Colleges and youth movement are the keys to victory!Submitted by phojes on Sat, 09/24/2011 - 22:15
After watching the LSU speech, I am now absolutely convinced that the youth movement and the colleges are the keys to victory for Ron Paul. THIS is how we turn the tables and win this election! THIS is how we beat Romney and the establishment! Here's why...
1) The LSU speech was a well articulated, well paced, speech given to a crowd that was enthusiastic and open to listening to Ron Paul's ideas on liberty and freedom. This is by far Ron Paul's best format for delivery. He was able to explain through logic and history his positions on war, economics, civil and personal liberties, etc... If you listen to him, he just makes sense.
2) It's a well known fact that Ron Paul runs first or second in the polls among the 18-40 group, but polls extremely bad amongst the 65+ crowd. The older the group, the worse he does. I've often thought that if only we could convince older voters, we would win. I now realize that economically, this logic is flawed. Older voters are much more set in their ways and harder to convince. Younger voters are more open to outside the box ideas and are easier to convince. Therefore, if you have a limited amount of money, doesn't it make more sense that every $1 of campaign money is better spent trying to convince people MORE open to voting for you than on people less open to voting for you? (i.e. old establishment republicans)
3) Many polls seem skewed against Dr. Paul because often 75% of those polled are in the 40+ crowd, but only 25% of the 18-40 crowd. The reason for this is because the older people are the "likely registered voters", often showing up on registered republican lists and landlines. We use this to justify that these polls are unrepresentative of the real numbers and that they will be higher on election day. We must be VERY cautious of this reasoning. As Dr. Paul does often, I will use history to explain my statement of caution. In 2008, the polls had Dr. Paul at 9% in NH and everyone here expected much bigger numbers on election day. On election day, when Dr. Paul actually got only 9%, we were shocked and outraged, how could it be? I was a poll watcher that day and I can give you the main reason the poll numbers lined up to the election numbers. In this case, the polls WERE representative, because the 18-40 crowd did not vote in the republican primary. They either voted in the democratic primary OR they did not vote. Thus 75% of the republican primary voters were 40+. We need the youth vote and we need them to show up this time and vote in the republican primary.
4) I think the campaign is doing a great job in organization in Iowa and NH, but it's going to be tough to launch a full 50 state campaign against the likes of Romney and Perry with their big corrupt donor money. Therefore, we need to maximize vote numbers for every dollar of campaign money. Rather than speak to 100 people at a town meeting or visiting a coffee shop with 50 people, isn't it a better use of time and money to speak to 1500 enthusiastic young people? I do think the coffee shop, town hall meetings have their place in Iowa and NH, but overall, these college campus speeches give more bang for the buck.
5) Finally, as a volunteer base, college students are much more active, energetic, and capable than people with 60 hr a week jobs and families to support (like me). Also, college students are far more skilled and networked at social media which will be our biggest tool in getting around the MSM bias.
Therefore, my conclusion is to keep with the current NH and Iowa strategies, but on a national level, Dr. Paul should basically go to colleges all across the country. Replicate the LSU gathering at as many colleges as possible. He can draw large crowds open to hearing his message and then have a core group of volunteers organize and register as many people as possible for the republican primaries. There needs to be a serious registration and get out the vote effort. We NEED the younger people to show up on election day. Have lots of information on where to vote as a student. In addition, there can be some information of how to spread the message, including ways to convince parents, grandparents, relatives, ... Basically work from the ground up on the age scale. While Romney and Perry fight for all the middle aged and older establishment vote, Ron Paul can take ALL of the youth vote. To me this makes sense strategically and financially. What do you think?