I'll never EVER vote for a third party candidate for president. No third party candidate will EVER become president.
But, a lot of former Ron Paul supporters are claiming that the economy will tank in the next four years and Rand Paul will be able to pull over disenchanted democrats and become president in 2016. I don't think the economy is going to get any worse in the next four years. There's an automobile and student loan bubble being built up right now that will last at least five years, maybe eight. The economy is slowly getting better. The reason Obama is dong good in places like Virginia, Wisconsin, and Ohio is mainly because those states elected Republican governors and legislators in 2010 who have enacted pro-growth policies and the voters are crediting Obama for it. I suspect unemployment will be down below 6% by 2016, giving the Democratic nominee an easy victory by running on Obama's i.e. Bernanke's "accomplishments.
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