Gold and Silver had their biggest drop in over 10 years = Deleverage

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Because of the chaos in the financial markets, the credit crunch and the risk of major banks defaulting, there has been a huge process of DELEVERAGING going on. Hedge funds and other investment outfits leverage themselves or borrow at least 10 to 1. Meaning, people gave hedge fund A $1 million to invest. The hedge fund borrows $9 million from a bank and claims to have $10 million in assets. Hedge fund A buys a junk bond yielding 8%, pays off the interest on the 9 mill at 4 % and has now made 4 % on $10 million with only $ 1 million in hard cash. Hedge Fund A has made $400,000 on a $1 million investment = A 40 % RETURN!!! Not bad!!

EXCEPT in the current credit crunch, that game is up. If they can make a run on a bank like Bear Stearns, they can make a run on anyone. Hedge funds and investment outfits all over the world are protecting themselves, reducing their exposure , they are deleveraging. Instead of borrowing at least 10-1 they are getting down to 5-1.

How do they do this? They sell winning assets. Is there a better winner over the last 5 years than commodities like gold and silver? They are being forced to sell GOLD and SILVER to raise cash in order to guard themselves against margin calls, bank runs, bad derivative bets, and anything else in these uncertain times. The drop in GOLD and SILVER this week was historic and we are in historic times.

I think you buy the dips, as this is just the 5th inning of a double header!

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People are buying, my friends.

"I went in for a visit to my gold and silver dealer at Camino Coin in California yesterday. It was a very busy day at their office with phones ringing off the hook! I asked if there were more buyers or sellers on this crazy day with metals prices plunging. To my surprise the dealer said that almost all of the calls were buy orders! The ratio was something like 20:1 buy to sell orders! This is crazy! The price of silver and gold are plunging and the dealer has 20 buy orders for every sell order! The dealer has also stopped selling 100 oz. silver bars since they can’t get them anymore! I may have to settle for generic silver rounds or 10 oz. bars. They are also out of junk silver bags! This is nuts to say the least. The dealer says that almost no one is selling their silver or gold, they just keep buying! Camino Coin also said the wait time for 100 oz. silver bars was weeks to months before they stopped selling them. It looks like my retirement is postponed due to the metals and share price plunges but I feel secure with physical in my possession. We will persevere!"

From a member of LeMetropole Cafe.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

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Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

Another letter by a smart man.

"Hi all,

All is well now. We once again have $800 gold, $14 silver, $5 corn, $113 crude. You may now go back to your normal activities. Sit down in front of the boob tube and watch all the exciting action. No, not the Olympics, the REAL action- the continuing financial wipeout. The entertainment includes many thrills, such as.....

Watching your 8 closest neighbors getting evicted by foreclosure.

Wagering whether the Fannie and Freddie collapse will add 1 trillion or 2 trillion to the public debt.

Further wagering whether GM, Ford, or Chrysler will be the first government-owned auto company.

ARM resets adding 10 million more foreclosures to the housing junk heap.

Another bank implosion.

Debating whether the new, expanded 10 trillion dollar debt ceiling will last until January.

Calculating all those zeros in the category of "notional value of all derivatives outstanding".

Unstable regions in the world further de-stabilizing.

Based on everything I have learned from cabal attacks the danger for the dollar right now must be red alert. This was a big, vicious metals takedown. It was well timed, in-your-face, and capitalizing on all of the cabal tricks. They really aren't even trying to hide interventions any longer. It's just smash-mouth corruption. I don't give a damn any more about technicals, all I need to know is the fundamentals. If all you knew about the metals were the fundamentals you'd swear there'd be no gold or silver available at ANY price.

Gold trash talkers like Gartman and Nadler should note how frequently trash talking can backfire. I'll bet the French men's 4X100 swimming relay team wish they had been a little less mouthy to Jason Lezak, Michael Phelps and company."

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

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Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

Great synopsis! Even I understood that!

Mike
"Fire Team for Freedom" and "Revolutionary Business"
visit www.mikeandjake.com

Mike
"Fire Team for Freedom"
visit www.mikeandjake.com

more articles by Rick

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Rick Ackerman

Gold's Stampede Into Bogus Paper

By Rick Ackerman
Aug 12 2008 10:34AM

www.rickackerman.com

Global markets continued to punish gold yesterday for the speculative excesses of crude oil, a mere commodity. With the dollar robustly on the rise in recent weeks, spurred in part by the prospect of a plunging energy-trade deficit, it’s easy to understand why investors would treat the dollar as money and gold as a commodity. Of course, they have it exactly wrong, as most of you will already know. How can we be certain of this? Well, for one, neither Paulson nor anyone else at Treasury can refute the following statement: The $20 bills in our wallets are fundamentally worth no more than the $1 bills. Indeed, and indisputably, if either bill has any value at all, it resides in the durability and ultra high-quality of the paper on which the various denominations have arbitrarily been printed. Too bad there is only one person in a position of leadership -- Ron Paul -- who understands this.

