Delegate Strategy Contradicts Itself With Mathematical ImpossibiltySubmitted by rpforever85 on Tue, 05/15/2012 - 12:24
None of the recent news has caused me much concern or confusion, but the latest e-mail by Benton has legitimately confused me, and I'd like for the Official campaign to clarify...
The e-mail remarks...
We will head to Tampa with a solid group of delegates. Several hundred will be bound to Dr. Paul, and several hundred more, although bound to Governor Romney or other candidates, will be Ron Paul supporters.
This is perfectly in line with what we've been seeing and hearing from district and state conventions across the country.
But the very next statement says...
Unfortunately, barring something very unforeseen, our delegate total will not be strong enough to win the nomination. Governor Romney is now within 200 delegates of securing the party’s nod. However, our delegates can still make a major impact at the National Convention and beyond.
That is mathematically impossible.
In the first instance, the campaign insists that we already have several hundreds of delegates (or certainly will by the time Tampa rolls around). But then it says that Romney is only 200 away from the nomination.
If the latter is correct, then that would infer that we only have < 100 delegates thus far, as the AP and other mainstream media sources report. If our delegate numbers are any greater than that (as we assume they are), then Romney is no where near the nomination just yet. He would assuredly have several hundreds of delegates more to gain. Certainly more than just 200.
So I'm not sure exactly what the campaign is saying. Can we not win the nomination if we have a majority of delegates? And if Romney is so close to clinching the 1,144 delegates needed, where does the campaign expect the remaining "hundreds" for us to secure to come from?