Why I've lost faith in the delegate strategySubmitted by Brad.king92 on Sun, 04/22/2012 - 10:26
I will probably get many negative votes for this but it is the truth.
The Ron Paul campaign strategy from the very beginning has been to focus only on the non-binding caucus states and sweep most of the delegates from those states. But if this has been the strategy all along, the only conclusion I can come to is that Ron Paul was never really in this to win in the first place. Here's why. Out of the 2,286 delegates attending the convention, only about 457 delegates are unbound. Out of these 457 unbound delegates, 120 of them are RNC superdelegates. The great majority of the RNC delegates are garanteed to go to Romney, although a few may go to Ron. So that leaves only 337 unbound delegates for RP to pick up, which is not nearly enough to win the nomination. This makes me think that he either never planned on winning or he was just hoping that there would be more than one front-runner and they could just force a brokered convention.
But here's the thing: So far Ron Paul's delegate strategy has been a failure. Out of the 337 unbound delegates, each candidate has recieved this many:
This includes the delegates from Guam, N. Mariana Islands, Virgin Islands, N. Dakota Wyoming, Missouri, Colorado, and Minnesota.
As I stated in my previous entry, the only way Ron Paul can win is by winning the majority of the remaining primaries. I think the delegate strategy was a bad idea to begin with. Don't get me wrong, its a good strategy, but the caucus states should not have been the ONLY focus. The campaign needs to focus on winning some of these major states.
Many people interpreted this as me saying that I have lost faith in the movement has a whole and I think that we should just give up. I was not saying that at all. All I was doing was acknowledging a fact. I wasn't saying that it is just completely hopeless for Dr. Paul, I'm just saying that we need to pursue a different strategy of winning this nomination. In fact, what I said should give you all an even better reason to keep fighting for Dr. Paul because the fact is he needs to win some states. The only alternative is to flood the convention and hope that they give us the nomination.