Uh let's hope it is a bit more than 20%. If Romney wins, say 65% to Paul's 25% and the other 10% going to the dropped out candidates this race is over. Not only would Romney get over 100 delegates that Ron Paul can't afford him to get (it could very well actually put him over the top), but but it would make it a mathematical certainty that Romney wins California a week later. In fact, to have ANY shot at California, Ron Paul needs to be the one with 65% in Texas. Right now, Romney has a 40 point lead in California. That is not going to change without a LONG string of very strong showings (including more that one popular vote victory) throughout May.
Ron Paul needs to spend every last penny this month. And NOT in college auditoriums
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