I did the math on the remaining 13% in Washington
Submitted by clipper on Sun, 02/10/2008 - 02:09
This is ABSOLUTELY NO SURE THING, but according to the reports that Paul got about 46% of the vote in Spokane, Huck 20%, and McCain 15%, I came up with the final vote tally for the entire state:
Mccain 3239 plus 319 = 3558
Huck 3010 plus 425 =3435
Paul 2655 plus 987 =3642
That would be a narrow Paul win, but it's a crude estimation.
What I did was added up the total votes for everyone up to this point, multiplied it by 13% (.13) Total 12504 with 2126 votes left
Then, I multiplied 2126 times .46 for Paul; times .20 for Huck; .15 for McCain, which resulted in 987 votes for Paul, 425 for Huck, and 319 for McCain
OF COURSE, THIS IS JUST A VERY ROUGH ESTIMATION. POINT IS, IT SHOULD BE A VERY, VERY, VERY, CLOSE FINAL RESULT!
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Straight from another thread -- Spokane ALREADY counted
See this comment from somebody who was at GOP headquarters and saw Spokane being added to the results:
http://www.dailypaul.com/node/35847#comment-317792
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Spokane is NOT the last 13%
The results for Spokane have been available for HOURS. They must have been already added into the total.
It's probably the RURAL counties that are slow to report.
slapshot you are kind of negative
slapshot you are kind of negative, where did you get your info - although the numbers might be available in Spokane County it doesn't mean they actually sent them to the Washington GOP to be counted - usually they wait for all the precincts to be counted in a county then they send the entire county total to the state GOP. Can you image if a county sent part of their precincts and then sent another part and another - that would be a confusing mess.
I believe someone said Spokane County had 20% yet to be counted, at the very least 10% - they are not going to send their totals to be counted in parts - its county by county. Saying that, even if Spokane County comes in last, it may not be enough to win the straw poll, but who cares the delegates are what counts.
"Reporting" means "reported to GOP" -- Spokane ALREADY counted
The news says that 90% of Spokane already reported:
http://www.khq.com/Global/story.asp?S=7847796
"Reporting" means "reported to the GOP". That's what it means.
They do the reporting precinct-by-precinct. That's why it's 87% of precincts reporting, not 86% of counties reporting.
Spokane is already in the totals, I'm sorry.
It's not negativity, it's actually understanding the FACTS on the ground.
As of 1:54 Spokane is still at 90%
Where are you getting the information that Spokane has submitted finals?
It is still being reported at 90% as of 1:54.
90% is ALREADY in the total
90% of Spokane has already reported. Thus the last 13% can't all be from Spokane. It's already all in the totals. We already HAD the Spokane bump.
http://www.khq.com/Global/story.asp?S=7847796
The Spokane Bump?
The Spokane Bump? Spoken like a....
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90% of SPOKANE has ALREADY reported
The results from 90% of Spokane have already been reported and added.
http://www.khq.com/Global/story.asp?S=7847796
So Spokane is NOT the the last 13%.
Spokane hasn't reported
That's not logical, they wouldn't report unless they have 100%.
Spokane numbers have not been reported.
Precinct-by-precinct
Each PRECINCT reports back to the state GOP.
Spokane has more than one precinct. 90% of them have reported back to the state GOP.
Call them to be sure!!! No
Call them to be sure!!!
No phone
p: (206) 575-2900
If the 46% in Spokane is more than 2200 votes,
it may be enough to make up the 5% deficit and take the lead. McCain took the lead from Huck earlier with 1000 votes in a precinct and a lower percentage. I think that was King County.
I just found this site with vote totals.
http://projects.washingtonpost.com/2008-presidential-candida...
McCain 3468 votes 26%
Huckabee 3226 votes 24%
Paul 2799 votes 21%
This means that if Spokane had 2200 votes cast. Paul gets 46% or 1012, Huck gets 20% or 440 and McInsane gets 15% or 330 votes. The new totals would be
Paul 3813 votes
McCain 3798
Huck 3666
Ron Paul wins! The higher the vote count in Spokane the more Ron Paul pulls away! The local media said thousands of people showed up in Spokane and it was a record turnout. We may not know till morning. Meanwhile, most of the MSM is calling it for McCain. We'll see.
yes same as colorado
same as colorado
RP is in a win win situation in WA
even if RP came third, still its a very significant % (almost 1/3 of the vote)
I can call it a victory.
Don't worry, I got this info from war room
okay, so i called the Ron Paul Seattle Headquarters just before they closed. I had to ask them how there can be 12% of “uncommitted” delegates in the results we see on CNN, MSNBC and all the other “MSM” sites. I asked them “So do people nominate themselves as a uncommitted delegate and then people vote FOR them?” The person said FIRST, do NOT go off any MSM site results. The delegate counts aren’t even known yet. THIS IS VERY IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND….. the results that are shown on CNN and MSM sites are STRAW POLL RESULTS!! What straw poll? When you sign in on the sheet when entering the caucus, you put down who your PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE is….. THAT IS THE STRAW POLL NUMBERS we all are seeing on MSM results! The straw poll numbers have NOTHING to do with DELEGATE counts. You can have a precinct that has 20 people… and 15 are for McCain and 5 for Paul… and only 3 delegate slot… Let’s just say Paul gets ALL 3 delegate slots… what you will see on MSM news outlets will be McCain-15 …. Paul-5. However Ron Paul has ALL 3 delegate slots… THAT IS WHAT MATTERS!
i had to call and get this straightened out as many of us were going nuts over these numbers online… THEY ARE ONLY STRAW POLL NUMBERS…. NOT DELEGATE COUNTS.
