Is it currently almost impossible for Romney to win the nomination?Submitted by Benjamin Vander Jagt on Wed, 06/06/2012 - 15:11
Maybe someone can help clarify this for me.
As I understand, Romney has 755 delegates to Paul's 229 according to TheReal2012DelegateCount.com which means Romney needs to get another 389 delegates out of the remaining 586, or 2/3 of the delegates, which would be difficult considering strong Paul grassroots support in Texas and California.
Did I get some numbers wrong?
Edit: Several have informed me that I do indeed have my numbers wrong, making the real count not 755 to 229 as TheReal2012DelegateCount.com says. It would mean that Romney has 928 to Paul's 229. In that case Romney needs only 216 more out of the remaining 413, or roughly half, in order for him to be able to say he has the 1,144 needed to guarantee a win. If that's the case, then getting 50% of the remaining delegates is really going to be a nail-biter! It seems to me that if Romney isn't nominated on the first round, Paul should win a very easy second or third ballot. Does this all sound right? Because if it is, then it means that we're currently looking at a photo finish race, by the numbers!