We are the Gods now... Technological unemployment, The system and youSubmitted by firefox on Fri, 06/14/2013 - 18:45
“In the future… a new generation of artists will be writing genomes as fluently as Blake and Byron wrote verses.”
— Freeman Dyson
Ladies and gentleman we are on the cusp of change. A change so incredibly powerful it will make mockery of all that has come before. A change that will make us the Gods now.
For the last few decades advancements in technology, in all fields, has shown very predictable trends. These trends are advancing exponentially, show no decline in pace, power and scale and are progressing through every industry on the planet.
This change is a double edge sword in so many ways. To understand this coming change is the easy part but to make the leap of faith in accepting it is the challenge. We must make a stand to educate the world about this coming change so we don't kill our selfs with it and we must figure out how to proceed past the dilemma's created by such fast paced change.
This change is technological progress and the implication of exponentially increasing pace of change is what makes this so profoundly different then any thing else that has come before. The pace of process innovation is outpacing product innovations, that is to say, the robots are taking our jobs.
“Ultimate automation…will make our modern industry as primitive and outdated as the stone age man looks to us today.”
I present a graph for you economic inclined people out there
This graph shows clear cut signs of a coming problem that is already manifesting itself as a "jobless recovery"... but you see, it is so much more complicated then that. This graph show human labor is no longer paired with production. This graph shows technological unemployment and this problem is going to accelerate at an exponential rate.
There is a problem in the whole system. It is a systemic problem of capitalism and money in general. The problem is that labor is no longer tied to profits. As the pace of job outsourcing and, more importantly, automation quickens, people become unemployed, as people become unemployed they are willing to work for less, which reduces purchasing power. It's a viscous cycle and it has a new twist as the future come into focus. Technological Automation has thrown a wrench into even the most dire or predictions regarding capitalistic problems.
The pace of automation is starting to FAR outpace new jobs creation. We can't invent new industry, and therefore jobs, faster then tech is automating those new industries. This leads to a problem(compounded by global pressures and regulations) where robots are becoming cheaper to "hire" then a person. As you can imagine, this is a dilemma of epic proportions.
The robots are becoming smarter and are able to do more tasks everyday. It has become clear that robots WILL take over every task a human can by 2050 and most of the menial tasks will be phased out much sooner then that.
Now I know you are sitting there in your chair saying that's impossible... computers and robots will never take over ALL the jobs but consider this.
Imagine that you could travel back in time to the year 1900. Imagine that you stand on a soap box on a city street corner in 1900 and you say to the gathering crowd, "By 1955, people will be flying at supersonic speeds in sleek aircraft and traveling coast to coast in just a few hours." Not a single person in that crowd would have believed you. Yet, by 1947, Chuck Yeager flew the X1 at supersonic speeds. In 1958, Pan Am started non-stop jet flights between New York and Paris in the Boeing 707.
Because technological advancements follow an exponential curve the rate of progress from 1900-1950 would only take 25 years(1950-1975) and the progress in those 25 years would only take 12.5 years, so on and so forth.
Fast forward to today and this change is occurring so fast that most people don't even see it happening until they go to work only to find they have been replaced by a machine. It's up to us to find a solution that is feasible and realistic without burning down that machines like the Luddites. The Luddites burned down the textile machines in the 1800s because the machines replaced them.
So I have a question for you daily paulers out there reading this...
The questions that we are raising here are profound. How do we prevent this downward spiral from happening? Are we smart enough to see the robotic revolution that is coming and plan for it prior to the crisis? Can we redesign the economy so that we enter the new era of robots smoothly? With robots doing most of the work, can we actually create a society that takes advantage of the leisure that robots can provide? Or will the tens of millions of people displaced by the robots end up being homeless and destitute, living in government welfare dormitories?
In other words: How do we want the robotic economy to work for the citizens of this nation while maintaining the "Ron Paul way"? We should consciously think about that question because the Robots are coming and we are the creating them so we are the gods now.
For further reading for those interested I recommend checking out this crowd sourced list of articles and videos showcasing what I'm talking about. it ranges from manufacturing automation to the quickening pace of genetic engineering (which is why I say we are the gods now).
and probably the best video (Ted talk) highlighting exactly what is happening, by the most knowledgeable person around on the subject.