Comment: Well...yes and no

I do understand what you mean about it being up to the delegates and how they vote, but here I just factored the state outcome. Basically it was "Does Ron Paul get plurality or not?", and yes the statistics would hold true for any other candidate, but only if they were in the same situation. Santorum and Gingrich do not have 4 states' plurality at the moment, so the numbers for them would be different. The only thing that is actually equal is the odds of Romney getting all states and the odds of anyone other than Paul getting all states. The statistics were simplified down to the two major candidates so my brain wouldn't explode, but you can also look at it as a Paul vs. Non-Paul basis.

Again,this isn't with which delegates choose which candidate. The variables for each individual choice is impossible to calculate. In the end it is simply this:

"Odds Ron Paul wins at least 1 of 9 remaining states" against "Odds that Ron Paul wins 0 of 9 remaining states"

I'm not predicting the future, just crunching the numbers.