Ron Paul on iOS app: GOP Unbound
Submitted by Hendrik on Mon, 03/26/2012 - 11:12Check our brand new [free!] iPhone and iPod touch app GOP Unbound on the App Store! We analyze well over 150,000 tweets a day and carve a quite well delegates forecast out of it.
The results are truly stable and we think this is an excellent indicator for the Republican Party unbound delegate vote in an open convention, August 27-30 in Tampa. Some say, well, Ron Paul is the 'internet choice anyway'....
... No he's not as you could think: Starting our app you'll see actually he's 3rd (although had some fairly good past 3 days...). Opposite, there is quite an amount of mass media echo paying out for Romney and Santorum, currently. So the Paulite net savvy just equal out the mass media buzzed. With Gingrich having less internet support but a fairly good media presence, it's interesting that he is just 4th in our current ranking. It demonstrates that our premises are not too bad.
So bottomline, our numbers should be very very accurate. Way more realistic than the official count, which for instance currently broadcasts 60 for Ron Paul, which is absolutely bogus regarding Paul's well-going caucus delegate strategy.
One last thing: We're not making this up! All candidates are treated equally by our analysis, as in our screenshots you see Paul only 4th. We see this as kind of an experiment and we're doing it proper. Next week we'll add charts to it so you'll get intraday and longer frames. Further it's already got Twitter support so that you can send our delegate forecasts out to the world. Next week also Facebook support for doing some more spin doctoring.
I'd assume that a rising Ron Paul forecast could spin some momentum especially if the app gets some momentum, so you guys spread the word! It's free, so I'm not making money out of it but probably it can clear some dust there is currently over this 4 horse race.
And most important: our delegate forecast is for an OPEN CONVENTION, when the delegates get unbound in their vote after first ballot.
Thanks and now download and spread the word - to other forums, FB, Twitter, blogs and wherever !
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New version with charts to share with the world
The new charts capable version is available NOW in the App Store.
If you want to spin the doctor: then tweet, email & facebook these delegate forecast charts ! Show the world that Ron Paul has a realistic chance and that he's improving by the day.
Flood mainstream media with these charts and spread the word of Ron Paul running for #1 spot !
These charts were so important to me as „One Picture is Worth Ten Thousand Words“ - leave them everywhere for convincing people that neither their donation money nor their vote will be lost.
follow GOP Unbound on Twitter: @gopunbound
find on App Store: GOP Unbound
Watch the delegate race via our iOS app GOP Unbound
update v1.1 is available
1) Teamup mode: see combined delegate forecast of 2 candidates
2) Now Facebook support
3) the weird bug with strange numbers after initial data load is out
charts next week.
Watch the delegate race via our iOS app GOP Unbound
How are Tweets votes?
If I understand, the app does an analysis of Tweets.
So the universe of those measured comes from Twitter users, correct?
How is that telling us which candidate will get votes?
To be useful to measure voters it'd need to be linked to a database of voters and narrowed by recognizing the likely voters in the upcoming processes (caucuses and primaries).
And about the only way to do that accurately is to begin with the voter lists and add twitter information to that, following those specific Twitter users from that point until one had a statistically valid sample, a sample large and varied enough to truly represent the electorate.
As it stands, there's no way to identify a specific Twitter user as an actual human being let alone as an actual, likely voter unless one knows there is a human behind the tweet, knows who that voter is and knows the Twitter user is a likely voter.
Maybe there's something I don't understand here, but it sounds like about as useful as saying "we win the online polls so we're ahead".
That never has been accurate.
I know of one specific service which allows for something similar---it's a paid service and in fact I have it on my backend but I haven't used it much yet. It handles all Facebook and Twitter data, seamlessly integrates and then I could take the info and do what you're talking about.
And that's just the service I use...I know there are others out there as well.
There's just no way to get around the fact that to measure voters you must begin with a database of all the voters.
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