If we sound churlish over the thrashing that precious metals have received in recent weeks, it is not because it took us by surprise. In fact, Rick’s Picks has provided a series of downbeat forecasts for gold and silver all the way down, and there is yet one more querulous target to be achieved that lies beneath even the 824.50 nadir of yesterday’s insensate plunge. There is also to consider a worst-case fantasy target of sorts that we disseminated yesterday in the chat room: $654. It is based on the price of gold following crude oil all the way to the bottom of its presumptive bear market. We’ve repeatedly said that oil prices are not correcting but crashing, and this would imply they will be at least cut in half from the $148 peak recorded in mid-July. So what would $74 crude mean for gold? Well, if bullion were to continue falling 60% as steeply as oil, which is what it’s done since crude prices began their collapse nearly a month ago, it would imply a $654 low for gold.

'Strong' Dollar a Falsehood

But we don’t expect that to happen, not at all. More likely is that oil will fall well below $74 as the world slips into severe recession or depression; and gold will begin to resist its pull, acting more and more money-like as the revelation of the dollar’s fundamental worthlessness spreads to every corner of the world where dollars are held as reserves. For now, though, gold bugs need to recognize that as overdone as the selling of precious metals has become, and as detached from reality as those who have been doing the selling evidently are, the fleeting illusion of a “strong” dollar is one that cannot possibly endure. In the meantime, we have the modern-day tool of technical analysis to help us avoid serious financial injury even as we rub our eyes in disbelief. While this misguided trend runs its course, however, we should not even try to make sense of a world in which investors trip over each other to trade gold for paper.

Rick Ackerman

****

Information and commentary contained herein comes from sources believed to be reliable, but this cannot be guaranteed. Past performance should not be construed as an indicator of future results, so let the buyer beware. Rick's Picks does not provide investment advice to individuals, nor act as an investment advisor, nor individually advocate the purchase or sale of any security or investment. From time to time, its editor may hold positions in issues referred to in this service, and he may alter or augment them at any time. Investments recommended herein should be made only after consulting with your investment advisor, and only after reviewing the prospectus or financial statements of the company.

Rick's Picks reserves the right to use e-mail endorsements and/or profit claims from its subscribers for marketing purposes. All names will be kept anonymous and only subscribers’ initials will be used unless express written permission has been granted to the contrary.

All Contents © 2008, Rick Ackerman. All Rights Reserved. www.rickackerman.com

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐

hudsoncounty: Question...

Did you trade the 'biggest drop in 10 years'?

Gold August 2008
Qty Position Entry Current Difference Profit/Loss
10 Short 927 810.9 -116.1 +$116,100.00

http://www.gbemembers.com/webintro.php?view=wmv

"PunJab! Bring me my checkbook!"

"GINO" = Government In Name Only

The price of gold didn't drop.

The US dollar rallied thanks to Japan, in part, taking their orders from Washington and selling off Euros.

There is no fundamental reason for the dollar to rally.

Not so bad in Australia, the US dollar has rallied against the Aussie dollar as well. Means the "drop" in the price of gold meant pretty much nothing here.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

Lisa, do you look like the

Lisa,
do you look like the Lisa in the movie weird science!

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐

As a matter of fact...

: D

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

lucky husband you have!

lucky husband you have!

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐

Thanks but I think I'm the lucky one. He's a great man.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

.

.

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

TxRedneck, Could you please create your own thread about

"Only a virtuous people are capable of freedom. As nations become corrupt and vicious, they have more need of masters." Benjamin Franklin
---

Gold and the U.S. dollar? I am very interested in your opinions.

government of the people, by the people, for the people
---

yea I would like to know why

yea I would like to know why zimbabwe is not experiencing DEFLATION when their economy has collapsed! instead the economy has collapsed and they are experiencing HYPERINFLATION.. interesting! I think I would listen to Ron Paul a little more closly!

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐

Mugabe's money bomb

There is no mystery about why Zimbabwe has hyperinflation. The corrupt and incompetent government destroyed the economy so it has no revenues to pay for such essential services as hiring Mugabe's enforcers to "persuade" voters. So the government prints money. Lot's of it. The government spends it first, when it has maximum value. The ever increasing supply of paper money then destroys the value of the money already produced. When the government needs to spend still more money it just adds another zero to the face value.

