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Nate Silver: How Viable is Rand Paul for 2016?

A fair analysis by a noted numbers cruncher. His flaw, I think, is no mention of Rand's clear advantage in the early states of Iowa and NH, and no one has ever won those first two contests and failed to win the nomination.


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Did you notice?

In their quiet, subtle way, the NYT is already trying to marginalize Rand Paul in one of the same ways they did it to his father. Multiple and glaring references are made to Mr. Paul. It's done on TV too. I'm sorry, but it is Dr.Paul. These men worked hard to further their education, to challenge their intellect, and deserve "all due respect" and recognition.
Perhaps I am being petty, but I think not. These men are humble servants, and don't throw it in your face; but, I think we could all remind folks and show respect where it is due.



If (when) they cheat in the delegate process as they did last election, theories of win-states are mute.

We must begin with the local precincts and continue to change it from the ground up.

[We] are beginning to change the internal balance at my local REC.

My Conversation With Rand Paul.....

... lasted for about 10 minutes in October of 2008 at Faneuil Hall in Boston where he was speaking at a rally in opposition to policies of the Federal Reserve. During a break in the program I stood near the entrance to the Hall and up comes Rand Paul heading for the exit. I recognized him and addressed him by name and he stopped to chat. I told him that I had been an alternate delegate for his father at the RNC in St. Paul, Minnesota the month before and he thanked me for my support.

The financial credit collapse was shifting into high gear at the time and I told him how I wanted to dramatize the events by organizing a new and improved Bretton Woods II conference to put the dollar back on gold and he said he thought that was a good idea but that maybe the venue should be held in Jekyll Island, South Carolina where the weather would be warmer.

He then went on to explain how his experience as a Doctor helped him to see parallels between the automatic way the gold standard works to drain currency from circulation when the economy overheats and adds to it when the economy slows, with the metabolism of the human body which naturally tightly regulates blood glucose levels as a part of metabolic homeostasis.

I encouraged him to run for public office and he said, "Yeah, a lot of people are telling me that these days." I was thinking of him running for the House of Representatives, but I'm glad he set his sights at a higher level.

Ed Rombach

Good article.

Good article.

This guy has a lot of

This guy has a lot of credibility. This breakdown should scare the sht out of the GOP.

Really enjoyed this

Glad to see the statisticians coming our way.

For Science!

Rand should visit New Hampshire every chance he gets

If he shuts out Rubio in Iowa and wins New Hampshire, he's got a great shot, at least 50/50 in my opinion.

"Natural Born"

Rubio CAN'T NOT BE PRESIDENT. One or both of his parents was not American citizens at the time of his birth.

"HIS"story is going on all the time. Whether or not one sees it, is the defining point of one's character.~MEB


It doesn't matter whether both or neither of his parents were citizens. The only thing that matters is that he was born a citizen, either because one of his parents was a citizen, or because he was born on American soil. (I may have some technicalities wrong, but a foundational concept of our Constitution is that one's parentage is mostly irrellevant).

What do you think? http://consequeries.com/

Who cares...

I do not trust Rand, sorry...

That didnt stop Obama


"If Tyranny and Oppression come to this land, it will be in the guise of fighting a foreign enemy." -- James Madison

Michael Nystrom's picture

"Better than the 20-1 bookmakers are giving him."

I read this yesterday. Decent article with some good insights. Thank you for posting. I was going to, and then.... and then what happened? Something. And then I forgot. Thanks for bringing it to our attention.