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What's Driving the Eurozone Bank Run?

What's Driving the Eurozone Bank Run?

Monday, May 21, 2012 2:52

What's Driving the Eurozone Bank Run?

Gavyn Davies at the Financial Times is out with an interesting article on the Eurozone bank run. First, let there be no doubt, the Eurozone is experiencing a bank run. Take a look at the chart below, which shows the cross-border flows in the Eurozone banking system.

Click to enlarge.
Banks are always at risk of a bank run, simply because of the way their assets and liabilities are structured. Banks borrow from depositors in the short-term, and lend to borrowers in the long-term. This borrowing short and lending long model always carries the risk that at a specific time enough depositors will act to withdraw their money, leading to the failure of the bank as it runs out of cash.

Although the bank run in the eurozone might partly be due to depositors' concerns over bank failures, Davies argues that main reason for the run is that depositors are concerned over exchange rate risk should the Eurozone break up. Instead of holding deposits within their own country, which comes with the risk of devaluation should the Eurozone break up, depositors are flocking to German banking institutions where the risk of devaluation is low...

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What's the bet that it is a stategic move to repeat

1929 again, with the aim of setting up a Federal Reserve for the Euro? This will enable the total control of Europe's monetary system, in conjunction with control and ownership of the US dollar.