking the oil fields would, by virtue of destroying the economy and thus food supply, would depopulate the Arabs. Also it would totally bankrupt them, and they depend almost 100% on foreign purchases of weapons for their armies.

Starting nuclear war would invite war with the world and probably a nuclear counterattack that would further depopulate them.

Now the Arabs are dirt poor (or should I say sand poor, which is even worse?) They have been nuked in retaliation and thus many millions have died. How can they then launch a global caliphate in this state?

If they can call "non-interventionism" isolationism

then maybe they can explain to me why the acts they perpetrate in the world are called "intervention"

According to Wikipedia:

Intervention may refer to:

Intervention (counseling), an orchestrated attempt to compel a subject to "get help" for an addiction or other problem
Intervention (TV series), a documentary series
"Intervention" (Buffy episode)
"Intervention" (song), a song by Arcade Fire from Neon Bible
"Intervention", a song by Madonna from American Life
Intervention (law), a legal procedure for a nonparty to enter an ongoing lawsuit
Art intervention, an interaction with a previously existing artwork, audience, or venue/space
Cognitive interventions, a set of techniques and therapies practiced in counseling
Health intervention
Humanitarian intervention
Well intervention, a term for the maintenance and repair of oil and gas wells

I don't see "armed invasion" on the above list.

Am I missing something?

Does intervention = murder? Then we better shut down all those drug counselers!

So many misconceptions

The first presumption is that there will be chaos if we pull out. Enough so that a terrorist group (Al Qaida?) can take over the entire country of Iraq (a goal the US with help from europe has been unable to do). That seems unlikely. but assume it somehow happened. The terrorist group would then have to spread their empire around the world, taking over countries like CHINA? with 1.3 BILLION people and INDIA with a BILLION. That is just too far fetched to accept as reality. Where would they get the resources? the military might? Christians have been trying to convert china for a millennium. OK, let's say they got a nuke, somehow. Exploding it on the Saudi fields would likely remove all the wells in a 30 sq mile radius from production. That leaves most of the oil still able to be extracted.
Now I want to address the other fatal flaws in this scenario.
1. There is lots of oil, i's just the cheap oil thats running out. There is more oil in the oil sands of canada alone then all of saudi arabia. they are extracting it now for about $30 a barrel.
2. Oil is not much more expensive now than 5 years ago. HOW CAN THAT BE?? you say. Oil is priced in dollars. You don't hear Europe saying oil is expensive, do you? It's the dollar that is worth less. But the euro still buys just as much oil. To put it another way. eggs 4 years ago were .99 a doz, now they're 1.99 doz. the eggs don't cost more, the dollar is worth less. PS. Glad to have you on board. Don't believe everything you see on tv.

"Oil is not much more

"Oil is not much more expensive now than 5 years ago. HOW CAN THAT BE?? you say. Oil is priced in dollars. You don't hear Europe saying oil is expensive, do you? It's the dollar that is worth less. But the euro still buys just as much oil"

That is not true.

Today oil is $88.36 a barrel
in Euro's oil costs 60 Euros a barrel

In 2001 oil was $23.00
In Euros it was about 25 Euros

So oil has almost quadrupled in dollars. (3.8x)
In Euros it has more than doubled (2.4x)

What a great answer

I love how logic and reason can go together so seamlessly...so why is it so hard to convince noecons that their policies are making us "less" safe, not "more" safe?
Why isn't this as obvious to them as it is to us?

It's time for common sense and logic

oil is not running out...

The neo-con movement would like for you to think so, but that isn't reality. First they've got to scare you into thinking that, then they get you to march off to war, to "protect us". The gameplan is to keep the US war machinery "in service" to promote contractors and puppet governments, which in turn, return the "taxpayer's money" to the political machines that are self sustaining in power - thanks to this scheme. In the meantime, another "player" in this neat little game, are the world bankers, who get to fondle all that US taxpayer money first.

It's a wicked, corrupt scheme, and only Ron Paul calls it for what it is. He knows way more than he's letting on. He can't right now, the average Joe just can't absorb too much, too soon. He really would be called out for being on the fringe.

alan laney

Oil may be running out...

I read a book on this subject and became a believer. A link to get you started is copied below. It happened locally in the US, I don't see why it won't follow the same pattern globally. The earth is a finite entity. I don't want to be a conspiracy theory guy, but if you are an oil man (Bush, Cheney) and you know your business, you'd have to at least suspect that oil production may be declining, so it would be very important to control the remaining sources, leading you to invent (OK, lie) a reason to get us into a war in Iraq, and possibly Iran.

