Ron Paul unfavorable in Iowa :-(

This is reality. It's a real problem.

Ron Paul does have a good chance to win Iowa, as he's polling at around 10% there according to the last straw poll, which was a while ago, his fan base has probably grown slightly.

Either way, though, it doesn't matter. Ron Paul is basically guaranteed to win New Hampshire. So, that cancels out Iowa. And he will likely win Nevada as well, where he is polling 33% in straw polls. So, of the major early primary states, he is doing quite favorably in the majority. He will do extremely well in January, have no fear. :)

Iowa is a huge subsidized state. Hard habit to break.
Love how Iowans think they are self-reliant.....love that.

Mr. Dairy farmer, hero to so many veterans from his district, strong anti abortion, pro family, pro american(anti nafta freeway, spp, wto, etc) will do good. If he can get 9% from the straw poll from the old guard then they need to pull in this top mix and show who he is.

People like to pretend that they are well informed of all issues when asked about them. If they've even heard his name in passing they will claim that they "know about him". But unless those people were asked what his positions are on certain topics, I wouldn't trust that they know anything about him. 88% name recognition is NO WAY accurate unless there has been an all out blitz throughout Iowa to get his name out there. And for those who truly have heard of him I would guess that it's been through the debates whereby they probably listened to the booing and made their judgement of him from that.

There is no way that these numbers are accurate, because you could disagree with him on the war and still think of him favorably. Everything else he stands for is pure Americana.

The Huckster will do well there.

I don't know much about Iowa, but if what you all are saying is true, that voters may fear loss of govt subsidies & loss of their "welfare state":

Maybe a good ad there would be to SHOW Iowans why whatever $ they are getting from the federal govt WILL NOT be there much longer!

Talk economics, how our govt is broke, heading to bankruptcy... but not just wild claims, rather using logical mainstream analyses by reputable economists.

Convince them that depending on govt handouts is going to ruin them (ok, so be more subtle than that)... and that their only hope is self-sufficiency (hemp?)

Then show how RP's policies bring "hope for Iowa", as for all America.

My 2.

Perhaps the true difference is that the supporters of Ron Paul, will actually show up to vote!

I find the 88% name-recognition figure rather suspect. But maybe it's true. I don't know. But I think NH is our ace in the hole. I spent a week in Iowa for the straw poll, and I saw so many dumbassed Iowans turn out for Mitt Romney that it made me want to scream.

Let's look at the TV text and email polls that Ron Paul wins by landslides? In these CNBC and FOX polls --you could only vote once by cell phone text or email. Ron Paul has won these nationwide polls by landslides!

Why do you believe and spread any of these polls of questionable origin?

Iowa is the only state Ron Paul has near 100% name recognition? Why? And why are you trying to draw out all the negative implications possible? I could think you were trying to convince Ron Paul supporters that they should expect defeat.

The campaign needs to run EFFECTIVE TV ads -- and then have a vote counter watcher at every Iowa Caucus to make sure they don't cheat Ron Paul in 2008 like the Iowa GOP cheated Buchanan in 1996 (google A House without Doors).

Don't give credence to these polls of questionable origin. Just pressure the campaign to run EFFECTIVE ads, and then help WATCH the vote count.on election night in Iowa and NH.

Iowa is the Welare Queen of the Union, and The Good Doctor appears on the scene with a crowbar in hand, threatening to pry the lips of Agri-Biz off the Federal Tit. At this point anything more than a token Iowa presence is tactically foolish. (Sorry, Hawkeye Patriots. Soldier on!) I hope we concentrate on New Hampshire, Wyoming, and Nevada for now, and recognize that we'll likely need the full year to turn Iowa.

Viva Agora!
LehrBoy
www.citizenduquesne.org

Or so's most of them are pretty certain (ones I know anyway). Big bucks have been flowing in, and a lot of folks there are pretty heavily "invested" in the ethanol boomlet, some financially, others just emotionally.

Same thing is true in lots of other Midwest and prairie states (seems like nothing but corn fields around here, where there used to be soybeans and assorted other crops just a few years back).

Ron's not likely to take the "ethanol subsidy pledge" -- even though *IF* it actually IS economically viable, it should do well under his admin. At the same time that they'll claim it's viable economically, Iowans also seem to think and suspect that w/o the subsidies the whole industry would fail.

Think it's called Cognitive Dissonance, but there you have it, and a lot of folks make their decisions based on it. (When you believe your livelihood is at stake, well, it affects your own life, your families lives, your kid's education, and well, virtually everything -- so little else matters.)

It's interesting to note that the poor polling of ron paul is shown above the polling at a later date of Alabama, New Jersey, Maryland, New Hampshire, Florida where Ron Paul is shown as only having 3%. It's particuarly interesting because everything I've been reading indicates that he's around 6-7% right now in NH, and not at all at 3%

The people that voted in the previous 2 republican caucuses that GWB won handily ? Note how unfavorable McCain is among this group.

IF that group is the only ones that show up at the caucuses, RP will be lucky to finish 5th.