61 votes

In response to the document: Significant Evidence of Algorithmic Vote Flipping in the 2012 GOP Primary

Hi everyone,

I've specifically registered here and on SourceForge for this one purpose - I discovered this document and have been reading it. It occurred to me that what we need is a lot of organized data, with the generated graphs and numbers needed to do proper statistics on the data and mathematically conclude that there is a low probability of Romney gettings the results that he's getting.

So I wrote a small program in Java, it's only about 700 lines and it's open source. I included data from most of the states counted so far in 2012 (up until a couple weeks ago) and the same states' data from 2008. I also include the generated output data for those who don't want to try using the non-user friendly program interface. This is for states:

Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida, Maine, Minnesota, Missouri, Arizona, Georgia, Nevada(2012 only), Colorado(2012 only)

In addition to the raw data, I provide in the output folders:
% of total vote count vs total votes counted, correlation coefficient of this, and the standard deviation for each candidate of the % of total vote count samples. In accordance with the original document (http://www.bluestatepress.com/politics7/news_025.htm) the precincts are sorted in order from smallest total votes to largest, and for each one that is counted in this order the current candidates' % of total votes counted is output.

Download the package here: http://sourceforge.net/projects/voteanalyze/

Note: In case it isn't clear, you do NOT have to run the program. The program is just used to generate the output files, and I have already provided those for you. I am providing the program as well so that you can see everything is on the level, and programmers can modify it to their desires.



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THANK YOU! I've been trying

THANK YOU! I've been trying to collect all of this together for some time. What you have done is a tremendous contribution. With my full time academic job, I wouldn't have been able to do this alone. Now thanks to your work, I can easily import and analyze the data.

I will post some matlab code with some original analysis in the next few weeks.

Good choice with Java BTW.

Good choice with Java?!?

Ugh! Java is never a good choice.

Nice Bump!

Interesting....

"Earth provides enough to satisfy every man's need, but not every man's greed."~Mahatma Gandhi
Quick Humorous Satire course on Ron Paul: http://www.youtube.com/watch?annotation_id=annotation_65316&...

Nice Work!

Bump, love your Work! This is what a grassroots effort looks like, everyone can do something!

I for One

pretend to understand the math you're using, and I can tell you, this is a very interesting phenomena that you seem to have uncovered.

Speaking as a 'scientist' - and perhaps you've done this already, IDK - but somehow you need to show this result using a statistically valid sampling of data. To show that this trend is observable, repeatable and non-random. You have IMHO used only spot data - again I could be wrong on that point - that strongly suggest an unexplained outside influence where none existed before. You've done this in way that's understandable to the layman, which is really commendable. However if you come up with enough cases to show that this isn't a random occurrence - and I think you may have already done so - then this is a big deal.

What it seems to show is that a statistically higher number of voters are casting their vote for one candidate over another during the time the polls are open.

In any event it has the makings of a Ph.D. thesis in math....if you can explain the observation.

It's like finding that the casino's have rigged the slot machines...oops wait, they already do that, don't they? Or that the roulette wheel has a tiny magnet on one side, causing the metal ball to fall statistically more times on one side of the wheel / on one number than otherwise.

thanks

good work,
if this supposed anomaly was happening to other candidates, it would have been all over the media.

----------------------------
Dr.Ron Paul's 2002 Predictions
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zGDisyWkIBM

Bump

... for Awesomeness!

Any chance of getting the Alabama voting data, including the delegate races, at the precinct level? A few days ago that looked like the smokingest gun (potentially anyway) but I haven't seen any progress on it.

will add to v1.2 - doesn't

will add to v1.2 - doesn't look all that strange though compared to the other states (strange still, but not that much comparatively).

Check out VoteAnalyze, my tiny open source vote statistics generation program. It includes .csv Excel/OpenOffice files for 60 states across many years, as well as statistical information.

http://sourceforge.net/p/voteanalyze

different kind of strangeness

Here's one (of several) threads about it:
http://www.dailypaul.com/node/220691

Here's some detail on one precinct:
http://www.dailypaul.com/node/220691#comment-2317224

Basically it's a large discrepancy between the number of votes Paul got, and the number of votes cast in delegate races for Ron Paul delegates. The pattern seemed (based on sampling a small number of precincts) to hold at the state, county and precinct levels. Not every precinct, but most. And the pattern was only found for Ron Paul, not for the other candidates and their own delegate races.

