Ten Reasons Why Ron Paul Can’t Win

By Thomas R. Eddlem

It always perturbed me that the wide variety of neocon commentators on television regularly pronounce with such fury and unison that Ron Paul "can’t win" but never give any reasons why he couldn’t win the presidential race.

At first, I assumed that these guys would be denying he had a chance up until and including Ron Paul’s inauguration day. And why shouldn’t I assume that? The pundits probably don’t give any reasons he can’t win, I thought, because there aren’t any.

Then I thought more deeply, and found that there are plenty of reasons why Ron Paul can’t be elected. Here are the ten top reasons why Ron Paul can’t win, in the format of David Letterman’s Top Ten List. My logic is flawless. As Bill O’Reilly would say, "you can’t even argue it."

10. Ron Paul is too popular among people who know where he stands. Instant polling numbers among focus groups watching the debates have his popularity at about 75 percent. But Americans don’t vote for people who are that popular. It’s true that George W. Bush got a little more than 50 percent of the vote in 2004 – just barely – but that was a fluke. Bush’s popularity numbers have since sunk back to the traditional 25–35 percent range. Before 2004, not one of the winners in the last three Presidential campaigns even got 50 percent of the vote. Dubya didn’t even win a plurality of the popular vote in 2000. So it’s a clear modern precedent that in order to become President, you need to be unpopular rather than widely popular. Ron Paul simply can’t win if he remains that popular, and there’s no reason to believe people will begin to hate him.

9. He’s got too much money, and nowhere to spend it. It’s great that Ron Paul’s official campaign is raising nearly as much money as the frontrunners. But it won’t do him any good. What would he spend it on? He doesn’t need to spend it on local campaigning, because he’s already got more than 700 Meetups across the country. (More on that in reason #8). Many of these Meetups are printing bumper stickers, fliers, and yard signs without money from the campaign. They are creating phone banks on their own. A few are even making their own media advertising buys. Therefore, the campaign doesn’t need money for any of these things. So the massive Ron Paul campaign fundraising, while impressive, is superfluous at best. Money simply won’t help.

8. Ron Paul is cheating by harnessing the fervor of an army of volunteers, rather than the method pursued by the other candidates – who must pay a huge campaign staff to get their message out. It’s not fair that Ron Paul has excited volunteers who will spend their own money to get him elected, while the other candidates have to pay lots of people salaries to work for their campaigns. So don’t think that the other candidates won’t cry "foul" when they notice that most of Ron Paul’s campaign contributions are "off the books" in these Meetups. Collectively, the Meetups may be spending more money than the frontrunner campaigns. I noticed this myself recently when I attended a Ron Paul Meetup in Pawtucket, Rhode Island. I got handed a wad of Ron Paul bumper stickers from a guy who printed them up himself. Others passed me self-printed fliers and lapel stickers while the whole group passed the hat to print road signs on their own. Do you really think these expenditures were sent in to the Federal Election Commission as a campaign contribution? I doubt it. "We need a campaign ‘fairness doctrine’ to level the playing field," the other candidates will argue, quite possibly to great effect.

Read the rest of the reasons over at LewRockwell.com

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the stranger's picture

Levity with a Lesson

Excellent back-handed complement… I didn’t have time to read the whole thing, so I shot through the BOLD, one phrase per number; perfect top ten form. Funny and brilliant – so I had to read everything else. Levity with a lesson; there’s no room for improvement in this essay.

wait, is this serious?

The post-surge surge will also expose the mystery behind Area 51, end world hunger and cure male-pattern baldness. This issue will be a loser for any anti-war candidate in short order. Just wait and see.

wtf is this, is this whole page a joke or did he just add some humorous stuff to it. Also a lot of the reasons just seem to be sarcastic and satirical (sp?).

10 reasons must read...

I keep sending my friends my music with little pleas to pay attention and get informed. Nothing usually returns in my mailbox but an occaisional pleasantry or well wish. Phooey! They just might need to read this fantastic piece. I love this writing.


Friends and Friendlies

Ron Paul rEVOLution is showing me who are my friends are and who are my friendlies. I have allot of friendlies, people who I like and can smile and say nice things to about about. I have many new friends because of the Ron Paul rEVOLution. My friends support Ron Paul. We may not agree on all the issuues, but we have a common passion and goal and I LOVE them, because LOVE is the heart of this rEVOLution, Those who I once called friend that do not share my passion for Ron Paul have become friendlies. We share a past passion, but it is PAST and I have evolved and they have not. I love them, yes, but I am not so interested in them because they no longer excite me, educate me, inspire me or stand where I stand. I stand with RON PAUL and if you stand with RON PAUL, I am standing with you, and I am not going to stop this stand for someone from the past, as much as I love them. When they email me, I return email about RON PAUL and if they choose to not return the email, it's NOT my loss. I hope you agree, after all, look at your MySpace and all your new friends, many who LOVE you more than those who became friendlies by their own choice. Love, because there's no rEVOLution without it, The Granger


Nicely written!

The "Colbert-ish" tone is sure to draw the naysayers in and make them read the truth.

Surprisingly touching

What this writer points out so well is that the Ron Paul campaign breaks the traditional rules of a presidential race, and to an astonishing effect.

Individuals, with their own money, create signs, flyers, bumper stickers, hats and other Ron Paul stuff; and they are happy to do it.

The meet-up groups are staggering in number and in devotion. The internet presence is towering. People who have never had the slightest interest in supporting any politician are leaping from their beds to support Dr. Paul. I am one of them.

Young people, usually not considered in a presidential race, are excited by the message of freedom and being left alone to pursue their dreams.

The other politicians must be baffled: what is Dr. Paul doing that they are not?

It is the message he brings, the Constitution, the end to tyranny. To the mainstream media and the business-as-usual Washington mindset, this is a threat; this is not supposed to happen. And yet, it is.

Millions of people are involved now and there is no going back. If Ron Paul wins that will be a tremendous coup d'etat. If he does not win, it is still be a coup d'etat: the word is out: freedom is a very good idea and countless numbers of nameless, faceless people are rallying to it.