Comment: There are a few things I disagree with in this article

(See in situ)


There are a few things I disagree with in this article

but we do need to get to a brokered convention with an indecisive result on the 1st ballot.
We then get a chance to debate before the 2nd ballot.

1) The numbers of delegates quoted are way out.
Gingrich delegates have been being taken away at various State Conventions and are overstated, the same goes for Santorum (delegates taken away).
No one knows the exact numbers of delegates but this agrees with the green papers, plus stated assumptions/differences.
There may be some more Ron Paul stealth delegates but there is no hard evidence of numbers/location/or which other cand spots they occupy.
http://ian56.blogspot.co.uk/2012/03/true-delegate-count-achi...

2) Romney/Gingrich/Santorum delegates
You will not get these people to abstain or vote for Ron Paul with arguments about fiscal discipline.
The only thing most of the delegates care about is kicking Obama out.
So we have to demonstrate that Romney is going to lose and lose badly.
With what I know I think Romney will be a laughing stock, but GOP people believe he can win despite all the evidence to the contrary.

I have a few blog posts about how bad a candidate Romney actually is and how badly he will get beaten if he is nominated.

The difficulty is getting non Ron Paul supporters to actually read anything at all (even simple poll info or electoral college maps).
They want to live in a fantasy world where Romney has a chance of winning and don't want to listen to anything against him.
They certainly do not want to put themselves into the mind of the Independents who will decide this election.

3) If we manage to stop Romney getting to 1144 votes on 1st ballot
We have to convince the delegates that Ron Paul is the only one that can beat Obama.

We have to couch this in terms that will resonate with ordinary Romney/Gingrich/Santorum delegates.
If they were worried about fiscal discipline they wouldn't have supported these candidates in the first place.

I have spent some time writing posts with these objectives and sense of reality in mind, on my blog.

Here is the one for the reasons to support Ron Paul (it is only one element).
http://ian56.blogspot.co.uk/2012/02/ron-pauls-case-for-nomin...

My other posts are on here.
http://ian56.blogspot.co.uk

"In the end, more than they wanted freedom, they wanted security. They wanted a comfortable life, and they lost it all -- security, comfort, and freedom. When ... the freedom they wished for was freedom from responsibility, then Athens ceased to be free."