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Comment: Why don't you go bother someone else
Why don't you go bother someone else
I don't need to be insulted by the five or so idiots like you who don't understand my math simply because you don't think Ron Paul has a good of chance of winning another state. If you believe the numbers that is fine, but you BUT DON'T EVER FUCKING INSULT MY INTELLIGENCE ON MY FORUMS AGAIN YOU BASTARD! I'll let you know that I actually have had a brain disorder since birth, but it in no way effects my ability to make a few calculations. If you don't like my optimism in a place where people have "all eyes on Nebraska" saying it's Ron Paul's "last stand" then FUCK OFF!
As far as your examples, they are worse than the statistics I made. First off, we all know there are more than 9 lottery tickets for each lottery, so your numbers are unrealistic. Second, you can go into deeper analysis with one-on-one basketball, such as chances of making a lay-up, three pointer, free throw, and other factors. You can't make the math simple for every problem and it expect it to work, but it does here.
Speaking of simple, obviously you don't read because I said what form of mathematics I used to get my numbers. I used combinations, not exponents. So in this case you actually simplified my work, and you ended up being wrong!
The reason it is a 50% chance for each state and nothing lower is because the event is "Paul wins a state" vs "Paul does not win a state" and every state is INDEPENDENT! This means that Ron Paul's current number of states out of the total is irrelevant to the last nine states that remain and each of the nine states are not effected by the outcome of any other state. Are you saying that because Ron Paul lost California, he also lost Wyoming? No, that's absurd to think because one state outcome does not affect another, it only affects the odds of the remaining state.
Fucking forgive me for going more in depth with this and finding the odds of every individual delegate for each state voting for Ron Paul delegates to go to the RNC based on the same logic, but after 1:00 in the morning, people start to get tired. If you want to try working those numbers with your failed methods, be my guest. But until then, you every other asshole on here calling me an idiot can shut the fuck up!I didn't take college courses in high for to be called an idiot by someone I never met before.
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