20 votes

Poll: Rand Paul leads Hillary Clinton in state of Kentucky and gets 29% of black vote

May 17, 2014

And Kentucky's eight electoral votes go to ...

Okay, it's far too early for that, but in a hypothetical matchup in the 2016 presidential race between U.S. Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky and former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Paul would narrowly carry the Bluegrass State, according to a new poll.

The Bluegrass Poll, sponsored jointly by the Lexington Herald-Leader, the Courier-Journal, WKYT-TV and WHAS-TV, found that Paul would beat Clinton in Kentucky 48 percent to 44 percent.

SurveyUSA conducted the poll of 1,782 registered voters from May 14 to 16. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 2.4 percentage points.

Paul's lead over Clinton appears to be partially a function of gender at this point, with Paul winning 55 percent of men to Clinton's 38 percent and Clinton winning women 50 percent to 42 percent.


While Paul has made outreach to minority groups one of his top priorities, the poll found that only 29 percent of black respondents would back Paul compared with 62 percent who would vote for Clinton.



Note how the article spins 29% of black vote as a low number but by historical standards that is triple what the Republican presidential candidate usually gets (source: factcheck.org)

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if the republicans were not so stupid and retarded

they would be going after the black vote in a major way. Most black people hate that the democrat party is comparing gay marriage to the black civil rights issues of the sixties. If the republican party as a whole went for the black vote they could get it pretty easily right now.

Consider it this way the democrats on one hand say that republicans hate blacks but on the other hand they say gays are just like blacks, in a very real way black people are taking that as the democrat party calling black people gay. but republicans are to stupid to capitalize on this.

Rand make Hillery look like a neocon

He would beat her but republicans are such sellout corporatist that they would rather lose than nominate a Paul

Government is supposed to protect our freedom, our property, our privacy, not invade it. Ron Paul 2007

Yeah, but will they flip votes in the primaries?

Like they did with his dad. Have they come up with something to prevent this yet?


I remember there were some people

doing some kind of mathematical study on that, but I don't know if anything ever came of it.


Shouldn't he win his home state?


although Clinton leads Paul nationwide by 9.4%, according the latest RCP average.


So the results against Clinton in Kentucky are about what I would expect; the results among black voters are more encouraging.

National Review says

this poll suggests Paul’s outreach to the minority community is having an impact.

One of the poll’s significant findings was that 29 percent of the African-Americans surveyed said they would back the tea-party senator. Paul carried 13 percent of the African-American vote when he defeated Kentucky attorney general Jack Conway in his Senate race in 2010. John McCain carried just 4 percent of the African-American vote in 2008; Mitt Romney performed little better in that demographic, winning 6 percent of the black vote in 2012. This suggests that some of Paul’s outreach to the minority community — speeches at Howard University, the Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, a push to eliminate mandatory minimum sentences for some drug offenders — is having an impact.


If the race

comes down to Hitlery VS Rand, then I would expect that after the first one-on-one live debate between the two, Rand will be up on Hitlery 2 to 1. The contrast between the two will be the greatest of any American election...ever.

Well he's doing the right

Well he's doing the right thing by getting out there early. Hillary is going to bomb the MSM with ads once she pulls the trigger, and he needs as big a head start as he can get.

ok 62% of blacks about 10% of Ky population

Not a chance for Clinton in Ky.