Any Stock Market Experts Care to Comment - Will Stock Market Collapse In Sept?
Submitted by America Loves R... on Sun, 08/26/2007 - 15:38
Someone brought this thread to my attention in another forum.
I am NOT a stock market expert, but from the looks of a certain transaction, some of these folks who are knowledgable about the market are making some VERY interesting comments about someone betting the economy will collapse in September:
By the way, most of the people in the following forum are NOT what you'd call "conspiracy theorists" because it's a stock market forum. However, it seems several of them are scratching their heads over this HUGE transaction:
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The stock market collapsed...
a long time ago. 8 months ago it went belly up. What you're seeing is just smoke and mirrors now.
Can someone explain in plain
Can someone explain in plain English to a stock market noob just what this thread is about? This is completely over my head.
This is old news
from 2007
Prepare & Share the Message of Freedom through Positive-Peaceful-Activism.
Stock market crashes are in
Stock market crashes are in fact social phenomena where external economic events combine with crowd behavior and psychology in a positive feedback loop where selling by some market participants drives more market participants to sell. Generally speaking, crashes usually occur under the following conditions[citation needed]: a prolonged period of rising stock prices and excessive economic optimism, a market where Price to Earnings ratios exceed long-term averages, and extensive use of margin debt and leverage by market participants
liquid natural gas
Can someone speak specifically about the put option in.......
Can someone speak specifically about the put option in the thread I posted originally?
I want to know what Paulites think about THAT specific transaction, and what it could possibly mean.
Bottom line, did whoever make that transaction KNOW something's about to happen, i.e., that something is going to make the Market crash below 600 in September?
Even the folks in that thread, who AREN'T typically believers of conspiracies, are seriously questioning the motives of this transaction.
.
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www.vaclib.org
A put buy
can mean a number of things... it can be a bull or a bear trade... at the time I assumed it was bearish but whom ever put the trade on did not call the top very well if it was a bearish trade. Sept is still a ways off so we will see but for now downside puts are very expensive compared to at the money options... this can mean nothing and has happened before, only time will tell.
I dont expect a systemic crash in the markets but we have gone up to fast so I do expect a good solid retracement, but dont count on a crash...
Yes, the weekend before 9/11/7.
First, things continue to deteriorate in the background. And when the margin calls come, everything will tank as it will be sold to raise cash. No buyers. Then it will cascade as stocks on margin and exercised puts will accelerate things.
The timing comes from Chris Carolan's award winning paper on lunar calendars and autumn crashes. At least 5 crashes are documented there, but basically 55 hours before the full moon is the worst time, but it occurs during the weekend.
Another timing thing is that crashes often occur 55 days (fibonacci?) after the top. This would put the crash day within Carolan's window.
Both of these occurred in 1929 and 1987, and there have been other times (including 7/96 which was the wrong lunar month, but the 55 day/55 hour relation held, and the 1989 mini-crash in october).
If Iran wanted to destroy us, all it need do now is provoke a fight while European, Asian, and US credit systems are already freezing up. Even if they lost militarily (which is hardly certain - a stalemate like Iraq is more likely), the Dow would be at 5000 by mid-september.
stock market
I am no stock market expert but even if this thread is true
and not a mistake what can anyone do? It doesn't hurt
to be alert but I don't think it is wise to panic. I can remember
the 70's I was so worried things looked bleak but we
survived. All through out history there has been challenges
and this is no different. I think the biggest thing I have learned
lately is not to trust this government or the media.
Question what people say and more so what
they do. Oh! go for a walk enjoy what's left of the summer.
Prepare & Share the Message of Freedom through Positive-Peaceful-Activism.
I am watching that timeframe...
As with the original BOE, thirty days in law is the magic number. On August 13, 2007 many central banks injected serious "liquidity" into the marketplace to avoid a sharp drop of Chinese confidence in the dollar.
http://www.suijuris.net/forum/attachments/end-days-america/3...
As with the original BOE in question - which came due on August 13, 2001.
http://ecclesia.org/forum/images/suitors/BOE1.gif
http://ecclesia.org/forum/images/suitors/BOE2.gif
Ergo I expect if the orchestrations of releasing the intense infrastructure do not start happening before September 11, then we will start seeing things like September 11 on or around September 11.
Regards,
David Merrill.