286 votes

New Poll: 45% Vote Ron Paul For President With 58% Favorability

17 August Update:

Poll #2 has been posted here:

Please ChipIn here to fund Paul vs. Obama Poll #3. http://paulvsobamapoll.chipin.com/ron-paul-vs-obama-poll-3


12 August 2012

James Rushing

New Poll: 45% Vote Ron Paul For President With 58% Favorability

In a new poll conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, matching up presidential candidates Barack Obama and Ron Paul, 45% of one thousand likely voters across America said they would vote Ron Paul for President.

58% of those surveyed have a favorable view of Ron Paul, while just 36% have an unfavorable view. Compare this to Mitt Romney (50% favorable, 45% unfavorable) and Barack Obama (51% favorable, 48% unfavorable). Ron Paul is viewed in a favorable light by significantly more people than Obama or Romney.

The "likely voters" were asked the following question: "Suppose in this year's Presidential Election you had a choice between Republican Ron Paul and Democrat Barack Obama. If the election were held today would you vote for Republican Ron Paul or Democrat Barack Obama?" The results are: 45% Ron Paul and 47% Barack Obama. (+/-3%)


Top Line Numbers:

National Survey of 1,000 Likely Voters
Conducted August 5, 2012
By Pulse Opinion Research

1* Suppose in this year's Presidential Election you had a choice between Republican Ron Paul and Democrat Barack Obama. If the election were held today would you vote for Republican Ron Paul or Democrat Barack Obama

45% Paul

47% Obama

6% Some other candidate

2% Not sure

2* If the Presidential Election were held today, would you vote for Republican Mitt Romney or Democrat Barack Obama?

48% Romney
46% Obama
4% Some other candidate
2% Not sure More

New poll: 58% Favor Ron Paul For President

3* I'm going to read you a short list of people in the News. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Mitt Romney

24% Very favorable
26% Somewhat favorable
21% Somewhat unfavorable
24% Very unfavorable
5% Not sure

4* Barack Obama

35% Very favorable
16% Somewhat favorable
10% Somewhat unfavorable
38% Very unfavorable
1% Not sure

5* Ron Paul

17% Very favorable
41% Somewhat favorable
21% Somewhat unfavorable
15% Very unfavorable
7% Not sure

6* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President. do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he's been doing?

34% Strongly approve
17% Somewhat approve
8% Somewhat disapprove
39% Strongly disapprove
2% Not sure

NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

James Rushing
Ron Paul Republicans:

"The national telephone survey of 1000 likely voters was conducted by Pulse Opinion Research on August 5, 2012. Pulse Opinion Research, LLC is an independent public opinion research firm using automated polling methodology and procedures licensed from Rasmussen Reports, LLC."

# # #

Give our Ron Paul Republican activists and Ron Paul Delegates the information they need to show all the RNC Delegates in Tampa that Paul can beat Obama and Romney can't. Please "ChipIn" to fund the Paul vs. Obama Poll #3:

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Only days left before the Convention-Need to fund 3rd poll to

show the delegates and world! Please help if you can. James Rushing has put in a lot of time and effort to help give the Ron Paul delegates an edge come convention time. Ron Paul can beat Obama, Romney cannot!


We need these polls

to get national attention. Maybe some spamming on the MSM's websites?

Educate and inform the whole mass of the people... They are the only sure reliance for the preservation of our Liberty. -Thomas Jefferson

James - Polls / Money


I see you've started a new Poll thread here:

And changed the info again for a 4th+ time?

"Poll#1 resullts were published on 11 Aug 12.
Poll#2 is funded and ready to be launched on 15 Aug.
with results on 17 Aug.
Poll#3 needs to be funded by 22 Aug to have results
on 24 Aug."

You posted several times poll #2 was conducted on 8/7/12.
You now state it will be launched 8/15/12.

***I think since you are using other people's money, you should get input on whether or not to do any more polls, if so how many and when, or give refunds.***

Why does the information keep changing?

And why do you keep making unilateral decisions/changes AFTER people contributed when the plans were something else?

I see you now have poll #3 to be funded by 8/22 when you had just moved that deadline to 8/20 from 8/14.

I recall you stating a turn-around needed 10 days. Now you are down to 2 days.


I don't think much has changed to re-do poll #2, or do a poll #3.

