Rand & Conway Even at 43% Each, according to Public Policy Polling
Submitted by bobbyw24 on Tue, 07/06/2010 - 12:13Kentucky Senate race knotted
Kentucky voters don't think much of Rand Paul and as a result the race to replace Jim Bunning in the Senate is tied. Paul and Jack Conway are getting 43% each.
The more Kentucky voters get to know Rand Paul, the less they like him. When PPP first polled the race in December Paul's favorability was a +3 spread at 26/23. By May it was a -7 spread at 28/35. Now it's a -8 spread at 34/42. The national media attention Paul has received has hurt his cause with voters in the state- 38% say it has made them less likely to support Paul while 29% say it has made them more inclined to vote for him and 33% say it hasn't had an impact on their attitude toward Paul one way or the other.
Jack Conway has almost the same level of favorability as Paul- 31%- with much lower negatives at 29%. Usually you would expect a candidate with a +2 favorability to be defeating one with a -8. But Rand Paul's greatest asset in this race is Barack Obama. The President has only a 37% approval rating in Kentucky with 58% of voters disapproving of him. For the most part Democrats aren't going to be winning any seats they don't currently hold where the President's that unpopular but Paul's relative weakness is making this race more competitive than perhaps it should be.
http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2010/07/kentucky-sen...
Their dem/gop/indep breakdown is way skewed next to the voters
that actually showed up - including in 2008 which was a 'Dem year'. That plus the push poll questions shows this company has an agenda. They acknowledge that they are a Dem polling company.
I'm pretty sure one problem
I'm pretty sure one problem Rand might run into is the fact that many "conservatives" or Republicans feel the need to vote for a winner. When I bring up support for a liberty candidate or underdog of sorts to people who I know tend to vote Republican, the argument I hear is, "But (s)he can't win." I have never understood the logic, but I've met it face-to-face several times regardless. I don't know, maybe it's different in KY... I hope so. We NEED Rand in the Senate - Israel lover or not ;)
Democratically biased
Democratically biased polling. PPP does this all the time. No worries.
Columbus, Ohio
Taking blood money from
Taking blood money from Neo-con senators will do that...
Ventura 2012
Bad Poll
Rasmussen had Rand up 7% last week. Given the geopolitical dynamics there is no way this race is even in one week. PPP has given Rand low numbers from the begining. They are probably polling too many Democrats for the true turn out dynamic and their Eastern KY voter set is too liberal.
El Dorado
this wrecks my day
this poll just does not make any sense...smells fishy to me.
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My initial reaction as well but
I think we will be okay in Kentuckt come November
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Rand Paul Is No Longer Leading His Kentucky Senate Race
Why isn't Rand surging? Perhaps he stumbled a bit with his impolitic answer regarding the Civil Rights Amendment (he decline to say whether the government should enforce integration at the level of private institutions), and his comments about how the unemployed should just get lower-paying jobs may not have gone over well, either.
This will appall people, but if you're an investor, and your interest is the short-to-medium term, you should probably welcome the bloom coming off the tea party rose. Yes, we probably need to do something severe about the deficit, but if you own stocks, you want stimulus and spending. You don't want to see demand retrenchment.
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/rand-paul-is-no-longer-leadin...
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False flag
in the next day or two you'll see a poll that Conway is ahead. Some people will vote the way the polls direct so they won't be on the "losing" side.