RealClearPolitics

5 votes

2007 vs 2011 poll results - Reason to be very hopeful

RealClearPolitics has a poll-results chart available for 2007-2008. Take a look at the second chart on this page:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/2012_2008_gop_...

Last time around, Ron Paul wasn't registering or being included in polls until October. During that month, he averaged 3% or under. The two frontrunners at the time were Giuliani and Thompson... with numbers nearly identical to what Perry and Romney are seeing now.

And who was solidly in third place with about 13%?

McCain, the eventual nominee.

9 votes

Poll conspiracy or not enough sleep - you decide!

I just realized that it's been awhile since I've seen an Iowa or NH poll,, so I went to RCP to check if I had missed one. Turns out I haven't. The last NH poll was almost a month ago and the last Iowa poll was more than 2 weeks ago.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/nh/ne...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/ia/io...

1 vote

2007 Polling Time Machine, Get in and Feel Better!

For anyone that is interested, it may be a good reminder of how the polls were placing the "Front Runners" back in good ol' 2007 at this date.

9/13/07
Giuliani - 28.6%
Thompson - 23.4%
McCain - 15.3%
Romney - 10.8%
Huckabee - 4.8%
Paul - N/A

And I think we all know what happened to the two golden boys last time round. This time we are in prime pouncing position!

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