I just got the Alabama

I just got the Alabama presidential preference results by precinct and will be including them in v1.2

They don't seem all that strange compared to the other states (still strange, but not comparatively) so I won't be releasing v1.2 immediately without more additions

You can get the delegate race info and more at:

http://results.enr.clarityelections.com/AL/38312/75893/en/su...

Check out VoteAnalyze, my tiny open source vote statistics generation program. It includes .csv Excel/OpenOffice files for 60 states across many years, as well as statistical information.

http://sourceforge.net/p/voteanalyze

I've updated the program to

I've updated the program to include a bunch of data from 2000. Back then vote percentages levelled out as votes were counted (as one would expect). Very interesting to look at. I'll be adding more data when I can - statistics people help me out here, I keep putting it off to get more data.

http://sourceforge.net/projects/voteanalyze/

Check out VoteAnalyze, my tiny open source vote statistics generation program. It includes .csv Excel/OpenOffice files for 60 states across many years, as well as statistical information.

http://sourceforge.net/p/voteanalyze

Bump! More eyes on this

Bump! More eyes on this please.

The human race divides politically into those who want people to be controlled and those who have no such desire. - Heinlein

updated the program

updated the program - check out v1.1

Check out VoteAnalyze, my tiny open source vote statistics generation program. It includes .csv Excel/OpenOffice files for 60 states across many years, as well as statistical information.

http://sourceforge.net/p/voteanalyze

Very nice!

Very nice!

The human race divides politically into those who want people to be controlled and those who have no such desire. - Heinlein

Sent these to Ben Swann?

Have you contacted Ben Swann with your data? He is looking for data on fraud....please contact him with your work. Thanks for all you are doing and for opening your code for review. Wouldn't it be nice if the diebold machines would do the same....it would end their use I am sure.

slm

will do

will do

Check out VoteAnalyze, my tiny open source vote statistics generation program. It includes .csv Excel/OpenOffice files for 60 states across many years, as well as statistical information.

http://sourceforge.net/p/voteanalyze

sharkhearted's picture

Thank you for your efforts!

~Chris
Norfolk, VA

~Chris
Norfolk, VA

Time to INVESTIGATE the investigators of 9/11. PROSECUTE the prosecutors. EXPOSE the cover-up.

keep on sharing

only the truth can set us free

SO whats up now with this?

Im bad with numbers but the graphic evidence looks "good".
Whats your take on this programm4liberty?

I have to whip out my stats

I have to whip out my stats book and start doing some calculations, but I can at least say that something "different" is happening with Romney's votes. What exactly I can statistically say for sure yet until I do the calculations.

In both 2008 and 2012 he gets more votes in larger precincts that he does in smaller ones. Maybe his campaign is just stronger in larger precincts? I'm not sure yet what the most likely explanation is.

EDIT: if you make a 2d bar graph out of the correlation coefficients for 2008 and 2012 (you can google correlation coefficient) then you'll see that in both years Romney consistently has a positive linear correlation in most states, while the other candidates generally have a negative one.

As I said, maybe his campaign is just stronger in larger precincts. Or, maybe if we can verify the existence of vote flipping, then the powers that be were preparing him for his run in 2012 - making him a real contender then so that he can win it now (using the same system to get him into 2nd and such)?

Check out VoteAnalyze, my tiny open source vote statistics generation program. It includes .csv Excel/OpenOffice files for 60 states across many years, as well as statistical information.

http://sourceforge.net/p/voteanalyze

Of course...

...the truth is that it's much easier to hide fraud across a larger data base, than it is within in a small one.

"Truth is an absolute defense to the charge of paranoia."

This is fantastic. Hopefully

This is fantastic. Hopefully the more we know, the better the case for vote fraud will be. Great work!

RON PAUL 2012 * Restore America * Bring The Troops Home
http://www.texasuncensored.blogspot.com

thank you for the csv files!

Thanks you so much for posting these csv files so we don't all have to recreate the same data sets.

If anyone has any other data already made up-- like numbers of registered voters/registered republicans in each precinct or voting block or Demographic data for voting blocks or types of voting systems and counting systems used for each, it might be worth posting that data as well.

Great!

I love your username! I'm a fellow programmer, and I'd love to help with anything involved with programming for liberty! Keep up the great work.