The person i spoke to at the RP headquarters said to spread this far and wide so we all know what these numbers are.
Remember we also have about 2000 uncomitted - these are all Ron Paul people.
Ok, this is where I am a bit confused by these numbers?
Ok, suppose that it results in the exact way that you describe.
20 people show up and there are only 3 delegate slots available.
Ok, McCain has 15 delegates.
Ron Paul has 5 delegates,
Well, here is where I am confused. If McCain has 15 delegates - that is, "3 times" that of Paul - then how could Paul get all 3 delegate slots like that? I mean if he gets completely blown away by McCain by 3 to 1 (15 to 5) then how in the heck does Paul get anything? Let alone all 3 slots? Please explain because this sure has me confused anymore.
We are new. Come and check us out! Purpose of our site is to quickly bring newbies up to speed regarding Ron Paul.
Because...
Those 15 for McCain -are not delegates-. They are 15 people who voted in a presidential preference poll. There are only three delegate slots in the example, and only 3 people will become delegates.
Ok, but this only confuses me even that much more...
If 15 people are voting for McCain in a Presidential Preference Poll, then it sounds to me like they are votong for delegates. Are you saying that all 15 of these McCain voters are just people voting in this poll, but that RP's "5" people are all 5 "delegates" voting for themselves? If this is so, how can this be. It sounds to me like 20 people show up to vote for 3 delegates. 15 people vote for McCain and 5 vote for Paul. Sounds like 3 delegates become elected as McCain delegates because the Paul people got whipped by 3 to 1 (that is, 15 to 5). Please explain this in more detail.
We are new. Come and check us out! Purpose of our site is to quickly bring newbies up to speed regarding Ron Paul.
Thank you arupachino99...
there is sooooooooo much disinformation out there. And also, posters on this site that want to see us fail (Saul, kharma will get you). It's a long way until November, and nothing is set in stone. I don't even watch MSM anymore, or listen to "conservative talk radio." As a life long Repub registered for the last 23 years, I am disgusted as to what the party has become. Locally I vote Constitution or Libertarian, and Repub as a last resort. I have always felt that the 2 party system was put in place to keep the country divided so that it would not come together to overthrow the Gov't. Just remember, it's not over until it's over. I refuse to go negative, and will write in Dr. Paul's name if necessary. THERE IS NO OTHER OPTION!
Its in the fine print
At the bottom of a poll you will see it say EXIT polls. Now... I know there are many of you that have felt the MSM shoving their polls in all of our EXITS. But lets get real here. We are going to win this state and we are going to win LA. Add up those states delegate totals. THEY ARE OURS! Well... Washington still needs to have a primary which no one, except Paul, can get overt 50%! Then they BOTH are OURS!!! Two big states. Two big victories! Yip to the Yee!!!
Does my burka make my butt look fatwa?
One of these days...
...the MSM will quit polling exit signs since they don't vote anyway, they just hang around by the doorways and do nothing. LOL.
god, you are right. The
god, you are right. The MSM's won't report on this, and then they will bury it. No one will know the difference. It already started:
http://www.columbian.com/news/localNews/2008/02/02092008_Oba...
Also this sight had results at 8:30pm (I know it was because I called my friend to report it to her);
These results were posted by 8:30.
"Spokane Republican Caucus Results: With 90% of the precincts reporting - Ron Paul 46%, Mike Huckabee 20%, John Mccain 15%, Mitt Romney 9%, Uncommitted 10%"
here:
http://www.khq.com/Global/story.asp?S=7847796
Mathew 5:9 Blessed are the peacemakers: for they shall be called the children of God.
I'll say it again...
KHQ is wrong! The final report from the Spokane County Republican Chairman showed 80% of precincts reporting. He sent it to key party leaders just before retiring for the evening. Please, don't believe everything MSM is reporting! With all the bullshit this campaign has gone through, why are people on this site so fixated on believing these assholes? For the love of God, puleez... listen to your troops in the field!
*****The Federal Reserve is neither.*****
Yeah they Fn cheaters need
Yeah they Fn cheaters need time fix it to match their prediction that Mcinsane won..
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Yes and it looks like Spokane
where Ron Paul won by a landslide uses paper ballots.
*I GOT MY EYE ON YOU DIEBOLD and I'm gonna knock you out, sucker!* .....state by state decertification....
There are NO BALLOTS TODAY
It's a CAUCUS across the whole state.
Nobody cast any ballots. No machines ANYWHERE. No paper ballots. No e-voting. Nothing.
A CAUCUS. People stand around the room and talk about candidates, then divide up into corners based on their candidate or otherwise PUBLICLY say who they voted for.
Won't you READ before posting STUPID SHIT that makes you look UNEDUCATED? NO county used machines because there were NO ballots to count.
They were aware of Spokane
right from the beginning, and have been holding out on adding it to the tally.