Where will Paul do best on Super Tuesday?

0 votes

Now that we've glimpsed the campaign's "below the radar" strategy, have some fun and predict in which state Dr. Paul will have the highest share of votes (or delegates, your choice). Why will your state be most receptive to Dr. Paul?


Where the campaign is advertising

Radio ads in Alabama, California, Colorado, Georgia, Florida, Louisiana, Maine and North Dakota (see press release)

TV ads in Tennesee and Arkansas (see press release)


Super Tuesday States (Feb 5th) - 1,081 delegates

Caucuses - 197 delegates
Will low turnout open the door for Paul supporters?
Alaska - 29 (republicans only)
Montana - 25 (winner take all)
North Dakota - 26
Minnesota - 41
Colorado - 46 (republicans only)
West Virginia - 30 (convention)

Primaries (not winner take all) - 536 delegates
Will surgical strikes on congressional districts win delegates?
Illinois - 70
Oklahoma - 41 (republicans only)
California - 173 (republicans only)
Georgia - 72
Tennessee - 55
Alabama - 48
Arkansas - 34 (Huckabee's home state)
Massachusetts - 43 (Romney's home state)

Primaries (winner take all) - 348 delegates
Roll the dice and bet it all on a win?
New York - 101
New Jersey - 52
Connecticut - 30
Delaware - 18
Missouri - 58
Utah - 36
Arizona - 53

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I'll start off the bidding

West Virginia - most delegates of any candidate to the state convention. And the large Thompson slate could be convinced to back Dr. Paul.