I don't think an additional $5k for polls 2 and 3 will help RP, and could hurt him/us.

I think people should get a refund.

James has been consistent

I can see where you're confused but James has been consistent. The 8/7 date was when the 2nd poll needed to be funded, not conducted.

Here's a portion of email I received from James on 7/26.

We need only $2500 to start the first poll on 1 August - to be published on 11 August. We have raised $725 to this hour and we have seven days more to fund the balance.

The second poll will be funded, $2500, by 7 August - to be published on the 17th, and the third poll must be funded, $2500, by 14 August to be published on 24 August - just in time to show/prove/educate the Tampa Convention delegates that Ron Paul is the only one who can beat Obama.

You can see where I'm confused?

The following is just in regards to the dates. The pollster, poll questions, and results had their own issues.

(from James' posts - this thread)

It takes 10 days to conduct a national political poll.
The "ChipIn" goes until 11 August to fund the first $2500.


our first Paul vs. Obama Poll goal of $2500 by 1 August.
The results are to be published on 11 August.


The second phone poll starts today, 7 August,
and the results will be ten days later on the 17.
The second poll is fully funded.


The misunderstanding is that
it was the FUNDING for Poll #2 that started on 7 August.
This poll #2 is to be conducted on 14 August
with the Poll Results to be released on 17 Aug. (3 days, said 10 days above)


Thanks again, Jeff65 for understanding and speaking up.
Thanks for trying RPforPrsdnt. I think my confusion is with what consistent means? Some readers agree with you and solomon8718. Numerous down-votes to me and Jeff65. (which carried to new thread)

Well, today is 8/15. Maybe poll #2 was done yesterday? Maybe not? Whatever day results come out, I'll refrain from input because accuracy is not desired by so many.


Your understanding the misunderstanding is understandably understood by few.

Poll #2 is on schedule. Results on 17 Aug.

I'm not sure what your beef is

James has been upfront about everything and has not done any thing wrong. If you had actually contributed money maybe you'd have a legitimate beef, which you would be able to take up directly with James, but since you obviously aren't, stop pretending like you are speaking for those of US to actually contributed.

Ron Paul - Intellectual hero

You are ignorant...

....with poor reading comprehension and judgment. I did contribute.

And I stand behind my statements.

What kind of people are down-voting the up-votes....

...for accountability? (shaking head side-to-side)

That's great! The world needs you in order to continue our downward spiral.

Dates To Remember

11, 17 and 24 - I have been consistent with the planned publishing dates: 11, 17 and 24 August. These dates have never changed.

What has changed is the funding dates - the pollster changed his delivery time from 10 to 3 days, but the publishing dates have remained the same from my first post of this plan.

I don't think I'm being inconsistent.

Also, I think there is some confusion because of the ChipIn widget deadline of 14 Aug for the current funding of Poll#3. That ChipIn deadline date of 14 Aug will be ended and a new ChipIn for the funding of #3Poll will be reset.

Funding and publishing three polls in 24 days is a challenge but all seems to be going well.

I think the polls are well worth the time and money. We are providing vital information to the RNC delegates now and when they are on the floor of the convention, trying to convince that Paul can beat Obama and Romney can't. America wants Paul and the polls prove it.

I'm sorry you're not loving this project. I'll try to do better.


James, I can see the point of

James, I can see the point of USA2012. If I'm understanding him properly, his biggest problem is with what is happening with poll #2. You have never responded directly to his questions on this poll.

You have said that poll #2 was conducted on August 7, which was two days after the date poll #1 was conducted. This is 10 days before the expected publication date for poll #2. This seems very odd and you have never extended any explanation for this as you have still not done in this last request for an explanation.

Thanks For Asking

The misunderstanding is that it was the FUNDING for Poll #2 that started on 7 August. That's all that happened with Poll #2 on 7 Aug.

This poll #2 is to be conducted on 14 August (I paid $2500 to the pollster to initiate Poll#2 today, 14 Aug) with the Poll Results to be released on 17 Aug. This is all according to the original schedule.

Your questions and comments are welcome,

Thanks for the clarification

Thanks for the clarification James. It is good news that poll #2 is being conducted Aug 14th.

I understand that this was communicated from the beginning, but USA2012 and myself were relying on later communications from you that said poll #2 was being conducted on Aug 7 (this on an update from Aug 7th). This is where the my main problem stemmed from, since normally later communications have the more accurate statements.

