Comment: We need to stay realistic

(See in situ)

In reply to comment: Yes, that is totally (see in situ)

We need to stay realistic

My count has Ron Paul with about 180 delegates and 191 stealth, 371 total.

There are some more "super" stealth. Ron Paul supporters who got picked to be a Romney/Santorum/Gingrich delegate before the election in that state took place. I have no idea how many there are.
Might be 10, might be 80, might even be a few more.

Romney has about 1550 delegates if all the super delegates vote as expected last week (90%+ of them for Romney).
Perhaps even a few super delegates can be persuaded when they see how bad a candidate Romney actually is.

If we can stop Romney getting 1144 votes on the first ballot. It is all to play for, let battle commence.
But we can use the same angle as we are doing against Romney, whichever other delegates are suggested, we can show they can't beat Obama.
Only Ron Paul can.

My delegate count is here.
It agrees with the Green Papers, plus assumptions and differences as stated in the notes.
It was built up as elections, caucuses and conventions happened with eye witness accounts of what actually happened.
http://ian56.blogspot.co.uk/2012/03/true-delegate-count-achi...

P.S.
People like Matt Larson have given false perspectives to people with wildly optimistic delegate counts, backed up by zero evidence.
Matt Larson had Ron Paul with 400 delegates half way through the elections and conventions. As can now be seen he was wildly optimistic with poor if any evidence.
Numbers plucked from thin air like AP.
Ron Paul himself said he expected to have 400 to 500 delegates, but he didn't do so well in later State Conventions as he might of, e.g. Texas, Nebraska.

We need ALL of our delegates to show up in Tampa, to help us in floor votes, persuasion and debate.
We need to make best use of Tom Davis who is a delegate for us.

A few of the Romney delegates won't show, thinking it's a foregone conclusion.
A few more Gingrich/Santorum won't show - they will think "what's the point".
We can get a few of our alternates bumped - we have quite a lot of them (I didn't keep a record of the numbers for that).
But that's where the number of 1,000 total delegates comes from - about 400 delegates and 600 alternates.
We need ALL our alternates to show up as well.

If we can get to a 2nd ballot we can show that only Ron Paul can beat Obama.
The fact that Ron Paul only starts with 371 (or circa 400) does not affect that.

"In the end, more than they wanted freedom, they wanted security. They wanted a comfortable life, and they lost it all -- security, comfort, and freedom. When ... the freedom they wished for was freedom from responsibility, then Athens ceased to be free."