The answer is not to go to war, though. The answer is to let the free markets come up with cost-effective alternatives. Perhaps you subsidize some of these alternatives if you think the spigot will be cut off drastically resulting in chaos.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubbert_peak

Whoa there!

Reading is good. But what you read is important. Oil is plentiful. Exxon has capped wells all over Alaska. Oil in Mideast if plentiful. War is stopping the flow of oil so that neocons can bilk more $$$$ from us and the world. To keep us under control. Part of the NWO plan to enslave us. To keep us from moving so freely. To be able to slow down our travel, make us stay home, group us together. The rich don't have a problem with this, but the midde class and poor will be stifled. My gosh, 2 years ago it took $16 to fill my car.... yesterday $40! Believe me, it has me stifled. I don't do near the driving I use to, even though I have always been conservative in my trips to shop or visit family and friends. I'm getting poorer and poorer. I'm in the lower-middle class income, but I'm feeling more like I'm in poverty now. It's payday to payday. Skimming Peter, to pay Paul. Not to the point of robbing Peter to pay Paul, but skimming by to meet minimum payments. Use to pay $50 over and above mortgage payments, but only paying minimum now.

This is exactly what Ron Paul has talked about is happening right now. This is it people. If Ron Paul doesn't get in the White House, we're done as a nation. Third world status.

If you think oil is running

If you think oil is running out you may want to read a book called "Black Gold Stranglehold" by Jerome Corsi. This casts a new light on the fossile fuel myth. I believe it also touched on the global warming issue.

Neo Con thinks Non intervention won't work because....

If your friend is serious about this and he values your friendship then there are various sources of relieable information from which to draw from to counter his arguments.

This idea that America needs to go to war because we need oil from the middle east is nonsense. There's plenty of documentation from Petroleum Institutes and Gas Associations that shows that America has plenty of oil, coal and natural gas within our own shores! . http://thenewamerican.com/node/382
We can also move ahead with nuclear power and avoid having to be dependent upon foreigners for our energy needs. There is also the Hydrate Methane deep down in the bottom of the oceans that promises an abundant energy supply.There is energy we haven't even thought about exploiting because we're too busy carrying out the delusional fantasies of the Neo Cons in their "give war a chance" nonsense.

You should also use the Free Market approach with your Neo-Con friend. Hopefully he hasn't forgotten about that! The free market is the only way to get sufficient supplies of energy at a cheaper price. Take away the regulations and America becomes energy independent without resorting to a costly war.

However if he's insistent that we must be interventionists then use his own arguments against him. You can paint a scary scenario just as well as he can. Your scenario is as follows: Tell him that imagine that instead of the USA being the alpha dog on the planet that the "Caliphate," or the Muslim world is the alpha dog on Earth.
"The news dailys and the the Neo-Islamo Facists within those countries chant daily on the Mohammad O' Show, and on the Sham O'Hussein Show and the Rushda Fatso Show that we must bomb those remaining Christian nations to smithereens. We must hunt down and kill the last remaining terrorist Christian cells otherwise the world won't be safe until we fullfill our duty as good Muslims. We are after all the "one country with the ability, resources and manpower to have stopped the situation in the first place.." everywhere in Islamo Radio and TV the pundits pound the war drums that the Caliphate must obey its destiny and "Police the Planet!"

Maybe he'll see that just becuse you have the power and the ability to "police the planet" that it's a good idea to do it. No tell him that because we are the strongest that we must set an example on how the strongest nation on the plalnet must comport itself. Lead by example and not out of the barrel of a gun the way that Mao Tse Tung advocated. Tell him you stand for a strong defense but not a bullying foreign policy that creates hatred. Your idea of a strong defense is to go after those few terrorists with "Letters of Marque" and a determined foreign policy to follow through in getting the Osama Bin Ladens of the world and bring them to justice.We won't need to use a whole army and attack the wrong country when all that was required was to obey the law of the land- The US Constitution. Tell him about Paul's book too!

Oil doesnt last forever...

There *is* a limited quantity of oil. It did take Millions of years for the year to compact old vegetable matter into oil. It doesnt take a genius to know that at the current rate of usage.... maybe 20 years.... but since most *all* countries are increasing population and driving more cars and our economy is based *alot* on car production, increase, etc. etc. etc. I think it is going to run out faster... perhaps 2015 or so...
There will have to be some drastic changes in the future.
A. Smaller cars will eventually be forced (practically) on the public...
B. People will be FORCED out of the rural areas into centralized cities.... If you have a home in the city, hold on to it, its gonna be worth a fortune in the future when gas is $10 dollars a gallon.
C. There just *is not* a viable replacement unless we switch to solar power, and those cars just are going to go anyway very far or very fast.
D. Dont mention coal to me... thats going to be even MORE COSTLY to produce gasoline from.
E. No matter how you look at it, I fear for our future generations and the sacrificies they will have to make for our gas gluttony now.

