Anyone thinking about shorting the markets soon?
Submitted by MrWood on Thu, 05/07/2009 - 09:05
in
Hey everyone,
I've been eying the latest rally with suspicion, although it does seem like we were due for a rebound. Seems to be a pretty large bear market rally- I really can't find any evidence that the fundamentals are improving for the U.S. or stocks... we now consider losses that are less than previous losses a healthy sign for a company? Until these companies actually start turning a profit, they are still no good in my book.
Where do you see the market going in the next few weeks or months? Does anyone think this rally is going to top out soon? Any ideas about how inflation (if you believe it is coming) is going to change stock prices?
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The Treasury Auction
Today....
Doom for the $.
Doom for the Econ.
Doom for the Market.
I don't know about shorts
but I'm keeping my Speedos on night and day so I'm ready for that huge dive that's coming.
New Hampshire and Ecuador
According to the Bilderberg
According to the Bilderberg premeeting memo (which could be a distraction, who knows) The plan is to run up and then dump.
My take is that this may have been the run up. Difficult to tell.
Either way, what has changed since March? only market sentiment, which is significant, but may not last.
I hope that the market is run up huge, but suspect there is not much left to run up.
Couple factors could cause a dump.
1) establish that banks are safe to employment at 10% Then have everyone freak out that employment is at 14% or something. People run on banks.
2) Take oil upto $150 and stall consumption again. Dump the dollar down to last years levels and watch commercial real estate implode with lack of customers at retail
3) War with iran, pandemic, etc
I think all 3 are a possibility.
This is not advice, but something to consider
FAZ, SKF 3x and 2X short bank ETFs
UCO, DXO 2x oil LONG ETFs
GLD or physical Gold for dollar loss in value
RIMM, and other high fling wizbang technology shorts
Within a few months, yes
_________________________________
My liberty-minded home base of thought:
www.ponderthis.net
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Freedom - Peace - Prosperity
not yet
IT can last till 2012...There is more work to be done...
you-no
The Purpose of a Pump is to Dump
The recent rally has been nothing but nothing but wholesale "painting of the tape", painting the tape is the practice of two or more market participants trading equities back and forth to create an illusory up trend. While the painting is going on the participants are simultaneously selling the underlying equity to less sophisticated investors/suckers.
Most of the recent rally has not been genuine investors but volume from proprietary trading desks at Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and other trading houses. The Chief of The NYSE came out and said as much here:
and:
The big trading desks in alliance with gov't and state run media (CNBC/GE) are engaged in wholesale pumping of equities, Obama wants good numbers and all manner of regulation is being suppressed. The pump can last for who knows how long but rest assured the dump will be very ugly, try not to be one who gets dumped on.
Socialists are Everywhere
Socialists are Everywhere
Up then way down folks...
Details of the economic agenda were contained in a pre-meeting booklet being handed out to Bilderberg members. On a more specific note, Estulin warns that Bilderberg are fostering a false picture of economic recovery, suckering investors into ploughing their money back into the stock market again only to later unleash another massive downturn which will create “massive losses and searing financial pain in the months ahead,” according to a Canada Free Press report
Interpret the spin on the headlines such as today: "New jobless
claims (for LAST WEEK) plunge to 601,000" I love how they spin this horrible statistic.
It that not 2.4M jobs/month gone at that rate? You can invest in this market? With these kind of numbers, I will not.
Thanks everyone. The
Thanks everyone. The unemployment numbers are definitely not looking good. More layoffs coming.
"The sinews of war are infinite money" ~ Cicero
"The sinews of war are infinite money" ~ Marcus Tullius Cicero
Im in this now!
Rydex Weakening Dollar 2x Strategy A (RYWDX)
When the dollar goes down 1%, my fund goes up 2%
Just looked at this, very
Just looked at this, very nice!
"The sinews of war are infinite money" ~ Cicero
"The sinews of war are infinite money" ~ Marcus Tullius Cicero
Yes -- expect a reversal fairly soon.
Our good friends at ElliottWave.com have had a tough time predicting when the reversal will take place, because the market's correction is following a fairly unusual pattern. Best to sit on the sidelines (say, in a U.S. treasuries fund) and wait until the early reversal shows a clear impulse pattern.
When it comes, it should be a pretty dramatic dive.