Intrade Texas (Primary May 29 2012)Submitted by Minarchist on Wed, 04/25/2012 - 03:00
As of 4/25/12:
The predictions are inconsistent for the May 29 Texas primary.
Mitt is heavily favored for 1st, there is a virtual tie for 2nd place between Paul (slightly ahead at 54%) and Santorum (50%). But, despite that, Paul is being given a 90% chance to get 3rd, while Santorum gets 0% for 3rd. In the mean time Newt is given a 35% chance for 3rd.
To win: http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=91496
Mitt Romney 96.5%
Ron Paul 4.4%
Ron Paul: 54%