True Polling NumbersSubmitted by hayek on Thu, 10/27/2011 - 18:32
When you read the Poll is says...like Republican Voters...who voted in the 2008 Republican primary. Remember the Republican party back then? The reality is the face of the Republican Party is changing, but those new faces are not being polled.
You can get a more accurate overview if you look at straw polls, more people are showing up. Like Ames, In 1999 over 23 thousand republicans showed up to vote for Bush.
The party eroded under Bush and in 2007, 14 thousand die hards show up at Ames.
16,892 Votes cast at Ames in 2011, and other straw polls have surging numbers as well. Increased participation in Republican politics is due largely to Ron Paul. He's recruiting people left and right.
At Ames, Ron Paul went from a 9% in 2007 to 27% in 2011. His increase in voter base more than represents the increase in Republicans attending the event. How many new Republicans were recruited by Ron Paul? They're important because they represent a 15% in overall voter base, and they're not being polled.
Ron Paul is gaining ground amongst 2008 voters and that is reflected in the polls, but what is not reflected is people who are moving or returning to the Republican Party to vote for Ron Paul.
I would love to see a Poll skewed in Ron Paul's favor. The GOP should poll all post 2008 NEWLY registered Republicans to see who they would vote for. I would also like to see a chart showing the declining Republican Membership during the bush era, and the gradual recovery along with the Candidate leading that recovery.