Comment: that says...

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that says...

That says that 46 Coloradans die from drowning each year. About half of the population of Colorado lives in the Denver metro area. Let's say 24 drowning deaths a year in that area. Roughly 50% of yearly drowning deaths occur in June, July, and August. That's about 4 on average in each of those months. So maybe my 5-10 estimate was a tad high. It's probably actually in the 3-6 range. I'll revise my estimate of likelihood of government assassination based on that updated evidence - now it's only 438 times less likely than that it was an accident, instead of 792.