Nice bump
Jan. 5, 2012
Romney 41%
Paul 18%
Santorum 8%
Gingrich 7%
Huntsman 7%
http://www.suffolk.edu/images/content/FINAL_NH_Marginals_Jan...
Jan. 4, 2012
Romney 43%
Paul 14%
Santorum 6%
Gingrich 9%
Huntsman 7%
http://www.suffolk.edu/images/content/FINAL.NH.Marginals.Jan...
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Current numbers
Jan. 7, 2012
Romney 39%
Paul 17%
Gingrich 10%
Santorum 9%
Huntsman 9%
Undecided 15%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Suffolk_NH_0107.pdf
Jan. 6, 2012
Romney 40%
Paul 17%
Santorum 11%
Gingrich 9%
Huntsman 8%
Undecided 15%
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/docs/2012/Suffolk_NH_0106.pdf
RomneyCare RIN
Be sure to remind your conservative and libertarian friends that Romney is a liberal, Rockefeller Republican supported by much of the same Massachusetts political machinery that runs things just to the south of us.
Romney has supported gun control and pulled a D- grade from Gun Owners of America, lower than any Republican nominee in the last 30 years. He has supported Planned Parenthood financially, as well as their agenda, and he is famous for RomneyCare (just like ObamaCare) that is hurting businesses in Mass. right now.
It was when people realized that Romney was a RINO a few months ago that his poll numbers dropped then, uplifting Perry, then Gingrich. We just need to remind primary voters that Romney is too liberal for the country.
GaryJohnson2012.com On the outside chance that RP doesn't get the nomination.
Santorum will be out in two
Santorum will be out in two months or so. He got the religious vote in Iowa. In NH he will be well behind RP.
Pass out Pocket Constitutions as campaign literature
Dr. Paul should be passing out POCKET CONSTITUTIONS at every stop while he's campaigning.
The cost is minimal, but the effect would be very large. Pocket Contitutions can be purchased in bulk for as low as twenty or thirty cents each, that's cheaper than some of the glossy campaign handouts.
Passing out Pocket Constitutions would tell the voter that Ron Paul really is the "champion of the Constitution" and would set him apart fom any other candidate.
Printing Ron Paul's name on the front cover of the Pocket Copnstitution would really reinforce that message in the minds of the voters, while giving them something to hang onto & read later.
Volunteers could also highlight Articles 1, Section 8 & 10..... and the Preamble to the Bill Of Rights prior to their distribution. That would focus the recipients of the Constitutions on those very important passages, and maybe awaken them to the distance the government has traveled beyond their assigned Constitutional duties, and what exactly their representatives are supposed to be doing to uphold their Oath of Office.
P.S. Make sure that the Pocket Constitutions contain the "PREAMBLE TO THE BILL OF RIGHTS" ..... it is crucial to understanding the framers intentions when they passed those 10 Amendments.
Gullible Voters
Interesting results from a sample of likely voters consisting of 22% from ages 17 through 44... One-third of the sample might change their mind prior to the election. Conclusion: A significant number of potential voters don't vote on substance, but perception which the mass media readily manipulates.
why post 18% on front page instead of 24%?
today's ollhas paul at 24% with a margin of error +/- 4.5 percent
see http://www.thestatecolumn.com/new-hampshire/ron-paul-closes-...
or http://media.washtimes.com/media/image/2012/01/05/zogby-nhpr...
this was also used in today's email that went out.
if you look at the details in
if you look at the details in this report. the percentage of 18-30 years are only 8%.
In IA Paul was able to bring out about 20% in that age group.
If you adjust for this, and assume that RP will get about 40% of this age group. His adjusted percentage will be about 22%.. Much closer to the other poll released earlier today..
freedom state?
I thought New Hampshire was the anti-tax state. Why the hell would they vote for Romney?
Has all the immigrated New Yorkers put their kids to this university?
LOL @ Perry
Anybody see how many people said they'd vote for Perry? He got less than Buddy Roemer! 2 people said they'd vote for him, the same amount as Fred Karger!
Roemer
Congrats to Buddy!
Zogby has him at 24% !!!
Zogby, at least by my past observation, tend to have one of the more accurate 'scientific' polls.
http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2012/jan/5/santorum-gets...
Predictions in due Time...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGDisyWkIBM
"Let it not be said that no one cared, that no one objected once it's realized that our liberties and wealth are in jeopardy." - Dr. Ronald Ernest Paul
In that article they
In that article they misspelled "leapt" in the very first sentence. Whatever happened to editors?
Support freedom and liberty candidates in 2012... Ron Paul... Gary Johnson...
