Enthusiasm is not the same as electoral victorySubmitted by Dixie on Tue, 01/03/2012 - 12:20
I want to tell the story of 2008 really quick.
We had a ton of enthusiasm in 2008. The campaign proper was weak, but the grassroots raised 4 million, then 6 million in 2 days about a month apart.
We felt really good about ourselves.
We felt righteous, because no way that evil Giuliani or dopey Fred Thompson were going to do better than us.
Everyone expected a 3rd finish in Iowa, maybe even better.
- They don't count the youth.
- They don't count the independents.
- People don't use landlines.
It didn't matter. We got 5th, which was respectable, but low enough that Fox (iirc) dropped Dr. Paul from a debate in NH.
The NH finish was really disappointing. Everyone was hoping Operation Live Free or Die would make a difference, but it really didn't. A lot of people just went to NH and did nothing, and the few who did work hard, well it wasn't the stuff winning campaigns need.
After NH, we were really deflated. Dr. Paul carried on longer, past Super Tuesday, but after the 5th place in Iowa, and the poor showing in NH, the campaign was over, even if we all believed in the necessity of a Ron Paul victory more than ever before.
A couple lessons I learned from the last time around.
1. You can't win without an awesome campaign staff.
2. You can't win with sign wavings or YouTube videos.
3. You can't win by rushing internet polls.
The way we win is to turn voters out. Voters have to be ID'd, brought to the caucus with as many people as they can muster, and they must stay until delegates are selected.
We're in a position to win. Will we win?
It's not for certain. As Ron Paul has done better, the long knives have come out. There are literally trillions of dollars of wealth being threatened by a Ron Paul presidency. These people take Paul very, very seriously. He may be the biggest threat they have ever faced.
Tomorrow we might finish 3rd due to shenanigans or just over-estimating what we have in Iowa. We might finish 1st and get beat up by the media again.
At this point, there is not a lot that will change what happens tomorrow night except maybe a brutal snowstorm.
But what we can do tomorrow is hit the phones for the campaign, stay positive and act with class. That way no matter the outcome we will know we have given our last measure.
Let's all hit the phones. It's do or die time.