The inflationary collapse in Zimbabwe is similar to what happened in Weimer Germany after the Treaty of Versailles imposed impossible conditions on Germany, and the government tried to print its way out of its fiscal mess.

We are far more likely to suffer from an inflationary depression than a deflationary one. Bernanke has made it plain that he will use the printing press to bail us out of any trouble. The recent Fannie & Freddie bail out will probably cost as much as the Iraq war. There is no way you can create so much new money without creating inflation. Remember that during the recession of the 70s we had high inflation, not deflation.

They've actually had to knock off a couple of zeros because

the math was getting too hard or the notes were running out of room. Not sure which, but that's what I read.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

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Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

exactly what I have been

exactly what I have been saying for the last friggin year on this site bob!
It is also what Ron PAUL SAYS! we will see stagflation which we are in now turn to an inflationary depression! the fed CAN NOT RAISE RATES!
the dollar will not strengthen! its one big circle jerk on the way down! we are in an economic downword spriral!
everything you describe above about zimbabwe's government about being incompetent and corrupt describes ours government to a T! there is no difference between us and them! we are just a much larger scale!

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐

LOL!

Precious.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

I don't think you will understand if it was explained.

"Only a virtuous people are capable of freedom. As nations become corrupt and vicious, they have more need of masters." Benjamin Franklin
---

As far as I can tell, your mind is fixed.

government of the people, by the people, for the people
---

try me! as for me and my

try me!

as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐

He read a book once SIERRA.

He's gone to go look for it.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

I've already tried.

"Only a virtuous people are capable of freedom. As nations become corrupt and vicious, they have more need of masters." Benjamin Franklin
---

government of the people, by the people, for the people
---

lol then explain what is

lol then explain what is happening in zimbabwe!

as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐

No, you just can't explain it.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

Hey, I just noticed one of my juniors was up 10% today.

All the others were up as well.

People know what's coming.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

“Elections are short term efforts; revolutions are long term projects.”

--Ron Paul

Join the rEVOLution here: www.campaignforliberty.com

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

Thanks for clearing that up.

I thought it was all just Dr. Paul selling his gold and taking a profit.

Alert at Bullion Direct

Alert High Activity Market Alert
The precious metals industry is experiencing a substantial surge in activity which may increase the possibility of logistical delays; including customer service response time, product processing (incoming and outgoing), and product transport/fulfillment.

Certain silver products are delayed as much as 2-4 weeks. Please review Catalog descriptions for notices regarding such delays.

We are working diligently to fulfill all orders in a timely fashion while maintaining competitive prices.

We appreciate your patience and understanding.
The Bullion Direct Team

"The Matrix is a system, Neo. That system is our enemy...You have to understand most of these people are not ready to be unplugged. And many of them are so inured so hopelessly dependent on the system that they will fight to protect it". - Morpheus

lol if that doesn't show a

lol if that doesn't show a silver shortage is upon us then I don't know what does! its all smoke and mirrors!

as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐

The acid test for a real silver shortage -- a price increase

What that shows is simply that the U.S. Mint badly underestimated demand for silver eagles this year. That is why it is so hard to scare up any 2008 silver eagles. But my dealer has silver eagles from previous years, and is happy to sell silver 2008 Canadian Maple Leaves as well. If there was a real shortage in silver the price wouldn't be at $14.50 like it is today.

Then you don't understand the silver "market"

and the games going on over at the COMEX.

If it's simply a case of the US Mint underestimating demand then why is there a problem sourcing silver not just here in Australia, but for my friends in Vancouver and Zurich as well?

The orders I used to get within a week now take six to eight weeks. This has been the situation for most of 2008.

Before I get someone posting, "I just bought ten ounces yesterday without any problem", I'm talking about orders over 1000 ounces.

___________

Lisa C.

www.dvds4delegates.com=Ron Paul, the 44th U.S. President

Join us at: www.campaignforliberty.com

Brought to you by: www.women4ronpaul.com

Ron Paul "Sign Wave Across the USA" -- November 5th!

bob ... its gone from 4.00

bob ... its gone from 4.00 in 2002 to over 21.00 in 2008... the price is rising! the only reason why it is not higher then 50 is because of massive manipulation on the short futures market side.. read butler.. read, learn, understand... THEN LIVE IT! silver has the largest short posiition of ANY commodity in the history of the world! that is fact... and those shorts are NAKED.... what does that mean?

as for me and my home, we shall worship the LORD

“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)

Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