Why are there 30 year cycles?Submitted by jzneff on Wed, 02/25/2009 - 22:30
What is it that makes up the cycles that seem to guide our nation? The 1990’s are economically and socially alike; it was a care free decade, one of economic boom time, and socially free times.
The 1970’s and the 2000’s? Pretty much the same. Trying to squeeze every bit of prosperity, and having the freedom squeezed away from us. They were worrisome decades, one of panics. Getting bogged down in a long war, stuck in the mud or sand as it were.
In fact, tack the 1940’s into that group.
The greatest way to look to see what lies ahead in the decade to come? Check out the 1950’s, or the 1980’s. Yup, the next decade is likely to be boring and materialistic. Unemployment’s going to be high, but corporate profits will be just fine. Government’s going to be our guide into abstinence of the fun we’ve just had (1990-2009) and try to convince the populace that spending a lifetime shunning every carnal desire brings the country closer to undoing the greed, the selfishness, and the sexual promiscuity is what caused the country to slip.
Oh boy is this next decade going to be boring.
Unless, we can cut this one off ahead of time. If we anticipate what they’re up to, and know their move ahead of time, maybe we can stop this cycle of madness.
Expect this economically. A brief recovery, just enough to calm everyone down and get them spending again. They accomplish swings in the cycles of fear with language. Subtle as it may be, just changing the words and focus used by the feds and other officials to sway opinions. I submit that the control over our economy is nothing more than the use of manipulative language, not any other sinister measure…mostly because you don’t need direct control.
The Fed and Treasury wanted to slam the economy into a seizure for many reasons this fall. First, the dollar was on the way up and commodities were beginning to drop. So to force more dollar strength and commodity weakness, they went on TV and talked of a grave situation with the banks (the people who control 90%+ of the currency in this country) were entering a systemic solvency crisis.
Holy shit did we bite. People went into squirrel mode in a large and instant way. Money quit being spent, discretionary purchases were put off until tomorrow. The economy slams to a halt.
The result? China has begun a very serious crash, it won’t be evident for years as it will be swept under the rug, but they’re in serious trouble. Far worse than the US right now.
Another result? The oil exporting countries beginning to crash. They grew addicted to massive money for their oil, and all of the sudden the funding is gone. OPEC has lost its teeth, because no country can afford to cut exports now.
American people, meanwhile…there is some pain being felt. A lot of jobs have been lost, a lot more are going to be still. Budgets are strained; the standard of living has dropped a little. Nothing as bad as what this panic has cost our economic “enemies” China and the Arabs.
So we have crushed our adversaries at a cost of a nasty recession. This might go down as one of the longer recessions we’ve ever felt, but just a little bit of language, and the recession is over.
Ready to see the end of the road for the panic? Does a stress test sound familiar?
A stress test…an imaginary scenario put into the bank’s balance sheet, to determine if they will fail if something bad, worse, and horrible happens.
They get to announce those results in the next week…I’m willing to predict that whatever is discovered is seen as “the banking crisis isn’t as bad as we thought”.
Americans aren’t going to read their findings, digest their stress test results, or even understand exactly what’s happening…but they’ll hear “not as bad as we thought” and relax. Spend a little of the cash they’ve tucked into a corner…buy the house, the car, the trip they’ve been wanting but have been putting off.
It won’t be much, but just a little sustained good news will feed on itself, and slowly the inflation will take over.
The next recession…the dreaded stagflation. A recession coupled with an inflationary period. In steps Paul Volker (remember him, he’s on Obama’s economic team) who pulls the emergency brake on interest rates at just the right moment to kill inflation but not kill the economy.
Recovery…then boom…then bust…repeat until there’s nothing left of this country.
This is what they’re doing…just what they’ve done before. They don’t need a PPT or anyone else buying up stocks. They don’t need to directly manipulate the market. Americans are such a panicky and easily swayed people, it isn’t even necessary.
So unless you want abstinence ads all over TV, a decade of soulless and meaningless pop music, just saying no, and an ever eroding American dream…do nothing and let the country be led to the slaughter.
Change this cycle…be persistent but smart in your recruiting people into this revolution. Sell the movement on the easy points, no taxes, less government, no more wars or troops overseas. Become adept at telling people what they want to hear…once they join the movement they can learn what they need to hear.
Don’t base our revolution around our enemies…base our revolution around a better path for our country.
Don’t call them sheeple and give up. That’s what losers do. It’s not their ability to hear you; it’s your ability to get a clear message across.
You can reach people, but you have to learn to read people first. The income tax works best for older people. To get the young, use the war on drugs. Use peace and a humble foreign policy, to not have America’s children dying halfway around the world unnecessarily.
We have a LOT of demons to chase with this movement. We have to make our message about what unites us all. Americans hate their taxes.
Remember this always, as much as the British did to their colonies…the real source of the revolution was taxation.
End the income tax!