I'm confused by all the down votes for questions to clarify. It seems liberty minded people like to stifle questions. This is very disturbing.

Not Disturbing To Me

Questions and advise are always welcome. I learn that way. James

The questions aren't

The questions aren't disturbing me, it is the down voting of questions from so many liberty minded people that is disturbing. You have been polite to the questioners, so I'm not referring to you and I appreciate your answers (though sometimes confusing :) ).

So is it Aug. 14th or 15th?

Poll#2 is funded and ready to be launched on 15 Aug.
with results on 17 Aug.

[Previously 8/7:
The second phone poll starts today, 7 August,
and the results will be ten days later on the 17.
The second poll is fully funded.
"It takes 10 days to conduct a national political poll."]

"Poll#1 resullts were published on 11 Aug 12.
(thought it was 8/8/12? http://www.dailypaul.com/comment/2659194)

Your Poll taken dates ARE INCONSISTENT

...and just as important, or more so, as publish dates - which have been inconsistent , as well as results received dates.

Your words are unreliable. You were very strict, nothing was flexible. Now, nothing is consistent or as you stated, with no explanation as to why.

What happened to the results of poll 2 taken on 8/7?

What has changed since the polls taken on 8/5 and 8/7 that would bump Paul up on 8/15 or 8/22?

If the results go down or stay the same, how is that helpful or worth the money?

Easy To Understand

as 11,17 and 24 August. These are the Poll Results received and release dates. They have not changed.

As you can see, there is 6-7 days between the results release dates.

We are on schedule and enjoying excellent results - 58% and 45%.

With each release date we get to send out to all the major and minor media and to our delegates. The media and delegates will have the "numbers" to make a powerful argument for nominating Ron Paul. America wants Ron Paul and the polls prove it. www.realclearpolitics.com

Send to the Judge and Stossel, too.

Maybe even Neil Cavuto - he is very respectful of Dr. Paul.

We all should try sending

To these outlets! He is working hard, but can't do it all, we need to help with distribution.


Please Do

help with distribution of the News Release for the Poll #1 results.

Just copy, paste and send the Poll #1 Results (top of this thread) as a News Release. You must include the Pulse Opinion Rider at the bottom of the News Release.

Send the News Release to everyone you can get an address for, from major media to friends; ask them to "ChipIn" for the Poll #3.


Findings: We Live in a

Findings: We Live in a country where the majority of people prefer a communist dictator. Obama doesn't hide who he is, and the majority prefer him to Ron Paul.

Why do I call this home?

This shows Paul losing to

This shows Paul losing to Obama by 2% and Mitt beating Obama by 2%? That sucks and doesn't help our case! Am I missing something here?

They are all statistically tied. The +/- 3% moe means that

3% goes in both directions.


where is the original link though? The blog I got this from now has disappeared, and I was looking for it when I found this write up.

IMHO if grass roots commissioned that, they will want to post the direct write up of the pollster so media will use it (we hope)

Integrity means having to say things that people don't want to hear & especially to say things that the regime doesnt want to hear -RonPaul

Make a new thread for this

This post won't get back on the front page easily because it's from 7/31... make a new post.

Winning! With 1st Poll Results, Please Donate for 3rd Poll Just

before Tampa when more People will be hearing that Ron Paul is still in the race for president. Then, everyone can share the great poll results, like the ones we have above with delegates in Tampa that might be having second thoughts about Romney. ( : This is getting so exciting, we are coming down to the wire now and it is all going to happen at the end of this month! Can't wait to see if our efforts have paid off for us, Americans and the world.


News Release

As scheduled, I'm releasing the Poll Results to hundreds of address available here:

More media lists are on line that are as extensive as this list. I'll be mailing to every list I can find on line and from any lists sent to me by you.

I am using all the free News Release services such as: http://www.prlog.org/ ...and there are many more like these - I will list them later today.

Distribution of Poll Results by email lists is open to every activists. Just copy the News Release above and email it to every address you have time for.

We have news! and they want it.
58 and 45! Winning numbers. Let's tell the world and with our next two polls, we can watch these numbers grow.

Harm no one. Let no one harm you.

How Can Gary Johnson Get 15%

If they don't include him?

We have no business "bringing democracy" to other countries.

What do you think? http://consequeries.com/