MoneyBomb? Why now? My hypothesis.Submitted by egervari on Tue, 12/27/2011 - 10:54
Originally the campaign had said 3-4 million, but I think things have changed - and it's only partially due to the increased attacks.
I think we're looking at a very short race - either Dr. Paul wins it all quickly, or loses quickly. I don't see this race going on for months on end anymore. The chance that we see a Romney/Paul race battling it out for several months is slim.
I think this is why the campaign wants funds now - to make the best go of it, either way it turns out.
With Gingrich surely on the way out after Iowa, Romney is going to have a massive lead going into New Hampshire.
I'd say spread the word to as many people as you can, because this might be one of the last money bombs we'll get - regardless of how well we do.
I think that the media's strategy really was to make Paul less appealing to Romney, and with Gingrich going out, the mainstream media is hoping that people will vote for Romney despite their dislike for him. That is what they've been working up to for weeks - to make Ron less appealing to Romney to the average voter. Really, think about all of their actions up until now - it makes sense.
The campaign won't tell you this, but we should probably give a money bomb the campaign will never forget. This could be one of the last ones - so let's be on the winning side of it.
If Dr. Paul can win both Iowa and New Hampshire, we won. It's over. There's no way for the media to spin this, and Romney has no chance of recovering. Nobody would.
But if a lot of candidates drop out after Iowa, including Gingrich, this whole race changes - and we are in deep shit. That is why Dr. Paul wants the money. That has to be the real reason.
While our goal should be to win New Hampshire, Dr. Paul needs as much money as possible to approach a tie there if everyone drops out. This means if Romney wins New Hampshire, he can't win it by 10 or more points. If Romney wins 65-35, Dr. Paul is toast. We can't let this happen.
The sad thing is, Huntsman is probably going to stay in the race after Iowa - and whether he realizes it or not, he's going to eat up a lot of Dr. Paul's transitional support since there supporters have *some* overlap when it comes to foreign policy (however slight an overlap that is, it is the truth).
I think it's fair to say that if Romney, Dr. Paul and Huntsman were the only 3 candidates left in the race after Iowa, Dr. Paul probably loses unless we give him enough money to be competitive there. Even then, it may not be enough after Gingrich drops out, but we have to try.
So this is it ladies and gentleman. The moment of truth is now.
Before you vote this post down, consider the truth in it first.