Projected outcome of NH vs. Reported Outcome - Suspiciously on the nose with Romney & Huntsman!Submitted by blakmira on Wed, 01/11/2012 - 14:02
Someone in the media (NYTimes) certainly had a "crystal ball" when it came to predicting the outcomes of their surge-boys Romney and Huntsman -- they came within 0.0 to 0.5 of their projection!
The rest of the candidates they were way off on -- most markedly Ron Paul! It's blatantly apparent that with such a close projection between Huntsman & Ron Paul that they were trying to fix Huntsman to come in 2nd, but Ron Paul had such a landslide of votes they were unable to achieve that.
Here are the Projections versus the Reported Outcome of the New Hampshire election:
Mitt Romney – Projection: 38.5 / Reported Outcome: 39 = 0.5 difference
Jon Huntsman – Projection: 17.0 / Reported Outcome: 17.0 = 0 difference
Ron Paul – Projection: 18.6 / Reported Outcome: 23 = 4.4 difference
Santorum – Projection: 12.3 / Reported Outcome: 9 = 3.3 difference
Gingrich – Projection: 11.5 / Reported Outcome: 9 = 2.5 difference
Perry – Projection: 1.2 / Reported Outcome: 1 = 0.2 difference
Reported Outcome: http://www.wmur.com/r/30132728/detail.html