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Ron Paul Ahead in Texas Poll

Submitted by robbjerk on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 11:31
in

http://www.lewrockwell.com/politicaltheatre/2011/07/ron-paul...


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Has anyone confirmed this poll?

Submitted by dmisneato on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 20:46.

To me the webpage and lack of details just comes off as a hoax. The fact the campaign was the one to break the news makes it seem more legit but it still doesn't feel right. I don't think this will get any press sadly if it's true.

Big Brother has different ideas

Submitted by legalizeliberty on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 15:04.

this just came out:
http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/07/perry-doing-...

here is quote that really stands out for me:

"One thing very clear in the Texas numbers- Republicans there don't care for Ron Paul. Just 37% hold a favorable opinion of him to 45% with a negative one. It's pretty much a given that Paul's chances at the nomination are close to zero but the fact that his fellow GOP voters don't even like him takes Paul's troubles to a different level".

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Some things to keep in mind

Submitted by poq on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 16:40.

This comment from the poll sheds some light on PPP's texas polling accuracy

Texas Poll Junkie said...

This is stupid. And it's still stupid. Perry has not announced. Earlier in the year, he was pretty adamant that he wasn't running. He still has not announced. When he actually announces, get back to us with some of your famously flawed Texas data. You also say Democrats could win KBH's Senate seat in 2012 and that KBH was up by 25 on Perry in 2009, and that Bill White was tied with Rick Perry in the gubernatorial race, even though every other poll showed Perry up by 10 (he won by 12 or 13). Your polls are a joke in Texas.

Also:

This survey was taken June 25-27, 2011 and is not as recent the new Azimuth poll. A lot can change in a small amount of time. PPP said themselves Perry was polling at only 9% in January. He's down to 17% in Azimuths poll.

Also PPP only surveyed 400 Republican primary voters whereas Azimuth surveyed 882 making Azimuth's poll more accurate.

And of those 400 polled very few were from Ron's core demographic, only 25% those surveyed were 18-45, 75% were 45-65+

It also appears those who consider themselves "very liberal" on the ppp poll were playing games as they gave Sarah Palin 55% favorable rating while everyone else was in the 20-30 range. A liberal finding Palin favorable?

So I'd say PPP's margin of error is +/- 10% and i'll take their findings with an eye roll and a grain a salt.

Q17 Would you describe yourself as:
Very liberal..................................................... 3%
Somewhat liberal............................................ 5%
Moderate...................................................... 15%
Somewhat conservative................................... 34%
Very conservative ........................................... 43%

Q18 Gender
Woman ........................................................... 45% Man................................................................. 55%

Q19 Age
18 to 29 ......................................................... 5%
30 to 45 .......................................................... 20%
46 to 65 .......................................................... 43%
Older than 65 ................................................. 32%

Thanks Poq

Submitted by legalizeliberty on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 16:48.

Thanks for your informative comment.

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Very encouraging poll, but

Submitted by LeifEiriksson on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 14:29.

Very encouraging poll, but the fact that Gary Johnson is at 9% is quite odd.

Why is a poll from the end of

Submitted by Raymond on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 13:34.

Why is a poll from the end of may / first of june just now coming out? I would be hesitant to quote a polling firm that looks to have conducted 2 polls in its entire existance. I hope they are right, but.....

True.

Submitted by Texas_Chris on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 13:48.

But still, any port in a storm.

Bump

Submitted by jester2069 on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 13:28.

Good stuff.

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I am sending this to Drudge Report

Submitted by legalizeliberty on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 13:18.

right now.

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Thanks

Submitted by legalizeliberty on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 12:28.

bump for good news.

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I'm not sure about this one...

Submitted by Baug on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 12:17.

If this company with their apparent fly-by-night operation as the website would lead you to believe had reported any other candidate in so much of a commanding lead, would we believe that poll?

It's great that Ron Paul is leading on this one, but we should know better than anyone else how deceiving polls can be.

We need to consider than the campaign just did hire a major pollster. Are his methods and aims the same as other pollsters, or does he have the same vision as Dr. Paul?

While this is great news, I think it needs to be taken with a grain of salt...

They called 882 republicans,

Submitted by Crickett on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 12:23.

They called 882 republicans, and it only has a 2% discrepancy, so it looks good..

Dick Morris only polled 700...

Submitted by Texas_Chris on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 13:50.

And his poll results were taken as gospel.

(Plus, he has a history of being anti-Paul)

Just left the "first" comment

Submitted by JeffnDallas on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 12:15.

"Go ye and do likewise...lol"

And my comment is that of a Texas GOP Precinct Chair...which I never would have done until 2008 when the good doctor cured MY apathy as well :-)

This is great. But you know

Submitted by cineman Ω™ on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 12:06.

This is great. But you know they won't show this on establishment media, do you know why? Because it's not an internet poll so they can't discount it. They always say "Oh he has a strong online cult following" but this poll was done by PHONE. Proof that it's not just an online phenomenon. This poll is also on the ronpaul2012.com site.

It says "Poll Method: Monitored and Automated Calls"

If this post is valid then

Submitted by Lars on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 11:52.

...this is the best news for a long, long time.

If you include Gary Johnson that is 31% of the vote for non-establishment candidates!

And Romney is at 8% and Bachmann is at 7%, so we won't hear about this poll in the oldstream media....

The establishment must be scratching their heads. Do we throw more candidates into the race and dilute our votes or do we stay with the dogs we have?

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Great point about Gary Johnson!

Submitted by JeffnDallas on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 12:17.

So if they see RP as a more "viable" candidate, those votes may shift to Ron. However, look how THIN the pie has to be sliced between all the vending machine candidates...;-)

Seems Valid

Submitted by IMissLiberty on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 12:06.

http://www.azimuthpolls.com/

And not "spammed" as they polled likely TX voters.

Most voters aren't thinking about the nominee right now. But it makes sense that they would vote for the ones they've heard of, and Ron Paul ran last time and is from Texas.

Of course, it's really the delegates who decide, but not if they've bound themselves to a popularity poll conducted at public expense.

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wow

Submitted by EricHoffer on Wed, 07/06/2011 - 11:39.

Never noticed this one before, good find.

Eric Hoffer

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