And this is a 2-day poll...
Remember, this is a 2-day tracking poll. So if it was somewhere around 14 percent the last day of the previous poll also, then that means that in order to jump to 18% he must have been up to 22% yesterday (after Iowa).
And if he was still at 22% today, then tomorrow's poll should show another 4% increase to 22%. Or higher if he's still rising.
Exactly what I was thinking
This is what I was thinking and the Washington Post poll showed him at 24% which was a 1 day poll (so far) on 1/4. So that means that two polls now show him around 22-24% on 1/4. Hopefully polls tomorrow show him even higher.
A showing of 30%+ in NH will REALLY boost Paul's campaign IMO. What will they say next, his ceiling is 30%?
19% Undecided
That still leaves 19% undecided, some of which may support Perry. However, Iowa undecideds seemed to vote for anybody but Paul. Why should the Granite State be any different? Need to let Mitt hammer Romney and Dr. Paul's campaign ads should focus on Santorum's anti-liberty message in this Live Free or Die state.
If you are not OUTRAGED, you're not paying attention!
Santorum will have no shot at
Santorum will have no shot at the top 2 in NH. Period, end of story, thank you all for coming out today.
The one to guard against is Huntsman, as the better he does, the more it hurts Dr. Paul and vice-versa. We cannot lose 2nd place to Huntsman, I don't care how close it is. He will inevitably drop out at some point in the future anyway and throw his weight behind Romney, which will only make life for us more difficult. I'd rather that when he does drop out, he has the least support possible, don't you?
As for who to attack next... there's no question it "should" be Romney. Romney has gotten a free pass so far, and has exploited this relatively well.
The way the campaign has phrased it since the third place victory in Iowa is that this is a two-man race. It will be important to attack Romney now in order to build that impression.
The only question I have is how effective negative ads against Romney will be. Most of his support is as solid as Paul's because he's wrapped up the establishment vote. As such, they will be the very last people to jump ship, which means even if Paul surges, it will likely come at the expense of the other candidates and not Romney.
Hold onto your seats.
Never forget:
- Barry Goldwater
NH will be different because
NH will be different because more of those undecideds are going to be Independents. NH is fertile ground for Ron Paul.
Grinch, Santorum, Huntsman & Romney
Can split half the vote... Ron will take the remaining NON-neocon vote.
So when will the media be
So when will the media be reporting on the "Paul Surge" in NH?
LOL!
That will be the day.
But I must admit a little part of me still holds out hope that I might hear this in the news tomorrow.
Unless there's vote tampering
He will give Mitt a run for his money in NH. It appears that he is catching him quickly, and I think that if polls stay the way they are, he and Romney will either tie for 1st with everyone else WAY behind, or he will finish a strong second with Santorum or Newt about 20 points lower.
This only happens IMO if
This only happens if Romney skips NH the next 4 days and Paul maintains this level of growth, two very big ifs, IMO.
I wouldn't be disappointed at all with a 2nd place finish, with 25% or higher. That 25% ceiling has been the pundits' latest criticism of him, but if he can break it, the unelectability charge is substantially weakened.
Never forget:
- Barry Goldwater
So, he can just stay home and rest
and his numbers just climb on their own. Sweet!
After reading
this:
http://www.concordmonitor.com/article/302269/paul-elusive-in-granite-state?CSAuthResp=1325826909%3An1h9n2v7t3nced1rtbbudui1n5%3ACSUserId|CSGroupId%3Aapproved%3A04E22FA664D4AAF8E98582042F3DF77A&CSUserId=94&CSGroupId=1
that he won't be in NH until tomorrow, I was a bit worried, if the hoarse voice & a bit of the sniffles was more serious.
His post-Caucus interviews were done in same suit/tie; obvious that he took but a few hrs of sleep & mainly stayed up, or woke up early after a brief rest: regardless he looked exhausted.
I personally cannot imagine having annoyingly hateful MSM 'reporters' and camera following you everywhere recording everything, being self-conscious, hold 4 back to back town halls + 5~8 radio/TV/print interviews in SAME day, for 3 consecutive days, shaking hands with 1000's of people (if his immune system were weak or compromised, he would've caught cold or flu, long ago) and doing it all with style & grace, at 76?
The Doc's strong as a bull! wish I would that healthy when I'm in my 70's!
regardless, hope he comes back healthy & ROARS into NH!
Predictions in due Time...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGDisyWkIBM
"Let it not be said that no one cared, that no one objected once it's realized that our liberties and wealth are in jeopardy." - Dr. Ronald Ernest Paul