Truth is... gasoline is going to be a *very* precious commodity in the future, perhaps even regulated for COMMERCIAL USE ONLY...
just a thought... I have no answers and I dont think anyone has an answer to the question of what will happen when all the oil is gone but IT AINT GONNA LAST FOREVER....

Actually that is one theory (biogenic)... there IS another...

alternative theory known as "abiogenic" and sometimes referred to by the phrase "deep hot biosphere" (Google "abiogenic origin" and or "Thomas Gold").

The "limited oil" theory (and it is just a theory) is based on the "biogenic theory" -- the underlying concept that oil is created via the decaying of plant and animal "fossils" (aka biological life) which was then "trapped" by geology and turned into a variety of hydrocarbons like petroleum (aka "fossil fuels").

The "abiogenic" theory says that given the presence of hydrocarbons throughout the solar system it is far more likely that oil is a non-biological or proto biological transformation of carbon, etc. (Basically it says "oil is made of dead dinosaurs?" Yeah Right...we think you people have "dinosaurs" on the brain!)

2015 You must be kidding

2015! No way. There is over 100 years worth of oil under CO, WY, and ID, Shale oil and with the high prices its very profitable to extract. There is no shortage of oil. The high prices are due to the decline of the dollar. We would be under $45 a barrel at 2000 exchange rates. More scare mongering.

. "The high prices are due

. "The high prices are due to the decline of the dollar. We would be under $45 a barrel at 2000 exchange rates. More scare mongering."

This is only partially true.

The average oil price from 1990-2000 was between 15 and 20 dollars. At 2000 exchange rates oil would be about 50 dollars today, this would still represent an increase of 250%-330% over the level of prices seen in the 1990s.

The value of the dollar "floats" and is based on "confidence"

only and has no backing (similarly all other currencies in the world), then the price of a barrel of oil is... well the price of a barrel of oil.

The fact that the dollar has decreased in value RELATIVE to oil faster than other currencies is the expression that the "confidence" that the sellers have of being able to "redeem" those dollars for other goods is lower (i.e. "discounted").

Basically, you wanna buy my oil and give me $1M in checks from your bank account -- but from what I hear you've started bouncing checks lately, so I'm pretty confident that SOME of your checks ARE gonna either "bounce" or be hard for me to "cash-in" or get other people to take... so the OPEC guys say "For you my friend, today I have a special deal... I will take your paper checks, but I need $2M instead of $1M, if that is good, then we have a deal. The price tomorrow? Well, tomorrow is tomorrow."

Neocon

Good grief! He thinks all Arabs are jihadists? Actually, it's a tiny minority. His worries are appropriate for about 650 A.D. The only thing that could ever make the radicals a majority is if we keep bombing them.

He thinks Europe, Russia, and China can't defend themselves! It sounds like the domino theory (that got us into Viet Nam) all over again. That theory was, at least, plausible when the moving force behind the dominoes was a Soviet Empire with vast population and resources, but the world did not end when we pulled out of Viet Nam. The Radical Islamics, however, are a band of a few thousand thugs.

Th NeoCons accuse US of conspiracy theories???

we are out of money....

it doesnt matter what he thinks or what we think. the usa is out of money.

the weird thing about the future is that no one knows it. ron pauls ideas could be the wrong thing for this country at this time. i dont think so, so i am voting for ron paul.

ask him how he plans on paying for a world wide policing force.

this whole thread is spitting in the wind and not doing much to get ron paul elected.

ron paul 2008

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if you build it he will come..........Ron Paul 2012.
digg http://digg.com/autos/First_Genuine_Chevy_Volt_to_be_Complet...

Ego much?

I could get into detail about the little known interventions in U.S. history that should teach us a lesson, such as Greneda, Chile, Iran, Nicaragua (especially the arming of the insurgent contras - similar to our current arming of the Iraqui police), but I'll spare us the long winded history lesson, and simply say that we cannot fight an ideal, nonetheless our miscontrued version of an entire religion. The whole "Islamofacist" deal sterotypes an entire faith and futher polarizes people. The whole basis for rejecting a non-interventionist policy litteraly rests in an assumption that because we're America, our actions don't have consequences. Blowback, people. Blowback. Some might even call it karma. Whatever it is, it is real. We need to get our egos in check immediately.

~ Corie Whalen ~ (508 - 308 - 9008)
[Assistant Organizer, Boston Meetup]