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New ARG Iowa Poll: RON PAUL Still in Lead!

New American Research Group poll released this Friday for Iowa:

Ron Paul: 21%
Romney: 20%
Gingrich: 19%

This is the highest Paul has been in this poll; he's up five points from their last poll.

http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/201205-poll-paul-r...



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I beleive that all that happened is they slowed Paul down

he is still increasing his poll numbers and that is what's important. Play as if your 10 points behind right!

I hope we're prepared for the blowback.

I'd bet real money that the (spit!) Establishment will do their best to pull off some kind of cheat, and of course, the accusations that we're doing exactly what they're actually doing will fly fast and furious!

Freedom is my Worship Word!

3 Candidates Striking out in Virginia

feel free to pass the video around http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Jz0LPkMXXUM&feature=plcp&cont...

Truth is the virus that people fear the most because it's reality.

Americans Elect-Ron Paul #1, Newt #9, Romney #10 less 1,000 ea

MOST TRACKED**** Trump thinking of running here.
Republican**** Cain #13 less than 500
Ron Paul**** Rand #19 290
5,864 Tracking**** Bachmann #20 288
***************************Rich Perry #21 274
Democrat**** Santorum #35 135
Barack Obama**** McCain #77 61
3,583 Tracking*************Down to #170 candidates and no
****************************Trump
yet, ha ha I think you have to be
an elected representative.
Republican
Jon Huntsman Sorry Trump but Ron has 1st Place
here. You can't win Trump. I think
that is what I heard you telling
3,413 Tracking*********Dr. Ron Paul. Who can't win????
Republican
Buddy Roemer

1,866 Tracking
Independent
Bernie Sanders

1,654 Tracking

A.Hansen

Trump

Whenever I envision an Obama/Paul/Trump ticket (r/d/whatever), I wonder, is it possible to actually get a negative number of votes? Once, on Family Feud, during the "fast money" segment, one of the questions was "on a scale of one to ten, how much do you admire Donald Trump?"

The #1 answer was "one." ;-)

Freedom is my Worship Word!

yup, here's their data from April to Dec of this yr

great news!

http://americanresearchgroup.com/pres2012/primary/rep/ia/

though, personally I think we're intentionally being under reported to give Mutt Wrongney some room to fudge their data, in case they decide to go Diebold thievin' on us.

Predictions in due Time...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGDisyWkIBM

"Let it not be said that no one cared, that no one objected once it's realized that our liberties and wealth are in jeopardy." - Dr. Ronald Ernest Paul

Cool..

Thanks for the data. I forwarded it to some unbelievers. They will see that Ron Paul is not reached critical mass.

Next his figures will go through the roof..

Ron Paul, last hope for America..

Mitt and Newts advisors have ties to 40 billion in contracts

National security advisers to the Republican presidential candidates have ties to defense, homeland security and energy companies that have received at least $40 billion in federal contracts since 2008. please read and pass along and maybe post to your social media sites to give other supporters the ammo they need to bring Romney and Gingrich down

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-23/republican-security...

Keeping the faith, continuing the fight

I notice that many of these polls that show Paul at 2nd, 3rd, or 4th, have labeled as "out of 400 likely Republican voters".

Do you think TPTB don't choose districts that may vote against Paul? Also, aren't you curious that they never include independent and democratic voters? I firmly believe that Paul is the front runner, nationwide by a small landslide. Doesn't mean I'm gona quit fighting, just trying to remain positive

For liberty!

One world, under government, with power and money for the elite

Keep on Trucking!

we got this...

Busses

Aren't there any busses or vans to take people that might not drive in bad weather?

mickey45

Buses

There probably will be at least car pools. If The Good Doctor's fans up there are as fanatical as I am, they'll find a way to get to their causus, by hook or by crook.

Freedom is my Worship Word!

or maybe...

...some BUSES?? (buss = kiss)

bump

for Liberty!

LL on Twitter: http://twitter.com/LibertyPoet
sometimes LL can suck & sometimes LL rocks!
http://www.dailypaul.com/203008/south-carolina-battle-of-cow...
Love won! Deliverance from Tyranny is on the way! Col. 2:13-15

Work to be done

This poll looks good. I have not seen any flaws.

It does indicate some challenges.

1. This is essentially a tie. We need a definite win.

2. Support is strongest (percentage) among independent voters. A quarter of the people at the Republican caucus will be registering that night. And about a third of the people registering Republican at caucuses will be Paul supporters. We can encourage people to go out and caucus even if it means standing in line to register. And all Paul supporters should be early or on time.

