John McCain won the primary in 2008, Ron Paul can win it in 2012. Here's why.Submitted by sambachico on Mon, 07/04/2011 - 09:52
In 2008, I was absolutely shocked that John McCain actually mustered up enough support to win the primary. I wondered where it came from. I had been an avid Limbaugh/Hannity/Levin listener since 1999 and I knew damned well that those guys could not stand McCain. McCain has not had traditional support from the so called ‘conservative gatekeepers’, which includes Rush Limbaugh - who actually has several very funny parodies of McCain; Sean Hannity who hasn’t ever had much good to say about McCain except about his war position and military service. Then there is Mark Levin, who actually could not stand McCain as a candidate in 2008, but now is an odd bedfellow with McCain supporting Obama’s unconstitutional War in Libya, while claiming to be a Constitutional scholar. Why is this information even important?
It’s important because it shows that in 2008, the so called gatekeepers, while promoting Mitt Romney by and large, completely lost their influence over the Republican primary voting base. It seemed to scare them quite a bit. It even concerned me as much; as I wanted Ron Paul to win and was basically told by the establishment that he is unelectable, just vote for Romney, the lesser evil. McCain won the primary.
Really, McCain won? I thought for sure Limbaugh and Hannity would have been able to sway their constituency into supporting Romney, or that their constituency was so large that they could get together and call the shots. Hell, I thought these guys were always looking out for me. Naïve I was in 2007.
Some of my family joked about having to go get drunk to vote McCain because we could not in good conscience vote for him. Even my relatives who I would describe as neoconservatives were starting to wane on the war mongering, and it was relatives who first introduced me to Ron Paul with a video of him on Google. In my heart, I knew Ron Paul was right and I supported him.
The new gatekeepers in 2007-2008 became the pollsters - including Frank Luntz on fox news. They were manufacturing up polls for daily news stories. Rudy Giuliani was initially seen as the front-runner, but walked away from the Primaries without a single delegate vote. By the time New Hampshire came around, the pollsters were showing McCain having tremendous support over in that region. What happened? The conservatives figured they would just follow the trend of who could win against Hillary – according to who the pollsters said was the front-runner. As usual, even the pollsters were dead wrong on Hillary Clinton having already sealed the nomination. Hannity was so convinced by the pollsters that he had nearly a year of the “Stop Hillary Express” tagline on his show.
The public has fallen into the trap of letting the pollsters ask questions that will have a more desired outcome from someone who actually pays for the poll. Pollsters like Gallup don’t do it for free, so of course there is some bias in the questioning to lead to a more desired outcome for the entity paying for the poll, so they get repeat business when it rewards them.
Where this dangerously changed was that the news media and the pollsters united and starting pre-selecting candidates using news stories made up from this poll and that poll, using this data to influence the public to the extent of pre-electing candidates who are only deemed viable by the MSM and the pollsters. Fortunately, their platform is crumbling with younger generations.
So what’s changed since 2008? Well, Myspace is now a dud. Just sold for 35 million and was the major social networking site in 2008. Facebook is the rage, and the number of people on Facebook is absolutely incredible - some 600 + million. People can more easily share their political rationale with family and friends. People are starting to listen to their friends share things more than they watch TV in certain age ranges. The amount of people watching television is going down, and it’s shifting to Internet television/news/media that isn’t as centrally controlled. Netflix subscriptions make up nearly 25% of all Internet traffic, and people are cancelling their standard services in droves to save money. As usual, the free market creates more choices and people like this.
If the media is losing the lion's share of their influence over these last four years namely because of public distrust and real free market alternatives, Ron Paul actually has a very good chance of winning the nomination. The Limbaughs, Hannitys and Levins no longer had the ability even in 2008 to pre-select the conservative candidate, so Ron Paul really does not require their support to seal the nomination.
So I must remind Ron Paul supporters who get discouraged, and those who like Ron Paul who say “he isn’t electable because my talk radio head guy says so” are dead wrong. Ron Paul does not need the talk radio head support to win the nomination because John McCain won the nomination completely without them. John McCain could not have been a more polar opposite for talk radio. That’s how badly their influence has fallen.
Ron Paul is the polar opposite of talk radio this time around, mainly due to his foreign policy views, but he’s also the polar opposite of the MSM in general. He does have the internet, tea party, fundraising, and grassroots organizations promoting him for hours a day on the internet and with friends. That in the end might change the equation- as younger generations don’t even listen to the news any longer. Now those kids just need to get out there and vote.
Even Glenn Beck has been promoting Ron Paul’s positions more than ever, and his influence within conservative circles has grown. In the debates this year, the people on stage no longer laugh at Ron Paul but rather agree with him even on stage about his policies on healthcare, economics, debt, social security and the fed. All the other candidates are trying to incorporate pieces of his policies into their message; even Newt wants to audit the fed. The public is slowly seeing this; Ron Paul who they first heard mentioned in 2008 predicted the economic crisis, runaway government and has always stood by the Constitution and our Liberties. Don’t let the media and the pollsters decide your candidate this time around, Ron Paul can win if you, your neighbors, friends and family vote for him. This is a real grassroots campaign, not Astroturf. Get involved.
The media-polling union has thrown the flavor of the month conservative candidates at us now for months – effectively telling the public anyone but Obama, but also anyone but Ron Paul. Why? Because the establishment does not want the status quo changed, and they know Ron Paul if elected will drastically disturb the unholy union of the media, corporations and the state.