Study The Formula!!
this is exactly what is happening! some very stupid , static thinking people on this site like to trash talk Sinclair.. but they never disprove what he says.. they just say.. duhhh thats weak!
THE ABILITY TO GIVE VALUES TO VALUELESS INSTRUMENTS, CLEARLY KNOWN TO THE BANKS TO BE WORTHLESS IS NOT GOING TO MAKE INTER-BANK LENDING RECOVER.
Jim's Formula:
September 1, 2006
1) First interest rates rise affecting the drivers of the US economy, housing, but before that auto production goes from bull to a bear markets.
2) This impacts many other industries and the jobs report. An economy is either rising at a rising rate or business activity is falling at an increasing rate. That is economic law 101. There is no such thing in any market as a Plateau of Prosperity or Cinderella - Goldilocks situations.
3) We have witnessed the Dow rise on economic news indicating deceleration of activity. This continues until major corporations announced poor earnings, making the Dow fall faster than it rose, moving it deeply into the red.
4) The formula economically is inherent in #2 which is lower economic activity equals lower profits.
5) Lower profits leads to lower Federal Tax revenues.
6) Lower Federal tax revenues in the face of increased Federal spending causes geometric, not arithmetic, rises in the US Federal Budget deficit. This is also true for cities & States as it is for the Federal government.
7) The increased US Federal Budget deficit in the face of a US Trade Deficit increases the US Current Account Deficit.
8) The US Current Account Balance is the speedometer of the money exiting the US into world markets (deficit).
9) t is this deficit that must be met by incoming investment in the US in any form. It could be anything from businesses, equities to Treasury instruments. We are already seeing a fall off in the situation of developing nations carrying the spending habits of industrial nations; a contradiction in terms.
10) If the investment by non US entities fails to meet the exiting dollars by all means, then the US must turn within to finance the shortfall.
11) Assuming the US turns inside to finance all maturities, interest rates will rise with the long term rates moving fastest regardless of prevailing business conditions.
12) This will further contract business activity and start a downward spiral of unparalleled dimension because the size of US debt already issued is of unparalleled dimension.
Therefore as you get to #12 you are automatically right back at #1. This is an economic downward spiral.
I heard all this "slow business" as negative to gold talk in the 70s. It was totally wrong then. It will be exactly the same now.
Spin it, intervene in it, witness the media glee. Regardless of it all, gold will trade at $1200 and $1650, the dollar at .72, .62 and .52.
Regards, Jim





















Please, Michael
Stop the insanity. Stop the money---------------------------------->
Agreed
The article is right. But I would add that government will be forced to respond with an accelerating level of new money in order to pay the bills and bail out entities that can't be allowed to fail - state and local governments, pension plans, etc. on top of continuing failure of financial institutions based on credit collapse.
My formula would be:
Fed credit expansion + government cash payments to banks (like bailout bill) + government cash payments to industry (like Detroit auto) + government cash payments to the public (stimulus checks) + greater demand on, and more cash for, government welfare and job programs + government cash payments to state and local governments to bail them out + climbing interest on outstanding debt + declining revenue due to unemployment and business slowdown + foreign unloading of dollar = hyper-inflation.
This is the terminal stage for Bretton Woods. The end of the dollar-based global monetary system is at hand. We are going to live through the greatest fiat currency collapse in history. Gold and silver will be restored to their proper role as the world's money. Paper will be restored to its proper role as bun wad.
Have a nice day.
.............................
..................................
"When governments fear the people there is liberty. When the people fear the government there is tyranny."
-Thomas Jefferson
I am more concerned about the return of my money than the return on my money. --Mark Twain
“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)
Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐
READ PRECHTER!
SIERRA,
Don't you ever wonder why no one responds to your cut and paste posts anymore?
Jeff.... Prechter sucks...
Jeff.... Prechter sucks... Sinclair is better! prechter sucks.. he really really sucks!
A prudent man foresees the difficulties ahead and prepares for them; the simpleton goes blindly on and suffers the consequences. Proverbs 22:3
Matthew 10:34 Think not that I am come to
send peace on earth: I came not to send peace,
but a sword.
A prudent man foresees the difficulties ahead and prepares for them; the simpleton goes blindly on and suffers the consequences. Proverbs 22:3
Matthew 10:34 Think not that I am come to
send peace on earth: I came not to send peace,
but a sword.
also jeff why don't you do
also jeff why don't you do something that you buddy jzneff won't do.. take the formula above and tell us all where Sinclair is wrong?... can you do that? lets not have anymore drive bye posts.. back up your argument!
"When governments fear the people there is liberty. When the people fear the government there is tyranny."
-Thomas Jefferson
I am more concerned about the return of my money than the return on my money. --Mark Twain
“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)
Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐
also.. I have read
also.. I have read prechter.. his book conguer the crash and the updates.. like I said he is partly right.. as for you if you read prechter you would have known that interest rates would not go up lol! practice as you preach!
"When governments fear the people there is liberty. When the people fear the government there is tyranny."
-Thomas Jefferson
I am more concerned about the return of my money than the return on my money. --Mark Twain
“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)
Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐
prechter is only part
prechter is only part right... prechter does not take into account the differences between 1930's and today! I will let you research that on your own... by the way how did you like that 1/2 point fed rate cut.. nremeber when you told me how stupid I was for prediciting that and you said that rates would go up! and I had circular thinking etc.. who is the stooge jeff?? seems I was right again and you were wrong!.. your not going to admit to that one are you?
"When governments fear the people there is liberty. When the people fear the government there is tyranny."
-Thomas Jefferson
I am more concerned about the return of my money than the return on my money. --Mark Twain
“A prudent man foreseeth the evil, and hideth himself: but the simple pass on, and are punished.” (Prov. 22:3; 27:12 KJV)
Hey McCain-----┌П┐(◣_◢)┌П┐