3. Both Romney and Gingrich look strongest among those who will "definitely" caucus. Paul people might avoid hyperbole and be shy about saying "definitely". However, it will benefit Paul if more of those "probably will caucus" people will move to "definitely". We can encourage Paul supporters to definitely caucus. To look at this a different way: If all the "definitely" make it and only 80% of the "probably" make it, then the poll is a 3-way tie. If bad weather means half the "definitely" make it and none of the "probably", then Gingrich wins (based on the poll indication). Perhaps we can move some of our "probably" friends to "definitely". Maybe an offer of a ride in bad weather will help.

4. As mentioned before, advertising can target the undecided women in Iowa.

I can't imagine a true Ron

I can't imagine a true Ron Paul supporter not voting for RP because of a little bad weather.

If anything, something like that would make our chances better as the Romney and Gingrich people aren't that passionate about their candidate.

Let it not be said that no one cared, that no one objected once it’s realized that our liberties and wealth are in jeopardy. -Ron Paul 7/10/03

A true Ron Paul supporter will caucus in bad weather.

Yeah, a true supporter will caucus in bad weather. I'm just going by what the poll said about "definitely" and "probably".

Perhaps we know some marginal supporters who can use some encouragement in getting to the caucus.

thats a great news.. Paul is

thats a great news..
Paul is gaining 5% since Nov. everyone else is dropping.
Eventhough the numbers look a bit low to me, it clearly indicates who has the momentum

I think we can mentally add

I think we can mentally add conservatively 2%-5% to any poll, our support will show up.

But as Ron Paul says, "campaign like your 10 points behind"

Yes, you may be right and Ron

Yes, you may be right and Ron Paul seems to be leading in all the Iowa polls now, but when you talk that way it gets in the way of taking action on the statement "campaign like your 10 points behind".

Use these polls only to be indicaters of a trend, and not as an indicater that he is or will win.

Besides . . . Ron Paul needs much more than a close win, so right now you can really look at it as he is 20 points behind.

I agree 5% is the minimum

I agree 5% is the minimum that is never added into the polls since those at home who are taking calls are not working, get their news form the msm and are not as politically engaged as the rest which means likely not to show up at polls. EVERY single Ron Paul supporter will show up and vote unless his wife is in labor and even then he might just pop out real quick with her blessing to go save our nation and secure the freedoms of their soon to be born child.
Bottom line:
We are all showing up
Some of them wont show up
All the independents not counted are showing up for Ron
All the new dems to R's are showing up for Ron
We are going to blow Iowa out of the water 32%+

Thats

Nice to see, along with a thread that is good news...

I guess people don't care

I guess people don't care about good news?

bump!

!

Bump!

.

Pinstripe Bowl in NJ Tons of Iowans...

DEC 30th is the Pinstripe bowl! Which is a college football game between Iowa st and Rutgers. This game is taking place at Yankee stadium NJ on the above date at 3:30pm. This would be a great opportunity to get some action mingling with Iowa fans. Handing brochures, talking, wearing RP shirts etc... whatever... Daily Paul Get involved here! I see this a good opportunity@

Kevin

Dr. Paul will

outperform traditional polls!

This is because many of his supporters are young and use cellphones instead of landlines. Also many don't trust mainstream media and won't participate in polls. Add to that people who won't show up on polling call lists because they will register specifically to vote for Dr. Paul like Independents and Blue Republicans.

Last but not least is the fact that Paul supporters will turn out and not stay home, not matter what the weather or inconvenience, more so than for any other candidate.

If Ron Paul is favored to win by traditional polling it means he will actually win in a LANDSLIDE.

"Among men, Paul leads with

"Among men, Paul leads with 29%, followed by Gingrich at 21%, and Romney at 18%. Among women, Romney leads with 23%, followed by Gingrich at 17%, Paul at 12%, and Perry at 11%. A total of 9% of men and 16% of women remain undecided."

I hope they see this and put money into the new ad.

Ron Paul Ad: Staying on the Right Path
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f_qBSow4FrE

This has probably been posted

This has probably been posted before but its kinda fun comparing the polls coming out to the same ones from 2007. Below is a link where you can see them.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/ia/io...

Numbers

Just looking at the results from 2007 show that around December 17 through the 26th Huckabee was in first place, but his poll numbers began to sag (relentless media scrutiny). After December 27th, Huckabee's poll numbers had a brief bump and sag in the polls before the year ended. On December 30th, Romney was in first place on the RCP average for one day before Huckabee bumped through the final stretch before the actual caucus date on Jan. 3rd.

Looking at the numbers right now, Paul is in the lead, and I doubt that any poll numbers will be released until Monday or Tuesday at the earliest (P.P.P. maybe on Monday). Paul's lead right now is different than the last election cycle because there were 6 candidates, instead of the 7 right now (with of course the different dynamics). I expect newer numbers by Wednesday and we should be able to see what kind of shape we are in but otherwise keep up with the positive news.