It's Begun! Bloomberg-BusinessWeek: How Ron Paul could mess with Romney in Tampa!Submitted by AnCapMercenary on Mon, 05/07/2012 - 06:48
By Elizabeth Dwoskin on May 07, 2012
Mitt Romney wants nothing more than to lock up the Republican nomination and focus entirely on beating President Obama. But for Ron Paul’s supporters, the long primary season ain’t over till it’s over. The Texas congressman hasn’t won a single primary in his third run for the White House, yet his acolytes are much savvier at political maneuvering than in campaigns past. This year they’re determined to influence the nominating process at the GOP convention in Tampa.
To win the so-called roll call vote there and become the nominee, you need 1,144 delegates. Romney has 847. Paul has 80. Contest over, right?
Paul is actually gaining ground in some states, where intense contests to divvy up delegates are underway. At one gathering last weekend in Massachusetts, the majority of delegates elected were Paul supporters. He may do just as well in upcoming votes in Minnesota, Iowa, Colorado, and Maine, according to Josh Putnam, assistant political science professor at Davidson College.
UPDATE: Some notable MSM & the GOP Establishment responses to our Great Weekend, and going forward to Tampa, and beyond. It looks like their sentiments range from OMG, genuinely surprised all the while never omitting to remind themselves that 'it won't matter, Romney is the presumptive nominee, it's locked in, nothing those RP rabble rousers would do, matter' to feigned irreverence to mask their very real fear.
At least that's what I 'sense' from their responses below:
"These events do not reflect well on the Romney campaign"
""Beltway insiders might dismiss it, some in the media may choose to overlook it, and establishment party hacks will at times cheat, but nothing can stop the Ron Paul-influenced reawakening of the conservative movement in America," said Jesse Benton"
"I think he[Romney]'s being very careful because he knows how important the Ron Paul voters are - they obviously represent a very different dynamic," said Mike Dennehy, a former top aide to John McCain's 2008 campaign."
By Richard S. Dunham
Updated 10:00 p.m., Monday, May 7, 2012
WASHINGTON - If the Republican primary race is over, nobody has bothered to tell Ron Paul.
Even as the national media has declared Mitt Romney the inevitable GOP presidential nominee to take on President Barack Obama, the Texas congressman with the highly organized army of never-say-die loyalists surprised the Republican front-runner by sweeping three state conventions in the past weekend.
Paul's successes in Iowa, Maine and Nevada are helping him - slowly but surely - pile up delegates to the Republican National Convention in Tampa. Even if the libertarian from Lake Jackson is unable to secure the nomination - which still seems to be a safe bet - he is making it harder for party regulars to deny him a voice on the convention floor and the party's 2012 platform.
For Romney, the reverses in three key states in three different regions of the country are a sign of some organizational weakness and inattention to detail for a campaign preparing for a showdown with the most effective multiplatform political machine of the Internet age.
"He [Ron Paul] also has a mathematical shot at winning delegations from Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Michigan, Montana, Nebraska, New Mexico, Oregon and Vermont, which have yet to hold significant delegate-selecting conventions."
"If Paul supporters were to succeed at six state conventions, they could halt convention proceedings in Tampa and make motions on nearly anything from the floor under suspended rules, from changing the convention rules, to electing a new convention chairman, to offering up platform resolutions (which they can’t do from the floor, under convention rules). If they aren’t given a say in the GOP platform, Paul supporters could seek to obstruct its passage on the convention floor. (They would almost certainly fail, but it would look bad for Romney and the GOP.)"
By Chris Good | May 7, 2012 3:46pm | Twitter@c_good
For Ron Paul, it’s no longer about becoming president.
His backup plan since January has been to use delegates as a bargaining chip to extract concessions at the GOP convention: a prominent speech or the inclusion of Paul’s views in the party platform that will be approved in Tampa, Fla., in August. To some degree, his campaign is about influence and leverage.
“That’s the fallback. If we don’t pull it off and we’re not in first place, yes, that would be a good goal,” Paul told Fox News’ Chris Wallace after the Iowa caucuses. ”I run to win, and I have won a lot, but we also want to help direct the party and the country in a certain way, so that would be a very, very positive strategy to have an influence on the party.”
