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New Hampshire 2012 primary: polls vs results

POLL RESULTS

Poll_Nm Poll_Date Mitt Paul Hunt Sant Newt Perry
RCP Avg 1/5 - 1/9 37.5 17.5 14.5 11.5 10.3 1.00
Suffolk 1/8 - 1/9 37.. 18.. 16.. 11.. 09.. 1.00
Rasmuss 1/8 - 1/8 37.. 17.. 15.. 13.. 12.. 1.00
PPP (D) 1/7 - 1/8 35.. 18.. 16.. 11.. 12.. 1.00
WMURUNH 1/5 - 1/8 41.. 17.. 11.. 11.. 08.. 1.00

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/ne...

ACTUAL RESULTS (preliminary)

Mitt Paul Hunt Sant Newt Perry
38.. 23.. 17.. TBD TBD TBD

They nailed Romney, were a bit low on Huntsman, but were off on Paul by about 5%.



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I wonder, if their polling had shown, or had they reported it

as showing that Ron was at or near 23-25% this whole time, would Romney have ended up with 38? Huntsman with 17? etc?

A HUGE portion of the electorate had "beating Obama" as their number one issue.

And by a WIDE margin, they went for Romney.

Had the polling been closer, this would have undercut that presumption in favor of Paul, and likely, this might have been a much closer race, if not a dead heat like Iowa.

We've seen what they can do with Santorum and now Huntsman. Imagine if they gave Paul the same "earned" media and "free ride" like they did those two? Dare I say Paul could win SC or FL outright if they did?