4 votes

Nate Silver's "Autopsy" of Ron Paul Campaign

Nate Silver is a man of statistics. He writes about numbers. And poll counts and caucus results. Those are facts to him. Maybe he has not seen the numbers of people of the Ron Paul events. Would the video posted here recently contrasting the other campaign crowds vs. Paul crowds change Nate's analysis? I don't know. Maybe he has seen the videos. If you comment on Nate's website, be factual and courteous. His job is to look at numbers more than to report news events. http://nyti.ms/IaG7ij

Trending on the Web

Comment viewing options

Select your preferred way to display the comments and click "Save settings" to activate your changes.

What I said in comments

Part of the reason is that the Paul campaign understands the primary process and knows a little history. Romney’s support is lukewarm, while Paul’s actual delegate total is dramatically understated.

As Robert Wenzel points out, Paul is a lot like Warren Harding. Harding went into the brokered 1920 convention with only 6% of the delegates, but emerged as the party’s nominee. Harding won the general election in a landslide and took a very non-interventionist approach to the Depression of 1921.
Free market economists cite Harding’s refusal to intervene in that crisis for the quick recovery that followed.

So, there is no reason not to take Ron Paul at his word when he says that he is still in the contest to win the nomination

Video - Where is Ron Paul?

This is a pretty awesome video showing the massive crowds that have been showing up to Ron Paul speeches the past month. The media continues to ignore Ron Paul, the people keep showing up to see him speak. Not a chance in hell you'd ever see crowds of this size at a Romney/Gingrich/Santorum rally.
You could get all three of those candidates speaking at a staged event and they still wouldn't draw half the crowd Ron Paul does.

Autopsy is..

.. performed to determine the cause of death. RP CAMPAIGN IS NOT DEAD BY A LONG SHOT!!

Nate Silver is not qualified to make such an evaluation. And what he writes does not mean anything. Stay away.

I thought it was actually quite good

The title is "A LIVING Autopsy of the RP Campaign." He specifies right in the title that the campaign is not dead, but rather that he is just digging inside of it.

I love reading Silver's work, as he is always numbers and facts based. Personally, he leans to the left, but I have always found him to be quite fair from an analysis standpoint.

However, I might point out that this article did not come from Silver, but from a guest writer, that is writing on Silver's blog.

Ron Paul's campaign is growing

Yes I know what an autopsy is and put it in quotes because it is a misnomer when it comes to Dr. Paul's campaign.

E-mailing the video http://bit.ly/HuqymX to Nate Silver is just one of many efforts I make to help awaken those who are not receiving balanced media coverage.

I've written to others in the media and asked for better coverage; this is just one more effort to expand awareness.

One communication at a time, to friends, family, media, and others who might not otherwise realize how alive and well the campaign is. Reaching out to people who do have a large audience is one small effort I can make every day, as many Daily Paul members do in their own way every day too.

As I said, Nate Silver is someone who deals with statistics; a graphic view of the people attending the Ron Paul events, may actually speak to him.

Every courteous effort of outreach is a good effort.

Gwen Kraft

"Personal Liberty & Personal Responsibility" -- Dr. Ron Paul

"A hero is someone who understands the responsibility that comes with his freedom." -- Bob Dylan

I read enough of his blog and have one thing to say

Now, why is it that you posted such a thing?
We do not need any of this stuff to feed upon!

" In Thee O Lord do I put my trust " ~ Psalm 31:1~

Posted to provide information & feedback to Silver

I Tweeted to Nate Silver (FiveThirtyEight) the Ron Paul crowd (vs Romney Crowd) video. I don't think it is wrong to communicate with people in the media or bloggers. Communication is a good thing. What we don't need is barriers. It is not negative but positive to interact with others. Ron Paul taught me to extend the hand of friendship and interaction rather than act in isolationism.

That is why I posted it.

Do what you will, and peace.

Gwen Kraft

"Personal Liberty & Personal Responsibility" -- Dr. Ron Paul

"A hero is someone who understands the responsibility that comes with his freedom." -- Bob Dylan