5 votes

Your prediction for New Hampshire results?

After Adam Curry's stunningly accurate prediction of the Iowa results, here is what he predicted Sunday on the No Agenda Show (http://blog.curry.com/stories/2012/01/08/na37220120108.html):

1. Romney: 40%
2. Paul: 15%
3. Santorum: 14%
4. Huntsman

It will be interesting to see if he is correct again.

Here is my pessimistic prediction based on what I have heard about voter fraud from blackboxvoting.org:

1. Romney: 41%
2. Huntsman: 17%
3. Paul: 15%
4. Santorum: 11%

...and my predicted media storylines will be "inevitable" Romney nomination, "surprising" Huntsman surge, and "disappointing" Paul finish. I hope that I am proven wrong.

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I predict Paul will get about

I predict Paul will get about 23% of the vote... but I could be wrong..

If you disagree with me on anything you are not a real libertarian...

I suck

Last night blew me away, especially Dr. Paul's "victory for liberty speech". Thankfully, my prediction was wrong. I need to stop acting like Eeyore.

We all want progress, but if you're on the wrong road, progress means doing an about-turn and walking back to the right road; in that case, the man who turns back soonest is the most progressive.

-C. S. Lewis

Do I get a price.

For my (almost) spot-on prediction? :)

Romney 34%
Paul 23%
Huntsman 19%

I'm an optimist! Here's my

I'm an optimist! Here's my prediction for the top three (and Santorum):

Mitt Romney 26%
Ron Paul 23%
Jon Huntsman 16%
Google Santorum 8%

Not optimistic...

sick and tired of getting my hopes up, only to be slammed back down. So I hope for the best but expect the worst. I set my expectations low, so there's nowhere to go but up!

I agree with OP, a disappointing 3rd place after the flavor of the week, Huntsman.

'Cause there's a monster on the loose


Another radio talk show host will throw their back after learning tonight's results.

That would be hilarious, one

That would be hilarious, one hopes it is televised. :P

Actual prediction

My actual prediction would be:

Romney 23%+, Paul 23%+, Huntsman 18%, Santorum 14%, Gingrich 13%, Roemer 1%, Perry 1%

Prediction I hope isn't true...

But there was vote fraud in NH in 2008, nothing as far as I can tell has been done to prevent it this time, and I see the establishment wanting to make Romney as inevitable as possible and crush Paul.

My pessimistic prediction:

Romney 40%
Hunstman 20%
Paul 16%
Santorum 10%
Gingrich 6%

*Advancing the Ideas of Liberty Daily*

My prediction Romney 40% Paul

My prediction

Romney 40%
Paul 19%
Huntsman 18%

This would be a solid showing. I would to see us top 20%.

NH results

Romney 31%
Paul 28%
Hunt 16%
Newt 13%
Sant 10%
Perry 2%

what will you do if you dont have your freedom

New Hampshire independents will win the day.

Ron Paul 31%
Mitt Romney 29%

grant 100% Ron Paul!!!


Romney 29%
Paul 25%
Huntsman 15%

The bold effort the present bank had made to control the government ... are but premonitions of the fate that await the American people should they be deluded into a perpetuation of this institution or the establishment of another like it-Andrew Jackson

Something that the media can spin against us

Romney 33
Paul 22
Huntsman 20

The Huntsman Surge puts him in a virtual tie for second.

Facts are stubborn things; and whatever may be our wishes, our inclinations, or the dictates of our passions, they cannot alter the state of facts and evidence.
John Adams

OK, I have fun trying to guess how their "panic" will manifest

My bet is that whatever bogus numbers they quote and whoever they crown "winner" will be highly suspect. But Before the next debate, Jeb Bush will throw his hat in the ring. If he cannot rally the faithful, we will see THEIR boys start talking 3rd party - perhaps a Bloomberg / Giuliani offering as "independents" for the REAL "Republican" establishment!

This is the article that got my posting privileges revoked:


Maybe you will even be correct...

We all want progress, but if you're on the wrong road, progress means doing an about-turn and walking back to the right road; in that case, the man who turns back soonest is the most progressive.

-C. S. Lewis

I like our odds

To take a strong second.

35% - Romney
24% - Paul
13% - Huntsman
12% - Gingrich
11% - Santorum
3% - Perry
2% - Other


I must admit I thought they'd spread thin a little more instead of coalescing behind the top three exclusively.

40% - Romney
23% - Paul
17% - Huntsman
10% - Gingrich
9% - Santorum
1% - Perry

The relative positions don't really matter

Though the press will spin it as if it does.

If Romney is below 35, and RP is 18-20 it is a big win.

Huntsman doesn't matter, because the superpac stuff is much less important than anyone wants to admit.

I am a little bit less pessimistic.

Romney 34%
Paul 23%
Huntsman 19%

I hope Mitt won't get the 40% or more he gets in the polls. If Romney ends below 35%, that would be good news.