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Public Policy Polling - Iowa: Gingrich 22%, Paul 21%, Romney 16%


Gingrich 22%
Paul 21%
Romney 16%

There has been some major movement in the Republican Presidential race in Iowa over the last week, with what was a 9 point lead for Newt Gingrich now all the way down to a single point. Gingrich is at 22% to 21% for Paul with Mitt Romney at 16%, Michele Bachmann at 11%, Rick Perry at 9%, Rick Santorum at 8%, Jon Huntsman at 5%, and Gary Johnson at 1%.


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PPP has been releasing weekly

PPP has been releasing weekly polls. The PPP figure that is/was on RCP was from last week. The posted figures on the link are the most recent released today.


I meant the rcp avg. Sorry for the confusion.

They just updated the average

They aren't including the american research group poll from yesterday though. Keep in mind that the other polls in the average are older so as those organizations take new polls we will likely see Newt's numbers fall and Ron's numbers rise based on what this most recent poll shows.

the average hasn't been updated yet to reflect this new poll

nor has it been updated to reflect the poll released yesterday that showed Gingrich at 22% Paul at 17% give it some time RCP is not instantaneously updated

Peaking too early? We are

Peaking too early? We are steadily climbing, once you go Ron Paul you never go back.

HAHAHAha..I said the almost

HAHAHAha..I said the almost exact thing before I saw your post..lol

wait, I thought 19% was his ceiling?

With Paul supporters being loyal and supporters of the "meh" brigade being antsy, it looks to me like that's his new floor.

What is begun in anger, ends in shame.

Everyone knows 21% is Ron

Everyone knows 21% is Ron Paul's ceiling. George Stephanoupolis told me personally. You guys may as well give up now, George would bet you every last cent he has that Ron Paul can't win.

And then when Ron Paul wins, George will save face by saying that his prediction only applied to 2008 and not 2012.

notice that the ceiling keeps increasing...

everytime his support base grows the media comes up with a new "ceiling of support"

It's like the debt ceiling...

It's like the debt ceiling...

Tied for first place!

Is it the tipping point, guys?

I can't believe it. Newt is going down the tubes.

the "tipping point" is...

...generally believed to be FIFTEEN percent. (Someone correct me if I'm wrong??)

Yup, 15%

We past that a little ways back. The good news is just a rollin in now every day.

I think the tipping point was the value voters summit, how long ago was that?

"The world is a dynamic mess of jiggling things, if you look at it right." - Richard Feynman


We can come ahead only if we continue to work and make calls.

The MSM is the work and call center for the establishment candidates that is why we can never let up, ever.

Know your stuff, learn real history and economics @LibertyClassroom.com

You're right.

This is exactly when we should double our efforts.

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Those who make peaceful revolution impossible will make violent revolution, inevitable.

this is great news! I feel a

this is great news! I feel a landslide coming.

nah, more like...


haha that was great!

haha that was great!

No Sh*t Rusty...Wow!

...and that doesn't count the independents or anti war demos...lol..

actually it does include indies and dems

That is why he is tied for first! if you look at the numbers from this poll among just republicans Gingrich is leading 25% to Paul's 17%

thanks, I thought they only polled likely Rep voters..

much appreciated..

The poll only includes

The poll only includes "likely Republican Caucus voters" which includes Republicans, independents, and Democrats who are planning on voting in the Republican caucus.

How would they determine if a

How would they determine if a Democrat is likely to vote in a Republican caucus?

um they ask them

over the phone in a survey


This would be the highest figure so far for Ron Paul that I've seen in any poll in Iowa.

Here's the full cross tabs: http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_1213925.pdf