1. The Republicans are more open to Ron Paul's positions than the public at large. If Ron Paul cannot win in the Republican Primaries, he can never win as an independent.
2. Ron Paul winning the Republican nomination depends on there being a perfect storm of trouble that eliminates all other candidates' credibility. There is no other way.
3. If Dr. Paul were to run as an independent he would have to give up his seat in Congress.
4. By running independent, he would severely damage the chances of his two sons future political success.
5. Ballot access is not achievable with money alone. The requirements of some states require huge petition drives, and even national third parties have not been successful in gaining access in all 50 states.
6. Remember Ross Perot
7. Failing to enter the Republican Primary will mean that he will face a Republican household name in November. He would be a spoiler at best.
8. He would be written off as a non-player in the primary season if he were not to run as a Republican, and would be ignored even more than he has been in the past. Libertarians underestimate the philosophical animosity of his political enemies.
9. He would be free to select a VP running mate from outside of the establishment GOP, or outside of the GOP altogether.
10. A majority of the electorate would only consider his candidacy during a crisis, which is likely to occur before Nov. 2012. (He has stated previously that his Republican candidacy would depend on the condition of the economy. That he is moving toward becoming officially a candidate indicates that he believes the condition is worsening rapidly.)
11. As an independent he would escape notice with the huge amounts of money being spent by the other candidates.
12. The 2 main political parties are firmly in grip of enemies of liberty. Ron Paul is the only one who could help wrest control of the Republican Party away, in favor of the People. His enemies have tried to paint him as an outsider, but his national image as a deep thinker has only gained him more respect and prestige as a Republican Congressman and Committee Chairman.
13. The Libertarians formed their own party over 30 years ago, and have gotten nowhere. Political parties are of necessity coalitions of disparate groups that don't all think alike. Ron's chance is to be in the right place at the right time. The right place is the Republican Party.
14. If an independent or third party candidate were to win by some fluke, he would face a congress firmly united against him, with absolutely no influence with either party.
15. His issues draw from Conservative and Libertarian themes, and appeal to independents. His candidacy can draw huge numbers of independents and Libertarians into the Republican Party, thereby increasing our chances of gaining control.
16. Ron Paul supporters who remain outside of the GOP are shooting themselves in the foot, and harming his cause by not becoming active in supporting him within his party.
17. Ron Paul is not a Democrat or an independent because his wisdom, and history, show him that he is more effective as a Republican than in any other political environment. He has more in common with more Republicans than with any other political group.
18. People might confuse him running as an independent as being like a Ralph Naderite or a Ross Perot. The comparisons would be inevitable and people would write him off, considering their suspicions that he is too much of an oddball to be confirmed.
19. He might as well just retire.
20. Unlike in 2008, his Party is grudgingly acknowledging that he was right, and has even granted him honors previously denied him, including his chairmanship.
21. He will never win if he isn't seen. Consider how few voters frequent libertarian sites.