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Behind the Deepening Crisis with Iran: The Real Story Versus the Cover Story


By Mark H Gaffney

Recently, President Obama imposed new sanctions on Iran which according to reports have been very effective, causing a sudden major devaluation of Iran's currency. The Iranians correctly understand that they are under attack, and have threatened to respond by closing the strait of Hormuz, through which a large percentage of oil from the Mideast flows to the global economy.

If the crisis deepens and Iran makes good on its threat to close Hormuz, there is little doubt that the US will intervene to reopen the strait. This will lead to a shooting war for which Iran will be blamed, even though the recent US sanctions were tantamount to overt aggression.

I believe the US will exploit the situation to attack Iran's nuclear facilities. But, even more importantly, the US will target Iran's conventional missiles. Indeed, I believe this is the real reason for US sanctions in the first place, and for the buildup of tensions in recent days. Despite public perceptions, and all the rhetoric about nukes, the present crisis has nothing to do with Iran's alleged nuclear weapons program. In my opinion, that is just a cover story.

The real issue is the fact that Iran has upgraded its medium range conventionally-armed missiles with GPS technology, making its missiles much more accurate. This means Iran can now target Israel's own nuclear, bio and chemical weapons stockpiles, located inside Israel, as well as the Dimona nuclear reactor.

In short, Iran has achieved a conventional deterrent to Israel. Therefor, statements by Iranian officials that Iran has no nuclear weapons program are in my view probably correct. Presently, Iran does not need nukes to deter Israel. It can do so with its GPS-guided medium range missiles. The Israelis are no doubt gnashing their teeth over this, because they now find themselves threatened by their own WMD stockpiles, and by their own nuclear reactors, especially Dimona, all of which have become targets.

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This is the End Game folks...

Obama is the ZOG choice and always has been, Mitt Romney is just the latest stooge for laughs. The 'tensions' between Obama and Netanyahu are pure Jewish street theater. I don't care if you agree with me or not, but this is your very last chance to prepare physically and spiritually.

"Give a man a gun, and he could rob a bank. Give a man a bank, and he could rob the world."

Just More Evidence

Just more evidence that both parties are acting in unison to leverage a singular agenda.

An outgoing weak Obama is imposing the sanctions that will lead to a hot war Romney will have to fight.

Here comes the new boss, same as the old boss. . .

If men are not governed by God, they will be ruled by tyrants.
- William Penn

Iran doesn't need nuclear

Iran doesn't need nuclear weapons as long as any war with Israel remains conventional. Israel is just crazy enough to use their stockpile of nuclear weapons, though, if the going gets rough. Iranian leaders should ponder this latter possibility carefully BEFORE targeting assets or issuing public statements regarding Israel... very carefully.

Excellent article

Great post! Very informative.

Right on explanation!

and if Iran explodes Israel's nuclear facilities it will destroy the Middle East and every other nation around Israel, including all the US military bases surrounding Iran. Iran is smart to have this defense.

What exactly has Iran done to threaten the USA? It appears Iran is merely preparing to defend itself against the war machine terrorizing the Middle East!

A must read

A must read.

DJP333's picture

Good points

Appreciate the post. I never thought about it like this, but you make complete sense. Iran does not threaten US national security. Its Israel that is in trouble because of geography. This is why Israel needs to keep the peace and stop being instigators.

"It’s not pessimistic, brother, because this is the blues. We are blues people. The blues aren’t pessimistic. We’re prisoners of hope but we tell the truth and the truth is dark. That’s different." ~CW