For a long-shot candidate like Paul, success might be the mainstreaming of his ideology.
From International Business Times, which I believe (though could be wrong) actually endorsed Dr. Paul for 2012!
Here's Sara on what Johnson just being nominated Libertarian Party candidate over the weekend means to the Ron Paul R3VOLution heading into Tampa, and beyond.
Oh, and Endorese Liberty SuperPAC will continue to support Dr. Paul's efforts, in some shape or form, and not Gary Johnson! (or... for now?)
"Endorse Liberty isn't going to be getting behind any Libertarian candidates, and we don't plan to," said Jeffrey Harmon, one of the co-founders of the pro-Paul super PAC, which isn't allowed by law to coordinate with the candidate, but invests in ads in his favor. "We're Republicans and we're trying to take back the Republican Party. ... I have a lot of libertarian ideals, but this is a two-party system -- why try to leave a system that's built to hold out any other party?"
By Sara Dover
May 7, 2012 3:59 PM EDT
Ron Paul's biggest supporters have made their intentions clear: Changing the Republican Party from within surpasses any devotion they may have for the Libertarian Party and its presidential candidate, Gary Johnson.
Still, Johnson and the Libertarian Party are hoping to draw support from Paul's devotees, assuming the Texas congressman fails to snag the GOP nod from former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.
Tapping into a reservoir of Paul's passionate, famously dedicated grassroots army is no easy feat. For one, pro-Paul super PAC Endorse Liberty said the former New Mexico governor isn't on its agenda. Paul was the Libertarian candidate in 1988.
An interesting take from Christian Science Monitor:
"For instance, what if Paul supporters who are bound to vote for Romney in the first round by state rules simply abstain from casting their ballots? That might keep Romney under the 1,144 votes he needs to win the nomination – even if he actually (sort of) has those votes in hand!"
When Ron Paul delegates show up at the Republican National Convention in August, they may be strong enough to throw the event into disarray – just at the moment Mitt Romney needs to show the GOP united behind him.
By Peter Grier, Staff writer / May 7, 2012
Ron Paul scored big victories at the Maine and Nevada Republican Party conventions on Sunday. In both states his forces won the majority of delegates to this summer's national GOP convention in Tampa, Fla.
As we noted Sunday, this means Mr. Paul’s strategy of organizing the grass roots and working arcane delegate selection rules is paying off. And that could mean big trouble for Mitt Romney and his plans to smoothly pivot to a campaign aimed solely at incumbent President Obama.
Yes, Mr. Romney is still the presumptive nominee. It’s highly unlikely Paul will be able to deny the former Massachusetts governor the prize he’s sought for so long. But Paul’s forces aren’t lining up and saluting a Romney victory. When they show up in Tampa in August they may be strong enough, and prepared enough, to throw the convention floor into embarrassing disarray.
“All of this means the GOP can no longer ignore its libertarian ‘fringe.’ On the contrary, it will have to reach out to a new generation of activists who don’t regard religious piety or continual warfare as sacred tenets of conservatism,” wrote Oxford University historian Timothy Stanley in a CNN opinion column last week.
From HuffPost/Patch.com; a rather fair-ish one.
Mirrored at Patch.com, with Photos from Doc's recent UC Davis Speech: http://davis.patch.com/articles/the-view-f-ron-paul-rally-at...
Justin Cox, Editor, slowpitch.wordpress.com
Posted: 05/07/2012 10:14 am
Quite honestly, if any other Republican presidential candidate were to have stopped by the UC Davis quad to give a campaign speech last week, there's little doubt in my mind that it would have been overshadowed by some form of protest.
We're talking about the same quad where non-violent students were pepper sprayed by campus police as the Occupy movement took hold last November, turning the location into a symbol and a gathering point.
To put it bluntly, the Occupy movement and the Republican Party don't exactly line up in agreement on many issues. As the editor of a local news site in Davis, I've sat in on enough General Assemblies to know that, although every protester has his/her own opinions, hardly anybody within the Occupy movement would check a box next to Romney's or Santorum's names.
I took a bunch of photos at the rally. Check out the diversity of the crowd here.